Skip to content

World Cup Knockout Stage Odds & Prices for All Games

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk in Soccer News

Published:


Netherlands' Brian Brobbey scoring a goal
June 20, 2026; Houston, Texas, U.S.; Netherlands' Brian Brobbey scores their second goal. Mandatory Credit: Troy Taormina-Imagn Images

Jump to: Prediction Market Prices || American Odds

For the first time in history, the World Cup will feature a 32-team knockout stage. With just 12 games left in the group stage, the round of 32 is starting to take shape. Four of the 16 matchups are already cemented.

The table below lists the current odds and prices for each matchup, including the three-way moneyline, total-goals odds, and odds to advance. The matches are listed in chronological order.

World Cup Knockout Stage Odds & Prices

Match (Date)3-Way MLTotal GoalsOdds to Advance
South Africa vs Canada (Jun 28)18¢/26¢/58¢2.5 (O 43¢/U 58¢)72¢/28¢
Brazil vs Japan (Jun 29)58¢/27¢/19¢2.5 (O 48¢/U 55¢)74¢/30¢
Germany vs 3rd Group C/D/F (Jun 29)TBDTBDTBD
Netherlands vs Morocco (Jun 29)46¢/30¢/26¢2.5 (O 43¢/U 60¢)64¢/38¢
Ivory Coast vs Runner-up Group I (Jun 30)TBDTBDTBD
Winner Group I vs 3rd Group D/F/G (Jun 30)TBDTBDTBD
Mexico vs 3rd Group C/E/H (Jun 30)TBDTBDTBD
Winner Group L vs 3rd Group E/I/J/K (Jul 1)TBDTBDTBD
Winner Group G vs 3rd Group A/H/I/J (Jul 1)TBDTBDTBD
United States vs Bosnia and Herzegovina (Jul 1)68¢/22¢/13¢2.5 (O 54¢/U 51¢)81¢/23¢
Winner Group H vs Runner-up Group J (Jul 2)TBDTBDTBD
Runner-up Group K vs Runner-up Group L (Jul 2)TBDTBDTBD
Switzerland vs 3rd Group E/F/G/I/J (Jul 2)TBDTBDTBD
Australia vs Runner-up Group G (Jul 3)TBDTBDTBD
Argentina vs Runner-up Group H (Jul 3)TBDTBDTBD
Winner Group K vs 3rd Group D/E/I/J/L (Jul 3)TBDTBDTBD

The prices in the table are from prediction site Kalshi on June 26.

If you’re more comfortable with American odds, the prices above translate as follows:

South Africa vs Canada

  • Moneyline: +456/+285/-138
  • Total Goals: Ov 2.5 (+133) / Un 2.5 (-138)
  • Odds to Advance: -257/+257

Brazil vs Japan

  • Moneyline: -138/+270/+426
  • Total Goals: Ov 2.5 (+108) / Un 2.5 (-122)
  • Odds to Advance: -285/+233

Netherlands vs Morocco

  • Moneyline: +117/+233/+285
  • Total Goals: Ov 2.5 (+133) / Un 2.5 (-150)
  • Odds to Advance: -178/+163

United States vs Bosnia and Herzegovina

  • Moneyline: -212/+355/+669
  • Total Goals: Ov 2.5 (-117) / Un (-108)
  • Odds to Advance: -426/+335

As the markets mature, the de facto vig on some of these markets will abate (e.g. the USA vs BiH total-goal market).

Readers can use SBD’s odds converter to find American odds from Kalshi prices (and vice versa); enter the Kalshi price into the “Implied Probability” field in order to convert it to traditional sportsbook odds.

Odds to Win World Cup Ahead of Knockout Stage

The current top-four favorites in the odds to win the World Cup are France (+385), Spain (+525), England (+625), and defending-champion Argentina (+675).

After those four heavyweights, there is a drop-off to fifth-favorite Portugal (+975).

The graphic below shows the current top-ten teams at Kalshi along with their latest “Yes” price in cents.

Prediction Markets
World Cup-Winner Prices
Learn more about Prediction Markets
Kalshi
France
20%
Argentina
15%
Spain
13%
Portugal
10%
England
10%
Netherlands
7%
Brazil
6%
Germany
5%
USA
5%
Mexico
3%

The 11th through 20th-favorites are:

  • Norway (2.5¢)
  • Colombia (1.6¢)
  • Morocco (1.6¢)
  • Japan (1.4¢)
  • Belgium (1.1¢)
  • Switzerland (0.8¢)
  • Ecuador (0.6¢)
  • Croatia (0.5¢)
  • Canada (0.3¢)
  • Ivory Coast (0.3¢)

Bookmark SBD’s World Cup game odds to see up-to-the-minute moneylines and over/under odds for every match in the knockout stage.

Enjoying our betting coverage? Want more picks, predictions, and analysis from our proven experts? Make SBD a preferred source in your Google searches!

Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

NFL NBA MLB NHL NCAAF NCAAB Politics Tennis MMA Sportsbooks Gambling

Recommended Reading