Formula 1 Belgian Grand Prix Odds & Picks (2023)
- Max Verstappen vies for eighth straight win this weekend at the 2023 Belgian Grand Prix
- Lando Norris sits second on F1 odds following back-to-back second-place finishes
- Read on for all the Belgian Grand Prix odds, picks, and predictions ahead of Sunday morning’s race at Circuit de Spa-Francorchamps
Max Verstappen aims to build on last weekend’s master class performance at the Hungarian Grand Prix when he vies for a third straight Belgian Grand Prix victory. Verstappen extended his lead atop the F1 Drivers Standings to 110 points over second-place Sergio Perez with his dominating win in Hungary, which also extended his overall win streak to seven races.
Here’s a look at all the odds and trends ahead of the 2023 Belgian Grand Prix on Sunday morning, with race time set for 9:00am ET at Circuit de Spa-Francorchamps.
Odds to Win 2023 Belgian Grand Prix
| Driver | Odds to Win | Odds to Finish Top Three | Odds to Finish Top Six | Odds to Finish Top Ten |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Verstappen | -360 | -550 | -700 | -900 |
| Lando Norris | +900 | -150 | -500 | -750 |
| Sergio Perez | +1100 | -140 | -500 | -750 |
| Lewis Hamilton | +1400 | +140 | -500 | -650 |
| Oscar Piastri | +2200 | +260 | -300 | -650 |
| George Russell | +2500 | +270 | -300 | -650 |
| Charles Leclerc | +2500 | +450 | -150 | -450 |
| Carlos Sainz Jr. | +3500 | +550 | -105 | -400 |
| Fernando Alonso | +5000 | +550 | +100 | -350 |
| Lance Stroll | +25000 | +8000 | +800 | +110 |
| Valtteri Bottas | +30000 | +13000 | +3000 | +240 |
| Pierre Gasly | +30000 | +13000 | +1100 | +125 |
| Guanyu Zhou | +30000 | +13000 | +3000 | +285 |
| Esteban Ocon | +30000 | +13000 | +1100 | +125 |
| Nico Hulkenberg | +50000 | +20000 | +5000 | +400 |
| Kevin Magnusson | +50000 | +20000 | +5500 | +450 |
| Daniel Ricciardo | +50000 | +20000 | +4000 | +400 |
| Alex Albon | +50000 | +15000 | +1000 | +110 |
| Yuki Tsunoda | +70000 | +20000 | +4000 | +400 |
| Logan Sargent | +70000 | +25000 | +4000 | +450 |
Verstappen is once again perched as massive favorite, with short -360 odds of claiming his 10th victory of the season. He is also pegged as heavy -550 chalk to claim a spot on the podium for the 13th time in as many F1 race appearances. After turning in back-to-back second-place performances for the first time in his Formula 1 career, Lando Norris has finally captured the attention of oddsmakers, who have listed him as a distant +900 second favorite. Sergio Perez closely trails Norris at +1100, while Lewis Hamilton sits as a +1400 bet to take home the checkered flag in Belgium for the fifth time in his career.
Sign Up Today & Receive Up to
$1,050 in Bonuses!
Odds at DraftKings as of July 25, 2023. Lock in a DraftKings promo code to bet on the 2023 Belgian Grand Prix. Bettors in KY can check out the latest on Kentucky sports betting.
Can McLaren Maintain Momentum?
The McLaren duo of Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri proved that their impressive finishes among the top four in Britain were no fluke with another strong showing last weekend in Hungary. Norris and Piastri claimed the second row in qualifying and leveraged strong starts on their way to second and fifth place, respectively.
Lando Norris breaking Max Verstappen’s #HungarianGP trophy 😂🫣 pic.twitter.com/p1MGE7ZOli
— SuperSport 🏆 (@SuperSportTV) July 23, 2023
Recent upgrades have made all the difference at McLaren, producing a car that is dominant on corners and also maintained impressive pace on the long straightaways in Hungary. With the track at Circuit de Spa-Francorchamps offering similar challenges, and McLaren’s principal rivals (apart from Red Bull) all facing issues, there is no reason to expect Norris and Piastri to let up.
