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ATP Vienna Open Quarterfinals Odds & Previews: Anderson vs Medvedev & Rublev vs Thiem

Hayley Graham

by Hayley Graham in Tennis

Updated Mar 10, 2021 · 7:33 AM PST

Dominic Thiem returning a ball during a match.
Dominic Thiem looks to defend his title at this year's ATP Vienna Open. Photo by Jason Heidrich/Icon Sportswire
  • The Vienna Open quarterfinals will take place tomorrow for the men’s singles
  • Unseeded Kevin Anderson has recorded 32 aces in just two matches so far this tournament
  • Below we preview the first two quarterfinal matches and provide our best bets.

All four quarterfinal matches of the Vienna Open will take place tomorrow with the first two happening in the morning at 9:00 AM and 10:20 AM EST. Three of the four players participating in the first two matches are currently ranked within the Top 10 ATP standings. An unexpected player to be in the quarterfinals is unseeded Kevin Anderson, who’s opening odds weren’t even listed in the top 15.

Anderson vs Medvedev Quarterfinal Odds

Prop Spread Moneyline Total
Kevin Anderson +3.5 (+110) +333 O 22.5 (-120)
Daniil Medvedev -3.5 (-150) -450 U 22.5 (-110)

Odds taken Oct. 29 from Bet365

Medvedev had to find his way back after going down a set to Vasek Pospisil in his last match, eventually winning 4-6, 6-3, 6-2.

In his opening round, Anderson almost lost and got sent home, but was able to beat his opponent, Dennis Novak, to play Pablo Carreno Busta. This match was much less tense, as Anderson was able to earn his spot in the quarterfinal after winning in straight sets 7-5, 6-1.

These two players have yet to play each other in their careers, so this will be an interesting match that will most likely go three sets.

The indoor hard court conditions play into Anderson’s tough serve. He’s managed to give up four break points, been broken twice, and has recorded 32 aces in just two matches. But on the other side of that, Medvedev is known to be one of the best returners on tour. Anderson could look to take an early lead with his strong serve, but as long as Medvedev doesn’t let it get too far away from him, he should be able to come out on top and earn his way to the finals.

Best Bet: Medvedev in three sets (+333)

Rublev vs Thiem Quarterfinal Odds

Prop Spread Moneyline Total
Andrey Rublev +1.5 (-120) +120 O 22.5 (+125)
Dominic Thiem -1.5 (-120) -150 U 22.5 (-110)

Rublev is looking to add to his winning this year. In 2020 he’s won four titles, and he’s looking for his fifth in Vienna. In his opening match, he took down Norbert Gombos in straight sets winning 6-3, 6-2. His most recent match of the tournament against Jannick Sinner was cut short when Sinner was forced to retire while losing 2-1 in the first set due to a foot injury.

Thiem is competing to defend his trophy in Vienna. So far, he’s done a good job, having yet to drop a set in his previous two matches at the tournament. In his opening match, he defeated Vitaliy Sachko in straight sets, winning 6-4, 7-5. And in his last match, he beat his opponent Cristian Garin 6-3, 6-2, while only losing a total of 10 points on serve.

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Thiem has had no trouble advancing from round to round. But it’s worth noting he’s had a fairly easy road so far, having not faced anyone that’s really challenged him. This match between Rublev and Thiem will be both players’ toughest match of the tournament to date.

Rublev vs Thiem Head-to-Head Statistics

Rublev
VS
Thiem
8 ATP Ranking 3
5 Vienna Open Seeding 2
1 Head-to-Head Wins 2

This will be the third time these two players have seen each other, with Thiem holding the edge with two wins over Rublev’s one in their head-to-head record. They first saw each other three years ago right here in Vienna, where Thiem won in three sets. Their most recent match came at the 2019 Hamburg Open quarterfinals where Rublev won.

Both these players have similarities in their games. They both boost an impressive baseline game and have a lot of natural power. Rublev has been able to make significant improvements to his once weaker backhand. This is going to be the closest semifinal match of the four, and it can really go either way. But Thiem is cruising along right now, and looking to defend his title.

Best Bet: Thiem in three sets (+300)

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