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Ons Jabeur vs Paula Badosa Odds & Prediction – Indian Wells Women’s Singles Semifinals

Hayley Graham

by Hayley Graham in Tennis

Oct 15, 2021 · 7:42 AM PDT

Ons Jabeur stretching to reach a ball to hit a return shot during a tennis match.
Ons Jabeur, of Tunisia, returns to Anett Kontaveit, of Estonia, at the BNP Paribas Open tennis tournament Thursday, Oct. 14, 2021, in Indian Wells, Calif. (AP Photo/Mark J. Terrill)
  • Ons Jabeur and Paula Badosa will go head-to-head in the second semifinal of the day for women’s singles play at Indian Wells later today
  • This will be the third match between the two players
  • Continue below for the odds, a preview, and our best bet prediction ahead of the match

The final four has been set in California for women’s singles play at the Indian Wells Masters, also known as the BNP Paradis Open. 12th seen Ons Jabeur will be taking on 21st seed Paula Badosa later tonight. The two are set to take the court at 10:15 pm ET.

Jabeur enters the match as the favorite to move onto the finals with -150 odds. But both players are coming off straight sets wins over their quarterfinal opponents, and has only dropped one set all tournament.

Take a look at the odds, a breakdown of how each player made it to this point in the tournament, and our analysis and prediction.

Ons Jabeur vs Paula Badosa Indian Wells Women’s Singles Semifinal Odds

Player Spread Moneyline Total
[12] Ons Jabeur -2.5 (-105) -150 Ov 21.5 (-125)
[21] Paula Badosa +2.5 (-130) +120 Un 21.5 (-105)

Odds as of October 15th at DraftKings.

Jabeur Secures a WTA Top 10 Spot

After winning her quarterfinal match on Thursday, 27-year old Jabeur not only earned a spot in her first career WTA 1000 semifinal, but also secured a Top 10 ranking spot, when they come out on Monday. History will be made there, when she becomes the first Arab player to reach the Top 10 in either the WTA or ATP.

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In her quarterfinal match, Jabeur managed to defeat 18th Anett Kontaveit 7-5, 6-3, to capture her tour-leading 48th win of the season.

Jabeur has been dominant and consistent all tournament so far. The 27-year old has only dropped one set, and that came back in the Round of 64. In her most recent match, her serve wasn’t quite there, as she only managed to land 69 percent of her first serves, and only convert them into a point 35 percent of the time. Something she’ll have to tighten up for the semi’s.

Despite the win, her quarterfinal showing wasn’t her best, but it’s a bit of an outlier in terms of all the matches she’s played this week. It shows that even if not every part of her game is working, she is still able to figure out a way to win.

Badosa’s Second WTA 1000 Semifinal of the Year

21st seed Badosa went on to defeat 2019 finalist and 10th seed Angelique Kerber in straight sets, winning 6-4, 6-3,Β  to book her spot in her second WTA 1000 semifinal of the year. Her first came back in May, when she advanced to the semifinals of the Madrid Open.

Badosa had a tough task at hand, facing a former World No. 1, but she was able to find success due to her low number of unforced errors, and continuous aggression on offense. The Spaniard finished with 22 unforced errors to her opponents 29, while both players hit 20 winners. Badosa was also able to break Kerber five times, which added to the win.

Badosa will look towards Jabeur in the semifinals. These two have already seen each other once this year, but it’ll be a tough battle once again for the 23-year old.


This is the third meeting between Jabeur and Badosa. The two have split their two previous matches, with a head-to-head record at 1-1. Their first match came back in 2015, where Badosa was able to capture the win in three sets, with their most recent coming earlier this year in the Round of 64 in Miami, where the 27th seed Jabeur took the match in three sets.

Ons Jabeur vs Paula Badosa Head-to-Head Stats

Ons Jabeur
Paula Badosa
14 WTA Standing 27
27 Age 24
1 Career Titles 1
342/196 Career W/L 266/148
1 YTD Titles 1
44/17 YTD W/L 35/15
1 Head-to-Head Wins 1

Best Bet

Both these players have the ability to win this match.

With these two, we’ll see a variety of play come out of the meeting. Jabeur is known for her different shots, from net play to a strong baseline game, that can mess with her opponent’s momentum. Badosa on the other hand, plays a very powerful offense. She plays a lot from the baseline, and has both a strong forehand and backhand. She’s not the most comfortable at the net.

Given how both players have had such a strong tournament, but Jabeur didn’t have the best showing in her quarterfinal, it looks like the edge may be with Badosa. She’s coming off a strong upset, and will look to take it into the semi’s.

Best Bet: Badosa (+120)

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