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Fiorentina vs West Ham Odds, Prediction, Lineups – Europa Conference League Final

Sam Cox

by Sam Cox in Soccer News

Updated Jun 6, 2023 · 12:01 PM PDT

Fiorentina vs West Ham
West Ham's Kurt Zouma looks round to his teammates during the Europa League round of 16 second leg soccer match between West Ham United and Sevilla at the London stadium in London, Thursday, March 17, 2022. (AP Photo/Matt Dunham)
  • Fiorentina and West Ham matchup in the 2023 Europa Conference League final on Wednesday
  • Both teams are priced at +170 to win the match inside 90 minutes at FanDuel
  • Read below for our full preview, statistics and the latest Fiorentina vs West Ham odds

Prague hosts Fiorentina and West Ham for the second-ever Europa Conference League final on Wednesday. Bookmakers cannot split the two teams.

It is an opportunity at history for both clubs, with Fiorentina not lifting silverware in over two decades and West Ham last winning a trophy back in 1980.

La Viola needed extra time to get past Basel in the last round after losing at home. West Ham, meanwhile, were efficient to see off AZ Alkmaar in the last four and boast an extraordinary record in the competition with 13 wins from 14 matches. David Moyes and Vincenzo Italiano have been able to rotate domestically towards the end of the season in preparation for this match.

Fiorentina vs West Ham Odds

Matchup Moneyline
Fiorentina +170
West Ham +170
Draw +210

Both teams share the same moneyline price for this match of +170. They each carry a 37% implied probability of winning this fixture inside 90 minutes. The draw has an implied probability of just over 32%.

 

 

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Fiorentina vs West Ham odds as of June 6th at FanDuel. Use this FanDuel Sportsbook promo to bet on the Europa Conference League Final.

Fiorentina vs West Ham Over/Under and Spread

The over/under is set at 2.5 for this fixture. Sportsbooks are leaning towards the under, however, with a +118 on over 2.5 and -150 on under 2.5 at FanDuel. Both teams to score comes in at -116. Naturally, neither team is favored on the spread with their dead-even moneyline prices. Fiorentina +1 sits at +230 at the time of writing.

Fiorentina vs West Ham Preview

Finals have a tendency to be cagey with tension restricting attacking play. Fiorentina, though, have been an attack-first team all season long and will surely look to maintain that attitude in Prague. They are by far the competition’s leading scorers with 36 in 14 matches, which is nine more than any other team. They have scored in each of their last seven matches, a streak which includes their Coppa Italia final loss to Inter last month.

West Ham have plenty of attacking talent to go toe-to-toe with Fiorentina, but it’s no secret that Moyes is a pragmatist. The Hammers have reached this final by keeping seven clean sheets in 14 Europa Conference League matches, and have averaged just 41.4% possession in the Premier League this term.

It’s clear that the possession-oriented Fiorentina will dominate the ball on Wednesday, but West Ham are comfortable sitting deep with Tomas Soucek and Declan Rice shielding the back four. Their attack is equipped to cause problems in transition. After underachieving their expected metrics in the first half of the season, the Hammers have seen their attack become much more clinical since the turn of the year.

Where Fiorentina will be charged with dissecting a deep West Ham defense, the Irons are going to spring counters and move the ball quickly. Of teams to play more than six matches in the Conference League in 2022-23, West Ham average the most through balls per 90. This is a contest of contrasting styles, which should provide an intriguing tactical clash and produce some challenges for Italiano and Moyes.

Fiorentina vs West Ham Lineups and Injuries

Fiorentina Projected Lineup: Terracciano; Dodo, Martinez Quarta, Milenkovic, Biraghi; Amrabat, Mandragora; Gonzalez, Bonaventura, Ikone; Cabral.

Fiorentina Injuries: Sirigu.

West Ham Projected Lineup: Areola; Kehrer, Aguerd, Zouma, Cresswell; Soucek, Rice; Bowen, Paqueta, Benrahma; Antonio.

West Ham Injuries: Scamacca.

Fiorentina vs West Ham Statistics

Fiorentina
VS
West Ham
81 Goals 62
15.9 Shots taken per 90 12.7
455.3 Passes per 90 387.4
120 yellows, 3 reds Cards 56 yellows, 0 reds
9.2 Shots inside the area per 90 7

*Stats from all comps

Fiorentina vs West Ham Prediction

The first market which stands out is over 4.5 total cards. Fiorentina have racked up bookings this season. Of teams to play more than six matches in the competition, only Cluj averages more cautions per match. West Ham have several ball carriers who could lure La Viola into fouls, and there are a few booking candidates in the projected West Ham XI, despite their low card tally. This could be a combative final.

We are pairing the cards pick with both teams to score. BTTS has landed in Fiorentina’s last five across all competitions and their previous five in the Conference League. West Ham are not usually a good BTTS team, but we think they should create enough against this Fiorentina defense, and we feel confident backing the Serie A outfit to find the net with their goal-scoring record in European competition.

Fiorentina vs West Ham Picks: Over 4.5 total cards and BTTS (+174)

 

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