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Argentina vs Switzerland Anytime Goalscorer Picks – Get a +400 Longshot Bet

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk in Soccer News

Published:


Switzerland's Breel Embolo celebrates a goal
June 13, 2026; Santa Clara, California, U.S.; Switzerland's Breel Embolo celebrates scoring their first goal with Remo Freuler and Ruben Vargas. Mandatory Credit: Darren Yamashita-Imagn Images

Argentina meets Switzerland in the fourth and final 2026 World Cup quarterfinal in Kansas City, Missouri, with kickoff set for 6:00 pm ET on Saturday, July 11.

Lionel Scaloni’s side enters as the more forceful attacking team, while Murat Yakin’s Switzerland projects as a compact underdog looking to counter into space.

This article focuses on the best anytime goalscorer angles for that matchup, weighing Argentina’s sustained pressure against Switzerland’s transition threat.

Argentina vs Switzerland Anytime Goalscorer Picks

Player (Team)Betting Odds
Lautaro Martinez (ARG) 1+ Goal+285 (26¢ at Kalshi)
Breel Embolo (SUI) 1+ Goal+400 (20¢ at Kalshi)

My two anytime goal picks include one striker for either team, and both are +285 or longer. My first play is may not start the game on the pitch, but I still see him as solid value at long odds.

Lautaro Martinez Anytime Goalscorer (+285) at Kalshi

Prediction Markets
Anytime Goal Pick #1
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Kalshi
Lautaro Martinez 1+ Goal
76%

Lautaro Martinez at +285 is better framed as a value play than a “red-hot form” bet. In Argentina’s seven most-recent matches, he has two goals and two assists across 375 minutes, including a World Cup goal against Jordan and a goal/assist in the Iceland friendly.

That recent national-team sample is not overwhelming, especially with several 55-to-65-minute outings and a 24-minute cameo, but the broader Argentina log is much stronger: 16 goals in 25 Argentina appearances since June 2024, roughly a goal every 86 minutes.

His recent Inter form is a useful third-level support signal, too, with four goals (and two assists) across his last seven club appearances.

Messi rightfully draws the majority of Switzerland’s attention, and that can create the kind of penalty-area looks Martinez needs. At 26 cents on Kalshi, the contract remains playable plus-money value rather than a pure form-chasing bet.

Breel Embolo Anytime Goalscorer (+400) at Kalshi

Prediction Markets
Anytime Goal Pick #2
Learn more about Prediction Markets
Kalshi
Breel Embolo 1+ Goal
20%

Embolo’s recent results support this as a longshot value pick, especially when weighting Switzerland matches most heavily. In his six most-recent Switzerland appearances, he has racked up three goals (and two assists) across 505 minutes, including World Cup goals against Qatar and Algeria plus a friendly goal against Jordan.

Expanding the lens to all Switzerland matches over the past two years, the profile still holds: he has 13 goals (and four assists) for the national team since June 2024, showing that his Switzerland role is more productive than his club baseline with Rennes, where he generated just twi goals in his last seven.

At 20 cents on Kalshi (+400), Embolo’s national-team usage, set-piece/box presence, penalty acumen, and counter-attacking role against an aggressive Argentina side are enough to support him as a reasonable longshot bet.

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Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

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