- Books have established Tim Ryan as the +200 favorite to be the next to drop out of the 2020 Democratic Presidential race
- The Ohio Congressman is polling at less than one percent
- Both Jay Inslee and Seth Moulton recently dropped out of the race
Will Tim Ryan drop the Democratic voting range down to 18?
Books released its latest odds on which candidate will be next to drop out of the 2020 Democratic Presidential race. Ryan, 45, a member of the House of Representatives from Akron, Ohio, is favored to do so.
Odds On Next Candidate To Drop Out Of 2020 Democratic Presidential Race
|Bill de Blasio||+400|
*Odds taken on 08/29/19.
Washington Governor Jay Inslee and Massachusetts Congressman Seth Moulton both recently dropped from the race. That reduced the number of candidates to 19.
Ryan Express Out Of Steam
It’s difficult to truly suggest that Ryan’s campaign for the 2020 Democratic Presidential nomination ever developed a head of steam.
Rep. Tim Ryan speaks at the DNC Summer Meeting in San Francisco, California. pic.twitter.com/qrAQUlQPIv
— The Hill (@thehill) August 24, 2019
For instance, a recent poll showed that while more people considered Ryan a favorable candidate (22 percent) than an unfavorable one (16 percent), a much larger percentage of those surveyed (28 percent) had never heard of him.
Ryan is polling at around one percent. His average 2020 Democratic Presidential odds are astronomical.
He simply hasn’t resonated with people. Ryan’s done little to stand out in this crowded field.
His message is aimed at the blue collar workers of America. While delivered professionally and sincerely, it seems too similar to that of the more popular Joe Biden.
In addition, Ryan didn’t make the stage for next month’s third round of Democratic Primary debates. That should serve as a death knell to his campaign.
breaking: found my running mate pic.twitter.com/b1HsuwLUA7
— Tim Ryan (@TimRyan) August 28, 2019
You have to give Ryan credit for one thing. He hasn’t lost his sense of humor. For instance, tapping into pop culture, he recently suggested a Popeye’s chicken sandwich as his 2020 running mate.
Bombastic Bill Should Go Next – But Won’t
Logically, the candidate for whom it makes the most sense to bid adieu to the race is New York Mayor Bill de Blasio.
The New York City Police Benevolent Association issued a no confidence vote regarding de Blasio. They’re upset over the firing of police officer Daniel Pantaleo. Videotape caught Pantaleo using a prohibited chokehold on suspect Eric Garner, who later died.
— John Cardillo (@johncardillo) August 28, 2019
De Blasio, through a spokesperson, accused the NYCPBA of seeking to divide the city.
This situation is a tinder box that could easily explode. That’s why it should be de Blasio’s priority. However, he continues to campaign for a Democratic Presidential nomination he’ll never get.
Culling The Democratic Field
Slowly but surely, the Democratic Presidential race is thinning out. Inslee and Moulton both departed in order to focus on their re-election campaigns for the political positions they currently hold, for instance.
Congrats and thank you @JayInslee for running on climate change and being a strong voice on the issue. Glad you’re running for a third term! Believe me, I’ve learned you can stop running for president and still contribute to the issues you care about. Keep fighting!
— John Kerry (@JohnKerry) August 22, 2019
Only ten candidates will be in Houston for the next debate. However, it’s difficult to envision more than five or six being legitimate Presidential hopefuls.
On the other hand, the nine who missed the cut should get the memo. It’s time to go. But who goes next?
It won’t be de Blasio, Tom Steyer, Marianne Williamson or Tulsi Gabbard. They’re all too stubborn to give up.
— CNN Newsroom (@CNNnewsroom) August 29, 2019
After that, next up to be out is likely between Ryan, Steve Bullock, Michael Bennet, or John Delaney.
In conclusion, let’s opt for Bennet. He holds a unique achievement. He’s the least recognized and worst-polling candidate of any candidate who’ve previously held office.
Pick: Michael Bennet (+700)
Let's have fun and keep it civil.