Republic of Ireland vs Nigeria Odds & Prediction – Women’s World Cup (July 31)
- The Republic of Ireland faces Nigeria in their final group stage match at the 2023 Women’s World Cup on Monday, July 31st, at 6:00 am ET
- The Republic of Ireland has already been eliminated due to losses against Canada and Australia
- Get our Republic of Ireland vs Nigeria prediction and odds below
On Monday, the Republic of Ireland squares off against Nigeria at the Women’s World Cup, in a match that has the potential to punch one more ticket to the knockout rounds. The match kicks off at 6:00 am ET, the same time as the other match in Group B, and we will provide Republic of Ireland vs Nigeria odds and predictions here.
While Ireland has already been knocked out of the tournament, this match still has intrigue. For starters, it gives us another chance to watch a fascinating Nigeria Women’s team, that has absolutely shocked bettors and fans around the globe. Their clean sheet versus Canada was one thing, but to beat Australia, the hosts of the tournament, was a truly impressive feat.
Nonetheless, despite having four points already, Nigeria’s goal of knockout qualification is not over the line yet. A win or draw would send them through; however, a loss puts them in a very precarious situation where their fate would lie in the hands of Canada and Australia.
Republic of Ireland vs Nigeria Odds
| Matchup | Moneyline Odds |
|---|---|
| Republic of Ireland | +215 |
| Nigeria | +125 |
| Draw | +220 |
The Republic of Ireland vs Nigeria odds have the Super Falcons as the marginal favorites with a moneyline of +125; this equates to an implied win probability of 44.4%. On the other hand, Ireland has +215 moneyline odds to win their first match of the tournament.
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Republic of Ireland vs Nigeria Over/Under Odds
Surprisingly, the over/under odds for this match are rather close. The odds for the over on 2.5 goals sit at -115, while the reverse option offers slightly less value at -125. So far, 58.8% of games at the 2023 Women’s World Cup have gone under the 2.5 total goal tally.
Whenever there has been value on the board at under 2.5 total goals, it is a play I have considered. More specifically, in this pairing’s four combined games, the over/under on 2.5 total goals has split equally, so there is an argument for both sides.
Head-to-Head Statistics
| 0.50 | Goals per game | 1.50 |
| 1.05 | Expected goals per game | 0.95 |
| 1.50 | Goals allowed per game | 1.00 |
| 1.95 | Expected goals allowed per game | 1.80 |
| 39% | Possession % | 35.5% |
| 0% | Clean Sheet % | 50% |
| 11.5 | Shots per game | 11.0 |
| L-L-L-W-L | Recent Form Guide (All Comps) | W-D-W-W-W |
Stats in the table from two World Cup matches so far.
Props – Fade Both Teams to Score
In the same vein, you can also fade both teams to score and get a similar effect to playing the under. This play has even money (+100) odds for this match, which is staggeringly good value. In fact, fading this prop has hit 79.4% of Women’s World Cup matches down under. Realistically, the odds could easily be near the -300 mark, so this is more than worth taking a swing on.
Moreover, even with some rotation, I would not expect Ireland to be too heavily involved in the goals. Their only breakthrough so far at the tournament was an Olimpico from Kate McCabe; in other words, a mistake. Nigeria also has one of the best goalies in the field with Chiamaka Nnadozie. So far, the Paris FC goalie has eight saves, including one from the penalty spot. She has also only conceded two goals, despite a 3.2 post-shot expected goal tally, proving her worth in between the sticks.
IT'S SAVED FROM CHIAMAKA NNADOZIE 🧤🇳🇬 pic.twitter.com/JfZRcv8nCw
— FOX Soccer (@FOXSoccer) July 21, 2023
Republic of Ireland vs Nigeria Projected Lineups and Injuries
Republic of Ireland Projected Lineup: Brosnan, Connolly, Quinn, Fahey, McCabe, Agg, O’Sullivan, O’Gorman, Farrelly, Sheva, Larkin
Major Injuries & Absences: None
Nigeria Projected Lineup: Nnadozie, Plumptre, Demehin, Ohale, Alozie, Ayinde, Ucheibe, Payne, Kanu, Onumonu, Ajibade
Major Injuries & Absences: None
Republic of Ireland vs Nigeria Prediction
While motivation might be lower than normal, Ireland will not just lie down here. Australia beat them from the penalty spot and Canada was victorious thanks to an Irish own goal. To some extent, Ireland were a bit unlucky and they probably want to prove a point on Monday, along with some of their players who probably wanted to be involved earlier.
While I see Nigeria advancing, you have to acknowledge the possibility of a draw. Remember, Ireland is still nearly twenty spots higher than Nigeria in the FIFA Women’s Rankings. Regardless, the draw-no-bet play has no value so I am turning my head to something different.
In addition to fading both teams to score, I am also riding with a double chance/total parlay for a tie or Nigeria win and under 2.5 total goals, which offers -105 odds. For me, this Republic of Ireland vs Nigeria bet includes everything I see playing out in this contest and is close to even money.
Republic of Ireland vs Nigeria Picks: No on BTTS (+100), Tie or Nigeria win & under 2.5 total goals (-105)
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Josh Ricker is a freelance sports journalist, currently attending the University of Southern Maine (Bachelor of Science in Sports Management and Marketing). He has recently interned with the AA Portland Sea Dogs, and his work has been featured on Fansided, as well as now here on SBD.
