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Lyon vs Lille Odds & Prediction – Ligue 1 Round 26

Sam Cox

by Sam Cox in Soccer News

Updated Feb 26, 2022 · 7:25 AM PST

Lyon FC
Lyon players celebrate after scoring their second goal during the French League 1 soccer match between Lyon and Nice, at the Stade de Lyon in Decines, outside Lyon, France, Saturday, Feb. 12, 2022. (AP Photo/Laurent Cipriani)
  • Ligue 1 champions Lille are away to Lyon on February 27th
  • Three points and five places separate the two teams heading into round 26
  • Read below for the latest Lyon vs Lille odds and our betting preview

Positioned in sixth and eleventh respectively before this round of fixtures, Lyon and Lille matchup at Groupama Stadium on Sunday, February, 27th. Only three points split the teams. While competing for the title is out of the question, they both have plenty to compete for in Ligue 1 odds with a top four spot well within reach.

It ended in a goalless draw when these sides met in December. Lille have avoided defeat in their last four against Lyon, even winning four of their last six trips to Groupama Stadium. Lyon, though, have picked up the third-most points at home this season behind only PSG and Rennes.

Lyon vs Lille Odds

Matchup Spread Moneyline Total
Lyon vs Lille OL -1 (+148) | LIL +1 (-182) OL -125 | LIL +320 | DRAW +270 Ov 2.5 (-129) | Un 2.5 (+102)

Odds as of Feb 26 at Barstool

Lyon are odds on favorites for Sunday’s fixture, priced at -125 on the moneyline. There have been under 2.5 goals in eight of Lyon’s last nine, but the bookies are expecting goals in this one with the over at -129. If you’re to betting on this sport, our guide to its pros and cons is worth a read.

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Team News

Lille are without midfielder Benjamin André, who is a big loss. Xeka and Amadou Onana will aim to compensate for his absence, and Jocelyn Gourvennec is likely to revert to his favored 4-4-2 after attempting a 4-3-3 in the midweek loss to Chelsea.

Burak Yilmaz will be back alongside Jonathan David in the front line, but Edon Zhegrova is unavailable for the visitors. We’re unlikely to see Tiago Djalo either after he went off with an ankle issue at Stamford Bridge. Gabriel Gudmundsson will take his spot on the left side of defense.

Lyon’s leading scorer Moussa Dembele is back from suspension and will lead the line on Sunday. With Jason Denayer listed as doubtful, Jérôme Boateng could make a come back at the heart of defense, while it’s unclear if long-term absentee Jeff Reine-Adelaide will be able to feature off the bench.

Recent Form

Lyon have won their last three home league matches. Lille are unbeaten in 11 against their weekend opponents, however, and have lost just once on the road in Ligue 1 since October.

The visitors are coming off a difficult fixture in the Champions League. They were outclassed by Chelsea for the most part, and ultimately fell to defeat. With a relatively small squad, they have typically struggled after European action this season, collecting just seven of 18 available points in the matches immediately following Champions League outings.

Lyon, in contrast, are well rested. Their last match was a 1-1 draw with Lens on the 19th, and there’s no risk of Peter Bosz rotating as they aren’t in Europa League action until March, 9th. Les Gones have lost just once in their last 12 in all competitions, clocking four wins in their previous six.

Lyon vs Lille Ligue 1 Statistics

Lyon
VS
Lille
WWWLWD Form DWLLWD
34 Goals scored 32
58.5% Average possession 50.4%
41 yellows, 5 reds Cards 52 yellows, 4 reds
13.7 Shots per match 11.6
39.5 Progressive passes per 90 36.6
+0.29 Expected goal difference per 90 +0.35

Lyon vs Lille Betting Prediction

The expected numbers are very similar for both teams, and Lille’s strong record against Lyon shouldn’t be overlooked. Still, the form book is on Lyon’s side — they have really turned their season round in recent weeks. It’s been a season of pros and cons for Bosz and co, but the positives are beginning to outweigh the negatives.

Lille are missing some important players, and their results after Champions League matches don’t inspire much confidence. They will be particularly reliant on David generating chances on the counter, as Lyon should control possession.

There’s value backing Lyon to win straight up at -125. Taking them to cover -1 or even -1.5 doesn’t look a great bet given the low-scoring nature of their recent games. Alternatively, Lyon to win to nil at +220 is a solid wager — they have kept three clean sheets in their last six.

Pick: Lyon moneyline (-125)


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