Flames vs Avalanche Odds and Picks – Best Bet for Saturday Night Hockey
- The Colorado Avalanche host the Calgary Flames on Saturday, March 5th
- The Avalanche are listed as -152 home favorites in the Saturday NHL odds
- Read below for Flames vs Avalanche odds, predictions and best bet
The final NHL game on a busy Saturday night is a matchup between the top two teams in the Western Conference. The Colorado Avalanche (40-11-4) host the Calgary Flames (32-14-7) on March 5th. The Puck drops at 10:00 PM EST. CBC will carry the broadcast.
Colorado is listed as -152 home favorites in the Saturday NHL odds. The total is set at 6.5 with both teams boasting significant offensive firepower.
Let’s take a look at the Flames vs Avalanche odds and offer you our NHL best bet prediction for Saturday night hockey.
Flames vs Avalanche Odds
| Game Time (ET) | Team | Puck Line | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saturday Mar. 5 | Calgary Flames | +1.5 (-186) | O 6.5 (-117) | +125 |
| 10 PM | Colorado Avalanche | -1.5 (+150) | U 6.5 (-107) | -152 |
Odds as of March. 4th at Barstool Sportsbook.
Colorado online sports betting markets lists the Avalanche on the puck line at +150 odds, while the Flames are -186 to keep the game within two goals. You can also wager on Colorado to win in regulation at +106 odds.
Avalanche Home Favorites in Saturday NHL Odds
The Avalanche are -152 home favorites in the Saturday NHL odds against the Flames. That means they have a 60.3% implied probability of getting the victory. Colorado has the best record in the Western Conference and is the current favorite in the 2022 Stanley Cup odds.
One of the reasons the Avalanche are heavy favorites against a very good Calgary team is due to situational circumstance. Colorado lost 2-1 to lowly Arizona on Thursday, setting them up for a bounce-back Saturday. The Avs haven’t lost consecutive games since early-November.
Nathan MacKinnon looking a little rough after taking a high stick to the mouth from Dysin Mayo. 😳 pic.twitter.com/ieC344zVkD
— Sportsnet (@Sportsnet) March 4, 2022
Colorado has been one of the NHL’s best home teams this season, posting a 23-3-2 record at Ball Arena. Their most recent home contest was a 5-3 victory over the Islanders on Tuesday. Colorado won the game as -304 favorites, improving their betting record when favored to 39-9.
Colorado has the second-highest scoring offense in the NHL, averaging 3.93 goals per game. Forward Nathan MacKinnon and blueliner Cale Makar are among the NHL’s best at their respective positions. The Avs only notable injury entering Saturday is Val Nichushkin (upper body).
Flames Rare Road Underdogs in NHL Odds
Calgary is being listed as a rare road underdog in the Saturday NHL odds. Their +125 moneyline price gives them a 44.4% implied probability of beating the Avalanche. The Flames have only been a betting underdog in 13 of their 53 games in 2021-22.
Aside from Colorado being a powerhouse, there’s other data that backs up Calgary’s underdog price Saturday. The Flames have lost their last five road games against teams that were top-two in their division at the time of puck drop. Calgary is 17-10-2 on the road overall.
From Sweden with love. pic.twitter.com/QONXsgTPDY
— Calgary Flames (@NHLFlames) March 2, 2022
Much like the Avs, the Flames are in a potential bounce-back spot Saturday. Calgary lost 5-4 to Montreal in their most recent contest Thursday. Darryl Sutter’s team hasn’t dropped back-to-back games since a four-game losing streak that began January 4th, 2022.
Where the Flames hold the key advantage over Colorado is defense. Calgary is only allowing 2.45 goals per game, while the Avs are giving up 2.80 goals per contest. Flames’ netminder Jacob Markstrom (.925 SV%) is projected to start in goal vs Colorado’s Darcy Kuemper (.919 SV%).
Flames vs Avalanche Pick & Prediction
When wagering on Calgary vs Colorado, recent history shouldn’t play a huge factor in your decision. Although Colorado has won seven of the last eight meetings, these two teams haven’t played since 2019. Calgary’s roster in particular is much different than the one they iced in 2019.
Flames vs Avalanche Recent Results
| Date | Home-Away | Moneyline | Puck Line | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/2019 | COL 4 – CGY 5 OT | CGY | CGY | Over |
| 11/19/2019 | CGY 2 – COL 3 | COL | COL | Under |
| 10/03/2019 | COL 3 – CGY 1 | COL | COL | Over |
| 04/19/2019 | CGY 1 – COL 5 | COL | COL | Push |
| 04/17/2019 | COL 3 – CGY 2 OT | COL | COL | Under |
It’s tough to bet against Colorado at home, but the value in this game is with Calgary. In the past 10 games, the Flames have been better than Colorado at controlling puck possession and generating high-danger chances.
Over the past month, Calgary’s Markstrom (4.76 GSAA) has also saved notably more goals above average than Colorado’s Kuemper ( 1.76 GSAA). If one goaltender is going to be the difference maker in this game, the numbers favor it being Markstrom.
OUR SWEDISH STAR!
Jacob Markstrom has been named February's Second Star Of The Month: https://t.co/xoEXgcWrbm pic.twitter.com/G3XLQlX2rk
— Calgary Flames (@NHLFlames) March 1, 2022
Here are some other betting trends to note when wagering on Flames vs Avalanche:
- Flames are 14-3 in their last 17 games
- Flames are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. Central Division
- Underdog is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings
Colorado has lost twice to Arizona over the past month, showing that they’re far from invincible. Flames vs Avalanche should be closer to a pick’em based on roster talent, which makes the Calgary moneyline at +125 a worthwhile play in the Saturday NHL odds.
Pick: Flames ML (+125)
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Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.
