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Jets vs Leafs Odds and Picks – Toronto Favored at Home in Thursday NHL Odds

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in NHL Hockey

Updated Mar 30, 2022 · 5:57 PM PDT

Erik Kallgren embraced by Mitchell Marner
Toronto Maple Leafs goaltender Erik Kallgren (50) is embraced by right wing Mitchell Marner after defeating the Boston Bruins 6-4 in an NHL hockey game, Tuesday, March 29, 2022, in Boston. (AP Photo/Charles Krupa)
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs are solid -210 home favorites over the Winnipeg Jets in an NHL game slated for Thursday, March 31
  • Winnipeg will be minus some key players after a COVID-19 outbreak on the Jets’ roster
  • The Maple Leafs have won their last two games – see who we like below

The Toronto Maple Leafs are suddenly rolling and it’s who they’ve been rolling over that’s most impressive. This isn’t good news for a short-staffed Winnipeg Jets team that will be playing the second game of back-to-backs on Thursday in Toronto.

The Jets, who are in Buffalo to play the Sabres on Wednesday, are set as +175 underdogs. Winnipeg is 7-14 straight up this season as a road underdog.

Jets vs Maple Leafs Odds

Game Time (ET) Team Moneyline Puck Line Total
Thursday March 31 Winnipeg Jets +175 +1.5 (-145) O 6.0 (-115)
7pm Toronto Maple Leafs -315 -1.5 (+125) U 6.0 (-105)

Odds as of March 30th at Caesars Sportsbook

Puck drop is set for 7pm ET at the Scotiabank Center. Despite Toronto’s potent offense, the Leafs are just 2-4-1 on the total in their past seven games.

Across the leading online sportsbooks in the NHL picks, Toronto is the sixth betting choice in the Stanley Cup odds at +1200. Currently sitting three points out of a Western Conference playoff spot, the Jets are listed at +425 to make the postseason in the NHL playoff odds.

Toronto comes home for this game off a solid 6-4 victory at Boston over the red-hot Bruins. Prior to that game, the Leafs won on home ice. They whipped the Atlantic Division-leading Florida Panthers 5-2.

Jets vs Maple Leafs Recent Results

Date Home-Away Moneyline Puck Line Over/Under
4/4/2019 Toronto 2 Winnipeg 5 WPG WPG Over
4/22/2021 Winnipeg 3 Toronto 5 TOR TOR Over
4/24/2021 Winnipeg 1 Toronto 4 TOR TOR Under
5/14/2021 Winnipeg 4 Toronto 2 WPG WPG Over
12/5/2021 Winnipeg 6 Toronto 3 WPG WPG Over

Entering play Wednesday, the Jets were 13-12-8 on the road this season. Winnipeg had collected points in 16 of their past 23 road games, going 11-7-5. In 33 road games played by the Jets, 24 had been decided by one goal.

COVID-19 Grounding Jets

Two key members of the Jets are in COVID-19 protocol and won’t be playing Thursday. Forward Kyle Connor is leading Winnipeg with 41 goals and 82 points. Defenseman Nate Schmidt has 4-27-31 totals. Forward Cole Perfetti (upper-body injury) is on IR.

It wasn’t all roses for the Leafs in Boston. During the game, Toronto lost goaltender Peter Mrazek and defensemen Justin Holl (head) and Ilya Lyubushkin (upper-body injury) during the game.

The Leafs are already without goalie Jack Campbell (ribs), and defensemen Jake Muzzin (concussion) and Rasmus Sandin (knee), who are on IR. Forward Ondrej Kase (concussion) is also out.

Leafs Overcoming Substandard Goaltending

The Leafs are bit of an anomaly is that they are winning despite their goaltending. Toronto has surrendered four of more goals 10 times over the past 15 and 13 of the last 19 games.

Rookie Erik Kallgren came on in relief of Mrazek in Tuesday’s win over the Bruins. He’s won three of his six NHL decisions and posted a shutout in his NHL debut.

Jets vs Maple Leafs Projected Starting Goalies

Team Goalie Record SV% GAA
Jets Connor Hellebuyck 24-23-9 .911 2.94
Maple Leafs Erik Kallgren 3-2-1 .911 2.64

He might not be the top contender in the Vezina Trophy odds but Connor Hellebuyck was the 2019-20 Vezina Trophy winner. With the Jets fighting desperately for a playoff spot, they are riding their horse between the pipes.

Hellebuyck was in the net in Buffalo, his 13th appearance over the last 15 games. He carried a 7-4-1 record in his last 12 decisions into Wednesday’s game.

Jets vs Maple Leafs Pick & Prediction

Prior to taking the ice in Buffalo on Wednesday, Winnipeg was 7-13-2 against the Eastern Conference this season. The Jets are 4-3-2 in the second half of back-to-backs this season.

Winnipeg has won two straight over Toronto and four of the last six games played between the two teams in Toronto. Also of note in the NHL betting trends is that in seven of the last eight games between the Jets and Leafs, the puck line has been covered.

Go with the hot hand. Take the Leafs and play the puck line.

Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs PL -1.5 (+125)

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