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Blues vs Avalanche Game 5 Picks and Odds

George Nassios

by George Nassios in NHL Hockey

May 24, 2022 · 1:46 PM PDT

Colorado Avalanche center Nazem Kadri celebrating a goal
May 23, 2022; St. Louis, Missouri, USA; Colorado Avalanche center Nazem Kadri (91) is congratulated by teammates after scoring a goal against the St. Louis Blues during the second period in game four of the second round of the 2022 Stanley Cup Playoffs at Enterprise Center. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Le-USA TODAY Sports
  • The St. Louis Blues take on the Colorado Avalanche in Game 5 on Wednesday, May 25th
  • The Avalanche can wrap up the series at home with a victory
  • Read below for Blues vs Avalanche Game 5 odds, picks, and prediction

Monday was the Nazem Kadri show, as the Colorado center scored a hat trick to bring the Avalanche one win closer to the Western Conference Finals. The St. Louis Blues take on the Colorado Avalanche in Game 5 on Wednesday, May 25th with the puck drop scheduled for 8:00 pm ET at Ball Arena. TNT will broadcast the game.

The Avalanche are strong -250 home favorites to defeat the Blues and send them into their summer vacation. Injuries to Jordan Binnington and a couple of their defensemen have this St. Louis team on the ropes.

Let’s check out the Blues vs Avalanche Game 5 odds and decide on our best NHL bet for this one.

Blues vs Avalanche Odds

Team Puck Line Total Moneyline
St. Louis Blues +1.5 (-125) O 6.5 (-115) +205
Colorado Avalanche -1.5 (+104) U 6.5 (-106) -250

Odds as of May 24th at Barstool Sportsbook.

 

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If you’re betting the chalk in this game, the oddsmakers have juiced the Avalanche quite heavily. With -250 moneyline odds, they have an implied win probability of 71.43% to send the Blues packing. The over/under total is once again set at 6.5 goals.

Blues Suffering Without Binnington in Goal

Ville Husso stole the starter’s job from Binnington this season, but after a couple of tough outings against Minnesota in the opening round, he was once again relegated to backup. The Finnish netminder opened the postseason with a shutout, but has struggled ever since.

Husso has allowed 18 goals in his last four playoff games for an ugly .847 save percentage. The Blues have lost each of the last four games he’s played in. Down 3-1 in the series and with injuries catching up to them, the Blues’ Western Conference Odds have faded and are the longest of any team still alive in the postseason.

David Perron is doing everything he can to keep the Blues hopes alive, tallying two goals last game, giving him nine total in the playoffs. He did let the emotion of the series get to him though, going after Kadri and giving the Avs a 5-on-3 power play advantage in Game 4 that led to the game winning goal.

Avalanche Big Home Favorites in Wednesday NHL Odds

The Avalanche have been getting contributions and production up and down the lineup. Seven players have scored three or more goals for them this postseason, and they’ve only played eight games.

Game 4 was Kadri’s turn to take the spotlight and he rose to the occasion. With the Blues looking for vengeance after his collision with Binnington in the previous contest, the physical center had three goals and an assist. It was one of the most dominant Non-McDavid performances of this postseason.

While the Blues mounted a comeback and came within one goal of tying the game, Colorado was undoubtedly the better team in Game 4. The Avalanche created 71.6% of the expected goals share according to NaturalStatTrick. Armed with a 3-1 series lead, the Avalanche remain comfortable 2022 Stanley Cup odds favorites.

Blues vs Avalanche 2022 Playoff Stats

St. Louis Blues Team Colorado Avalanche
5-5 Record 7-1
33 (3.3/game) Goals For 36 (4.5/game)
31 (3.1/game) Goals Against 20 (2.5/game)
35.3% Power Play 33.3%
84.4% Penalty Kill 66.7%

The first two games of this series went under the total, but the last two in St. Louis both went over 6.5 goals.

Blues vs Avalanche Pick Game 4

Staring elimination in the face, Game 5 will be a tough task for the Blues. The Avalanche are looking to become the first team to advance to the Western Conference Final in the NHL Playoff Bracket.

It’s not a very favorable bet just to pick the Avalanche to win on the moneyline as the Wednesday NHL odds are juiced enormously towards Colorado. Your return on investment simply isn’t very lucrative if you pick the Avs.

My expectation is that the Avalanche will win and advance, but the best NHL bet to make here is to ride the two game trend and pick the over. With Husso between the pipes, the Blues will need to open it up since he hasn’t been able to keep the puck out of the net.

That formula is always dangerous against a Colorado that leads the postseason in scoring. There’s also been a bit of nastiness to this series, especially since the incident that took out Binnington in Game 4. With both of these team’s power plays clicking at a rate above 30%, goals should be available in abundance.

Take over 6.5 goals at Barstool Sportsbook and expect the Avalanche to move on to the next round.

Pick: Over 6.5 (-115)

 

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