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MLS Week 24 Odds & Picks: FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC, Houston Dynamo vs Austin FC & More

Ryan Metivier

by Ryan Metivier in Soccer News

Updated Sep 10, 2021 · 9:56 AM PDT

MLS Week 24
FC Dallas forward Ricardo Pepi (16) celebrates his goal with teammates Brandon Servania (18) and Jesus Ferreira (9) during the first half of an MLS soccer match against Austin FC, Sunday, Aug. 29, 2021, in Austin, Texas. (AP Photo/Michael Thomas)
  • MLS Week 24 takes place from September 10-12, 2021
  • FC Cincinnati are winless in 11 matches, while the Houston Dynamo haven’t won in 16
  • Read on for the odds and our best bets from MLS Week 24

After an abbreviated schedule last weekend during the international break, Major League Soccer returns with a full slate of matches this weekend with two, Atlanta vs Orlando and Vancouver vs Portland, kicking of MLS Week 24 Friday night.

While MLS Week 24 may lack a ton of high-profile matches, Atlanta vs Orlando has developed into a serious rivalry while New England vs NYCFC on Saturday features two of the East’s top four teams.

Several non-playoff teams are set to meet this weekend, and this is where we look for betting value in MLS Week 24.

Let’s look ahead to the odds and best bets from the MLS Week 24 schedule below.

MLS Week 24 Odds

Matchup Home Draw Away
Atlanta United vs Orlando City SC +120 +270 +210
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Portland Timbers +140 +255 +190
Colorado Rapids vs LA Galaxy -115 +285 +300
Seattle Sounders vs Minnesota United -125 +285 +340
New England Revolution vs New York City FC +115 +280 +225
New York Red Bulls vs DC United +130 +260 +205
CF Montreal vs Nashville SC +135 +265 +190
FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC +140 +255 +190
Inter Miami CF vs Columbus Crew -105 +265 +285
FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes -105 +285 +270
Houston Dynamo vs Austin FC +115 +250 +245
Sporting Kansas City vs Chicago Fire -155 +310 +425
Los Angeles FC vs Real Salt Lake -205 +380 +500

Odds as of Sept 10 at DraftKings

FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC Prediction

Cincinnati, 13th in the East, hosts Toronto, 14th in the East at 8:00 pm EST Saturday night in MLS Week 24.

These teams give up a boatload of goals. Toronto has conceded the most in the league at 47. Cincinnati’s 38 goals allowed is just as poor. The Portland Timbers’ 39 goals allowed also ranks in the bottom three in MLS.

And with all those goals conceded, it’s been hard for either side to collect too many wins. Cincinnati, fell 1-0 in their last match to Inter Miami. That followed 3-2 and 4-1 losses to Columbus and New England. That extends their winless skid to 11 matches in a row.

The last time the teams met, came back on June 26, and it was a rare win for Cincinnati, 2-0. It was a match where Toronto looked poor, though were without the likes of Jozy Altidore, Alejandro Pozuelo and others.

Toronto has been off since August 27, a 3-1 loss to rivals CF Montreal. They were always going to be up against it though after Noble Okello took a red card just five minutes into the match.

It was TFC’s second 3-1 loss in a row and now their fourth consecutive defeat. TFC hasn’t collected three points in any of their last seven matches and have only two wins in 18.

Toronto has kept just one clean sheet all season. And it was way back on May 15, a 2-0 home win over Columbus. So Toronto to concede looks a given. While Cincinnati’s home matches have been lower-scoring, they’ve still allowed seven goals in their past three overall matches. Toronto, while struggling, have too much talent to be shut out twice by FCC and neither team gains anything at this point from a low-scoring draw.

Pick: Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals (-110 at Bet365)

Houston Dynamo vs Austin FC Prediction

It’s another bottom-of-the-table match we’ll preview next, this time in the West, a Texas Derby. It’s now 16 matches in a row without a win for Tab Ramos’ Houston Dynamo. They’ll host expansion side Austin FC at 8:30 pm EST Saturday night in MLS Week 24.

It’s been a horrible season for the Dynamo who sit bottom of the West with just 19 points and only three wins. They fell 2-0 to Portland last Friday, their sixth loss in their past seven. The Dynamo were missing five players for international duty, but given their current winless skid, it was just more of the same.

Only three times all season have Houston kept a clean sheet. Those came in one 1-0 win and two 0-0 draws.

Austin is coming off a thrilling, yet disappointing 5-3 loss to in-state rivals FC Dallas. After falling behind 4-1 at the half and then 5-1 soon after the break, Austin fought back to make the game interesting with two second-half goals of their own.

YouTube video

Austin is actually tied with Houston on 19 points at the bottom of the West. They’re in poor form themselves with just one win in five and two in nine. One of those wins came against the Dynamo in Austin back on August 4, a 3-2 win. Austin struck early in the 7′ minute in that match and were aided by a Houston red card in the 20′ minute. But despite this, Houston stayed in the game, though their second goal didn’t come til late on in the 86′ minute.

Realistically neither of these sides are making the playoffs, but they’ll both look at this as a winnable match. They’ll also both want to get one over on their in-state rivals.

With both teams low in the table, odds for both to score are still reasonable, and a likely outcome.

Pick: Both Teams to Score (-150)

FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction

A second 8:30 pm EST Saturday night kick-off in MLS Week 24 sees 11th-place Dallas hosting 10th placed San Jose.

It’s another match with two teams outside of the playoff picture, but in this one, neither team is in anywhere near as poor form as the four teams mentioned above.

Dallas has leaked goals, 36 overall. However, most of those have come on the road. At home, they allow an average of just one goal per game with 11 conceded in 11 home matches. They’ve also lost just twice at Toyota Stadium. Those two losses though have come in their past two at home, 1-0 and 2-0 losses to Seattle and SKC respectively.

After their 5-3 win over Austin, those two defeats are their only losses in their past eight. That’s the sixth-best form in the West over the past ten rounds. So the arrow could be pointing up for Dallas.

Speaking of form in their past ten, the Earthquakes have collected the fifth-most points in that timeframe, having gone 3-6-1 (WDL). Their most recent 1-0 loss to Colorado last weekend was their first defeat in ten.

Earthquakes’ matches have all been close of late, naturally, given all the draws. But they’ve also been low-scoring draws. San Jose ‘Under’ bettors would’ve gone 8-2 in their past ten.

It’s the opposite for Dallas, whose games have seen 17 combined goals in their past three. They could be without teenage sensation Ricardo Pepi after he was in action with the US Men’s National Team in CONCACAF World Cup Qualifying. Having played in Honduras on Wednesday where he scored a goal and recorded two assists, he could be rested. Pepi scored twice against Austin and has 11 goals on the MLS season.

Before their two most recent home losses, Dallas has been unbeaten at home in 18. Meanwhile, San Jose won an earlier meeting between the teams, 3-1, back in April. They’re now undefeated against Dallas in seven.

This one could be close, bringing the draw into play.

Pick: Draw (+285)

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