- The Leagues Cup is down to the final four teams with the semifinals taking place on Tuesday, August 15, 2023
- Lionel Messi and Inter Miami are favored over the Philadelphia Union, while Nashville and Monterrey are each lined at -110 to advance
- Get our top Leagues Cup predictions for the semifinals here
It’s a good time to be an Inter Miami fan as the Herons, and new addition Lionel Messi haven’t made a misstep yet and cruised into the Leagues Cup semifinals after beating Charlotte FC. Can they continue their run on the road in Philly? Will Monterrey stay perfect and give Liga MX an entry into the final when they face Nashville? We preview both games and give our best Leagues Cup predictions for the semifinals here.
Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami Odds
|Inter Miami CF
The Union come in as +187 moneyline favorites in the Leagues Cup odds to win in regulation and -105 for an implied probability of 51.22% to advance. Miami’s odds are +125 in regulation and -143 to advance. The total of 2.5 is juiced to the Over at -188. Be sure to claim your Bet365 bonus code to get a great bonus for the Leagues Cup today.
Philadelphia vs Miami Preview
Tournament favorites Miami are still standing in the Leagues Cup as despite a horrendous MLS campaign, the additions of Lionel Messi, Sergio Busquets and Jordi Alba have transformed the Herons into a team that has now won five straight.
Miami beat Cruz Azul 2-1 and Atlanta United 4-0 in the group stage. They took down Orlando 3-1 in the round of 32, drew Dallas 4-4 before winning in PKs in the round of 16 and routed Charlotte 4-0 in the quarterfinals. Messi, as expected has been the star with eight goals and three assists, though an under the radar star in Robert Taylor has also emerged. Taylor has four goals and four assists in the Leagues Cup himself.
Philadelphia are still undefeated themselves. They cruised past Tijuana and Queretaro 3-1 and 5-1 respectively in the group stage. Then it was two PK wins. They drew DC 0-0 in the round of 32 and the New York Red Bulls 1-1 in the round of 16 before needing spot kicks to advance. In the quarterfinals they were moments away from going to penalties again before Chris Donovan scored ten minutes into second half stoppage time to give the Union a 2-1 win.
Daniel Gazdag leads the Union with four goals, but missed out last game with a knee injury and could still be out on Tuesday.
— Inter Miami CF (@InterMiamiCF) August 12, 2023
Philadelphia vs Miami Prediction
All five Miami games have gone Over 2.5 this tournament. But most of that is to do with Messi and Miami’s new-look offense. But not always. We just saw them go on the road to Dallas and concede four goals. In MLS, Miami has gone 1-1-9 on the road and has been outscored 21-7.
Now they get a Philly team who are absolutely dominant at Subaru Park. In MLS they are 8-2-1 with 23 goals scored and seven conceded. Across all comps they’ve now won ten straight at home and are undefeated in 15. The Union have lost just once in 38 home games and have only four home losses since the start of 2020.
Right now it’s hard to see Miami not scoring and likely advancing. It’s also hard to not to see Messi scoring. He’s priced at -138 in the Leagues Cup odds to score. Philly could be without Gazdag and Julian Carranza who left last game injured, but at home they should be able to contribute to the scoresheet. After that, I see someone scoring at least a second.
- Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami Picks: Both teams to score & over 2.5 (-138)
Nashville SC vs Monterrey Odds
In the Nashville vs Monterrey odds, oddsmakers are basically split. Nashville are slight +155 home favorites, while Liga MX side Monterrey are +162. Both are given identical odds of -110 to advance. Over 2.5 goals is favored at -125 and the Under is priced at even-money.
Nashville vs Monterrey Preview
Nashville will host this second Leagues Cup semifinal earning their place by virtue of a 5-0 win over Minnesota United in the quarterfinals.
Prior to that, they beat Colorado 2-1, lost to Toluca 4-3, drew Cincinnati 1-1 in the round of 32 (winning in PKs), and drew Club America 2-2 (winning in PKs) in the round of 16.
Their opponents, Monterrey, are actually the only team that is a complete perfect 5-0-0 without needing penalties for any of those wins. They beat RSL and Seattle 3-0 and 4-2 respectively in the group stage. In the round of 32 they beat Portland 1-0 and then took out their Mexican rivals Tigres 1-0 in the round of 16.
German Berterame had been leading Los Rayados with five goals but suffered a fractured ankle and is out of the competition. But Monterrey is a deep team and others have stepped up with new addition Sergio Canales scoring in each of the past two games from the spot and Rogelio Funes Mori scoring his club record 154th goal last game versus LAFC. Monterrey found themselves down 2-0 to the MLS Cup champs in the quarterfinals until Canales’ 68′ minute PK which spurred the comeback. Monterrey scored three goals in 20 minutes to claim the 3-2 win.
Nashville vs Monterrey Prediction
5-0 looks great on paper, but Minnesota also took a red card a half hour into the game while it was still scoreless and from that moment the route was on. Full credit to the Yotes for taking advantage of the extra man and not letting up, but not all 5-0s are created equally.
This game could also see some goals, or at least one from each side. Nashville has kept only two clean sheets in their past 19 games across all comps. But they’ve also scored 13 goals in their five Leagues Cup games, which is tied for the third-most in the tournament. At home, they’ve found the back of the net in 12 of their past 13 games in all comps.
However, of the final four teams, the eight goals Nashville has conceded is the most. Monterrey (4), Philly (4) and Miami (6) have all conceded less.
Monterrey have scored in all five tournament games for a total of 12 goals. Going back over their past seven games in all comps, they’ve outscored their opponents by a 16-5 margin. They’re also usually locks to find the back of the net, having scored in 26 of their past 28 games.
I like both teams to score at -163 in the Nashville vs Monterrey odds, or for better value I see Monterrey continuing to carry the flag for Liga MX and advancing to the final.
- Nashville SC vs Monterrey Picks: Monterrey to advance (-110)
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