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NASCAR Bank of America ROVAL 400 Odds and Picks

Chris Wassel

by Chris Wassel in Racing

Oct 7, 2021 · 6:58 AM PDT

NASCAR Bank of America ROVAL 400
Chase Elliott waves to fans before a NASCAR Cup Series auto race at Bristol Motor Speedway Saturday, Sept. 18, 2021, in Bristol, Tenn. (AP Photo/Mark Humphrey)
  • Chase Elliott is the favorite this week at the Bank of American ROVAL 400 on Sunday, October 10th, 2021
  • The “Race For The Chase” continues as the Round of 12 hits the ROVAL
  • We’ve got you covered with all the odds and trends ahead of Sunday afternoon’s race at Charlotte

NASCAR heads to Charlotte for the Bank of America ROVAL 400 on Sunday afternoon. This is after the race at Talladega, where Bubba Wallace held off Brad Keselowski and Joey Logano to win the rain-shortened YellaWood 500. The Charlotte race is the one that will eliminate four more drivers as we head towards the Round of 8. The Bank of America ROVAL 400 odds favor Chase Elliot at +220. However, current NASCAR Cup leader, Kyle Larson, is listed at +450 in the NASCAR odds this week.

Let’s look at the Bank of America ROVAL 400 odds from the Charlotte Motor Speedway and figure out which drivers are the best bets.

NASCAR Bank Of America ROVAL 400 Odds

Driver Odds to Win Odds to Finish Top Three Odds to Finish Top Five
Chase Elliott +220 -240 -450
Kyle Larson +450 -110 -200
Martin Truex Jr. +700 +160 -110
Kyle Busch +1000 +330 +110
Denny Hamlin +1100 +370 +120
William Byron +1300 +425 +160
Christopher Bell +1500 +500 +210
A.J. Almendinger +1800 +600 +260
Joey Logano +2000 +650 +290
Ryan Blaney +2200 +750 +300
Alex Bowman +2500 +800 +340
Kevin Harvick +2500 +850 +370
Kurt Busch +2800 +950 +400
Ross Chastain +3000 +1000 +425
Chase Briscoe +3500 +1100 +450
Brad Keselowski +4000 +1300 +550
Matt DiBenedetto +5000 +1700 +700
Tyler Reddick +5000 +1700 +700
Michael McDowell +6000 +1000 +850

Odds as of October 6th at DraftKings

Chase Elliott The Road Favorite to Win at Charlotte

NASCAR drivers will run on the 2.28-mile Charlotte Motor Speedway when the flag drops for the Sunday afternoon race beginning around 2:00 PM EST.

At Talladega, the racing gods proved to be crazy. No one could believe the results. It was something else that Bubba Wallace won the Talladega race, right before the final half of the series takes place.

Chase Elliott benefits because he is one of the few drivers that truly just shows up for a road course. It is his consistency that has served him so well. The No. 9 driver has an average finish of 2.67 along with three top tens and two wins.

Now, as an aside, it is nice to see odds a little more back to normal. The road course has an interesting qualifying order with Joe Gibbs Racing drivers and Team Penske leading the way.

Denny Hamlin starts at the pole based on metrics and is the fifth betting favorite at +1100 in the Bank of America ROVAL 400 odds. Again, the top 12 in the playoff chase get the preference here as far as starting order. This is the type of race where the road warriors have a leg up. However, there are some interesting possibilities. That is true especially when it comes to Chase Elliott, who starts eighth on Sunday.

Plus, the final race of this three-race trilogy carries features the last road race of 2021. Elliott is the dominant driver when it comes to road courses and especially the Charlotte ROVAL. Alex Bowman and Ryan Blaney were not too far behind the No. 9 in the last three seasons.

Bank of America ROVAL 400 Recent Winners

Year Race Winner Pole Position Most Laps Led
2020 Chase Elliott — Hendrick Motorsports Racing Denny Hamlin — Joe Gibbs Racing Chase Elliott and William Byron — Hendrick Motorsports Racing
2019 Chase Elliott — Hendrick Motorsports Racing William Byron — Hendrick Motorsports Racing Chase Elliott — Hendrick Motorsports Racing
2018 Ryan Blaney — Team Penske Kurt Busch — Stewart-Haas Racing Kyle Larsson — Chip Ganassi Racing

The race is normally 109 laps but overtime has not occurred once in the three incarnations of the race since it became a ROVAL for the Fall version.

William Byron and Alex Bowman Betting Odds & Analysis

Sports bettors have a small window of history when it comes to two of the Hendrick Motorsports Racing drivers. Yes, William Byron and Alex Bowman have ticked downward in the NASCAR Cup Series odds, but here is where it gets fun. There is now no margin for error.

The good news is that William Byron has had one of the faster cars in practice at Charlotte the past couple of seasons, and Alex Bowman has an average finish of 4.67 in his last three ROVAL races. These two drivers are 11th and 12th in the playoffs and need the result to advance. It’s that simple.

So, does one go with Bowman despite some bad luck or even risk Byron despite even worse luck? That is an excellent question. With a 4th, 2nd, and 8th, the safer choice may be Bowman on Sunday afternoon.

Almendinger as a Longshot at Bank of America ROVAL 400

So, the problem with a driver like A.J. Almendinger is that he did finish seventh in his only ROVAL appearance but never factored into contending. He did not lead a single lap or come close to doing so. Also, he starts back in 33rd. It could take him a good while to get close to the front. Can Almendinger find the right formula like he did at Indianapolis?

It’s an excellent question. There are some other possibilities as well. Ryan Blaney is one of the most obvious with his average finish of 4.67. Then, there is Alex Bowman, like we mentioned above. Combine that with Joey Logano three for three in top-ten results since 2018, and those are several of the more intriguing candidates for a win.

Out of the three, Bowman is the one that needs the result the most. Likely, it takes a top-five result at a minimum for the No. 48 driver to advance to the next round.

There are many directions to go on Sunday.

Finally, here are our best bets:

  • Top Pick: Chase Elliott to win (+220)
  • Medium Shots: Joey Logano (+2000), Ryan Blaney (+2200)
  • Longshot: Tyler Reddick (+5000)
  • Ryan Blaney Top 3 (+300), Denny Hamlin Top 5 (+120), Tyler Reddick Top 5 (+700)
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