Upcoming Match-ups

Women’s World Cup Predictions, Odds for Semifinals – Spain vs Sweden & Australia vs England

Ryan Metivier

by Ryan Metivier in Soccer News

Updated Aug 14, 2023 · 8:10 AM PDT

Sam Kerr celebrates after scoring a goal
Aug 5, 2021; Ibaraki, Japan; Team Australia forward Sam Kerr (2) celebrates after scoring a goal against USA in the first half during the bronze medal match during the Tokyo 2020 Olympic Summer Games at Ibaraki Kashima Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jack Gruber-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Women’s World Cup Semifinals will feature Spain vs Sweden on Tuesday and Australia vs England on Wednesday
  • Oddsmakers are favoring Spain and England to advance and meet in the Women’s World Cup Final
  • Read on for our top Women’s World Cup predictions for the semifinals here

One thing is for sure this year at the Women’s World Cup and that is that there will be a new first-time winner. None of Spain, Sweden, Australia or England have ever won a title, while only Sweden has ever even reached the big game. Read on as we lay out the odds for the final four and give our semifinals Women’s World Cup prediction.

Spain vs Sweden will be the first semifinal taking place at 4:00 am EST on Tuesday, August 15. The second semifinal sees Australia playing England at 6:00 am EST on Wednesday, August 16.

Spain vs Sweden Odds

Matchup Moneyline To Advance
Spain +105 -175
Sweden +260 +125
Draw +230 N/A

The Spain vs Sweden odds favor La Roja at +105 to win in regulation giving them an implied probability of 48.78% to win on the moneyline. They are -175 favorites to win by any means. Under 2.5 goals is also favored in totals betting at -200. The Over is +150. Be sure to claim your Bet365 bonus code to get a great bonus for the Women’s World Cup today.


Bet $5 on Soccer & Get $100 Instantly!

BET $5
GET $100


Spain vs Sweden Preview

Of the four remaining teams, only Spain were second place finishers in the group stage. They were 2-0-1 in Group C beating Costa Rica 3-0, Zambia 5-0 and losing to Japan 4-0.

In the round of 16, Spain topped Switzerland 5-1, but in the quarterfinals they were pushed to the brink going to extra-time with the Netherlands after being drawn 1-1 at the end of regulation and 12 minutes of stoppage time. Spain had looked to be on their way to a win after Mariona Caldentey’s 81′ minute penalty. However, Stefanie van der Gragt got the Dutch on the board in the 91′ minute to force extra-time. That set the stage for Salma Paralluelo to score the winner in the second half of stoppage-time and give Spain a 2-1 win.

Sweden finished first in Group G at 3-0-0. They beat South Africa 2-1, Italy 5-0, and Argentina 2-0. That sent them into the round of 16 versus USA which ended 0-0 and needed penalties to see Sweden advance.

In the quarterfinals, Sweden came out strong and took a 2-0 lead 51 minutes into the game, before Japan pulled one back in the 87′ to come up short 2-1. Amanda Illestedt scored the game’s first goal and is Sweden’s leading scorer with four goals despite being a defender.

Spain vs Sweden Prediction

Sweden are the higher-ranked nation in this semifinal, but just barely, ranking third, to Spain’s sixth. This is their fourth time making the semifinals or further, including going out in the semis in 2019. For Spain, this is new territory. Never before had they reached the quarterfinals and this will now be their first time in the semifinals.

Spain are the tournament’s highest scorers with 15 goals (tied with Japan), while Sweden have still only allowed two goals, scoring 11 themselves. They have three players in Aitana Bonmati, Jennifer Hermoso and Alba Redondo.

While I love this Spain team this tournament, this is still new territory for them and they got blanked versus Japan, a team Sweden just beat. The Swedes have been knocking on the door of major tournament success for years. They made the semis at the Euros and lost in the final of the Olympics. At plus-money, they offer better value for me here in the Spain vs Sweden odds.

  • Spain vs Sweden Picks: Sweden to advance (+125)

Australia vs England Odds

Matchup Moneyline To Advance
Australia +240 +110
England +130 -150
Draw +210 N/A

The Australia vs England odds favor the Lionesses at +130 to win within 90 minutes. That gives England an implied probability of 43.48% to win. To advance by any means they are priced at -150 odds. The total for the game of 2.5 is lined at -211 for the Under and +160 for the Over.

Australia vs England Preview

Two teams aiming to reach their first Women’s World Cup final meet in this Australia vs England semifinal. The host Aussies come in rank tenth, while England are the fourth ranked nation.

In the group stages, Australia won Group B beating Ireland 1-0, losing 3-2 to Nigeria and beating Canada 4-0. In the knockout rounds they claimed a 2-0 win over Denmark in the round of 16 and a penalty kicks win over France in the quarterfinals after being drawn 0-0 at the end of regulation. Injured star Sam Kerr who got hurt just prior to the Matildas’ opening game, is still working her way back to fitness and again didn’t start. But Kerr did sub on for 66 minutes and scored during penalties.

The Lionesses of England are still perfect in the tournament. They were 3-0-0 in Group D beating Haiti 1-0, Denmark 1-0 and China 6-1. After a 0-0 draw with Nigeria in the round of 16 they went on to win in penalties, which set up a quarterfinal match with Colombia. Despite falling behind 1-0, England tied it up quickly to be drawn 1-1 at half and Alessia Russo’s second half goal proved enough for a 2-1 win. England got the win without leading scorer Lauren James who was suspended in the quarterfinals and will again be out here.

Australia vs England Prediction

Even with more games played than some teams, neither of these teams are among the top teams when it comes to scoring, despite each scoring a goal in four of five games. England have scored ten goals and Australia nine, which is only sixth and seventh overall.

Both have brought solid defenses to the tournament conceding just two (ENG) and three (AUS) goals. For Australia, those three goals all came in one game. The Under 2.5 is has gone 3-2 for both teams. Australia has kept four clean sheets during the tournament and England three.

They’ve played two common opponents in Nigeria and Denmark. England drew Nigeria 0-0 (PK win) and Australia lost 3-2. Both beat Denmark, Australia 2-0 and England 1-0.

To me this is a toss up and the Matildas as underdogs would offer the better value to advance to the final playing with the home crowd and the likely inclusion of Kerr for most of the game. But you certainly can’t count out the Euro winners England.

The Under looks the play but is heavily juiced. So let’s do this Australia vs England same-game parlay. Our Women’s World Cup prediction here will be Under 2.5 plus Russo to have 1+ shot on target. She scored last game, has two goals in the tournament and leads the team in both shots (11) and shots on target (7). She’s had at least one shot in four of five games and multiple shots in three games.

  • Australia vs England Picks: Under 2.5 + Alessia Russo Over 0.5 shots on target (+105)

Before making this week’s Women’s World Cup predictions, check out the top US betting sites to get a great bonus for all of your wagers this WWC tournament.

Author Image