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Liga MX Clausura Quarterfinals Leg 2 Odds & Picks – Atlas vs Guadalajara & Tigres vs Cruz Azul (May 15)

Paul Attfield

by Paul Attfield in Soccer

May 15, 2022 · 8:09 AM PDT

Ethan Finlay
Austin FC midfielder Ethan Finlay (13) and Atlas FC midfielder Gonzalo Maroni (10) chase the ball during a match at Q2 Stadium in Austin, Texas on Feb. 16, 2022. Finlay
  • It’s a pair of heavyweight matchups in the second leg of the Liga MX Clausura quarterfinals
  • Atlas is a slight favorite to edge Chivas Guadalajara, while Tigres UANL are heavy favorites to beat Cruz Azul
  • Read on for betting odds, a full preview and best bets for these two pivotal matches

While Saturday’s  Liga MX  Clausura quarterfinal second legs involved four teams that drew their opening matches, the slate of games for Sunday, May 15th, featured a pair of teams that both won their first legs away from home.

Now Atlas will be looking to seal the deal at home against Guadalajara, while Tigres UANL will be hoping to get past Cruz Azul at University Stadium.

Atlas vs Guadalajara Odds

Matchup Moneyline
Atlas +125
Guadalajara +225
Draw +200

All odds as of May 15th at Barstool Sportsbook


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Over/Under and Spread

After Atlas scored the first two goals in Thursday’s first leg, before hanging on for a 2-1 win, the bookies feel that Los Zorros can wrap up a quarterfinal victory here. They also feel that goals will be hard to come by, with the Under 2.5 favored at -175. With Atlas boasting the joint-stingiest defense in the Clausura, conceding less than one per game, that seems a solid bet. The home side also looks a good bet at +104 for a spread of -0.5. For more on what that means and how it might influence how you place your wager, take a look at this primer on point spreads.

Atlas On A Roll

With just one loss in its past six games, the 2021 Apertura champions are peaking at just the right time coming into Sunday’s second leg. While they finished in third place in the Clausura table, thanks in no small part to their almost watertight defense, the team did struggle for goals, ending up with just 21 goals in 17 matches.

The squad is much the same as the one that clinched the Apertura title, although winger Jairo Torres recently left to join MLS club Chicago Fire. However, Atlas has struggled in recent meetings with its cross-town rival, winning just three of the past 10 head-to-head matchups. Meanwhile, Guadalajara has won six of their clashes, which have mostly been low-scoring, tense affairs, with a very physical edge – three red cards were handed out when the two fought out a 1-1 draw in March.

Chivas Coming Around

Interim manager Ricardo Cadena has certainly had the desired effect since taking over, leading Chivas to five straight wins before last week’s loss at home to Atlas in his first El Clasico Tapatio.  After finishing the Clausura season in sixth, Guadalajara had to negotiate the play-in round, which it did with a 4-1 victory over Pumas UNAM.

Goals came more easily for Chivas than they did for Atlas this season, with the team scoring 25, but the defense was far less solid, conceding 21, which puts them in the bottom half of the Clausura defensively.

Pick: Draw (+200)

Tigres vs Cruz Azul Odds

Matchup Moneyline
Tigres -122
Cruz Azul +300
Draw +245

Over/Under and Spread

After winning 1-0 away to Cruz Azul, despite playing a man short for the last half-hour after Nicolas Lopez’s dismissal, it’s hardly surprising that Tigres are the big favorites to move on to the semifinals here, particularly as the team that came second in the regular season as joint top scorers. Despite being a team that averaged almost two goals per game, the Over 2.5 goals comes in at +108. That seems like a good bet in a fixture that has averaged 2.2 goals per game in the last 10 meetings between the teams and boasts the second-leading scorer in Liga MX with Andre-Pierre Gignac’s 14 goals. On of that, Tigres are also at -121 odds for a -0.5 spread.

Tigres On The Prowl

After the first-leg win  at Cruz Azul, where Jesus Duenas scored the only goal, Tigres UANL are very much in the driver’s seat now, needing only a draw to advance to the semifinals.

However, while Tigres eliminated Los Celestes in the 2001 and 2003 playoffs, Cruz Azul had the last laugh in 2020, knocking out Tigres with a 3-2 victory at the quarterfinal stage. And Cruz Azul, who finished eighth in this year’s Clausura, beating Necaxa on penalties in the play-in, has a decent record of late against Tigres. In their last 10 head-to-head contests, Cruz Azul has won four, with Tigres winning three and three draws.

Pick: Over 2.5 goals (+108)

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