That is reflected in the Belgian Grand Prix odds, where Norris is now perched as an intriguing +900 bet to claim his first ever win, and Piastri has turned heads with +260 odds to reaching the podium. However, the best value may be found in the qualifying odds, where Norris cannot be ignored as a +850 bet to turn in the fastest time.
Belgian Grand Prix Recent Winners
| Year | Driver | Margin of Victory | Pole Position | Fastest Lap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Max Verstappen – Red Bull Racing | 17.841 sec | Carlos Sainz Jr. – Ferrari | Max Verstappen – Red Bull Racing |
| 2021 | Max Verstappen – Red Bull Racing | 1.995 sec | Max Verstappen – Red Bull Racing | None |
| 2020 | Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes | 8.448 sec | Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes | Daniel Ricciardo – Renault |
| 2019 | Charles Leclerc – Ferrari | 0.981 sec | Charles Leclerc – Ferrari | Sebastian Vettel – Ferrari |
| 2018 | Sebastian Vettel – Ferrari | 11.061 sec | Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes | Valtteri Bottas – Mercedes |
| 2017 | Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes | 2.358 sec | Sebastian Vettel – Ferrari | Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes |
| 2016 | Nico Rosberg – Mercedes | 14.113 sec | Nico Rosberg – Mercedes | Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes |
| 2015 | Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes | 2.058 sec | Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes | Nico Rosberg – Mercedes |
| 2014 | Daniel Ricciardo – Red Bull-Renault | 3.383 sec | Nico Rosberg – Mercedes | Nico Rosberg – Mercedes |
Ferrari Fading Fast
While Red Bull and McLaren soar, it was yet another lost weekend for Ferrari. Still lagging in fourth place in the F1 Constructors Standings, the Prancing Horse managed to get in its own way once again in Hungary. Struggling to stay in the hunt for a podium spot, Charles Leclerc managed to ruin his own hopes by taking a five-second penalty for speeding in the pit lane, and was effectively bounced from contention by a sloppy pit stop that took over nine seconds on his way to seventh place.
A five-second time penalty for speeding in the pit lane! Charles Leclerc's afternoon has taken another turn for the worse 😩 pic.twitter.com/LXprZYAJWc
— Sky Sports F1 (@SkySportsF1) July 23, 2023
Things were no better for Carlos Sainz Jr., who showed little fight in duels with both Sergio Perez and George Russell. Sainz ended up settling for eighth place in his third finish outside the top six in six outings. The 28-year-old Spaniard enjoyed success at this race a year ago, claiming the pole and finishing third. But considering just how uninspired Ferrari has looked this season, there is better value in Sainz as a +400 to not be classified than there is in his -105 odds to finish top six.
The same holds true for Leclerc, who looks ill-equipped to compete on a track like Belgium, and has finished better than sixth just once so far in the European leg of the F1 schedule.
The Picks:
- Lando Norris fastest qualifier (+850)
- Carlos Sainz Jr. to not be classified (+400)
DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOKBET $5 & GET $150 INSTANTLY & A NO SWEAT NBA SGP EVERY DAY!
- FANDUEL SPORTSBOOK
BET $5 & GET $150 IF YOUR BET WINS!
- BETMGM SPORTSBOOK
GET UP TO $1,500 BACK IN BONUS BETS!
- CAESARS SPORTSBOOK
GET UP TO $1,000 BACK - ON CAESARS!
Daniel has been writing about sports and sports betting for over 23 years. The seasoned pro has contributed to the likes of Sports Illustrated, Sportsnet, NESN, Bleacher Report, OddsShark, the Globe and Mail, and The Nation magazine.
