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WTA Finals Odds & Predictions (Nov 1) – Swiatek vs Kasatkina & Gauff vs Garcia

Stephanie Myles

by Stephanie Myles in Tennis

Nov 1, 2022 · 6:01 AM PDT

Coco Gauff
Oct 14, 2022; San Diego, California, US; Coco Gauff of the United States hits a shot against Iga Swiatek of Poland during the San Diego Open at Barnes Tennis Center. Mandatory Credit: Ray Acevedo-USA TODAY Sports
  • The “Tracy Austin” group gets under way on Tuesday, November 1, 2022 at the WTA Finals in Fort Worth
  • World No. 1 Iga Swiatek, favored to win it all, takes on No. 8 seed Daria Kasatkina
  • No. 4 Coco Gauff faces No. 6 Caroline Garcia. Scroll down for WTA Finals odds, analysis and predictions

Iga Swiatek’s first WTA Finals experience in Guadalajara a year ago was pretty fraught.

But a year later, after the season she’s had, you would expect a completely different reaction.

Swiatek vs Kasatkina Odds

Player Spread Moneyline Total
[1] Iga Swiatek (POL) -5.5 (-113) -500 O 19.5 (-106)
[8] Daria Kasatkina (RUS) +5.5 (-113) +375 U 19.5 (-121)

Odds as of Nov. 1 at Barstool Sportsbook. Use this Barstool Sportsbook promo code to bet on the WTA Finals

 

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She has the easiest of her three group matches Tuesday, as she takes on Daria Kasatkina as a -500 favorite in the WTA Finals odds above.

Kasatkina is the lowest-ranked player in the field, and is making her WTA Finals debut.

Swiatek vs Kasatkina Head-to-Head

Iga Swiatek
VS
Daria Kasatkina
21 (May 31, 2001) Age 25 (May 7, 1997)
Warsaw, Poland Birthplace Togliatty, Russia
5-9 Height 5-7
11 Career WTA Singles Titles 6
No. 1 (April 4, 2022) Career-Best Ranking No. 8 (Oct. 24, 2022)
No. 1 Current Ranking No. 8
$14,265,077 Career Prize Money $8,854,284
64-8 2022 Won/Loss Record 40-20
4 Head-to-Head Wins 1

Swiatek Dominates Head-to-Head

It was Kasatkina’s great misfortune to run into Swiatek four times in the first half of the season.

And in eight sets, she managed a total of … 14 games.

Each time, it was a wipeout. And since then, Swiatek has only gotten better.

Swiatek vs Kasatkina Match History

Year Tournament Surface Score Winner
2022 French Open (SF) Outdoor Clay 6-2, 6-1 Swiatek
2022 Doha (R16) Outdoor Hard 6-3, 6-0 Swiatek
2022 Dubai (R32) Outdoor Hard 6-1, 6-2 Swiatek
2022 Australian Open (R32) Outdoor Hard 6-2, 6-3 Swiatek
2021 Eastbourne Grass 4-6, 6-0, 6-1 Kasatkina

Why the dominance? In the end, it comes down to the fact that Kasatkina, for all her skills, is essentially a defensive player.

And Swiatek can also play great defence, and she doesn’t seem too troubled by the topspin Kasatkina generates on the forehand or on the serve.

And more and more, when the No. 1 sees the opening to go on offence, she takes it. So, potentially, it could be even more of a mismatch.

Kasatkina just isn’t inclined, by game style, to do that. Too often she waits for her opponents to beat themselves.

Swiatek vs Kasatkina Prediction

There is no reason to think Tuesday’s match will have a different outcome.

While Swiatek got her “Finals rookie” nerves out of the way last year. Kasatkina will have plenty of her own.

The combination could, and should, make for a quick victory by Swiatek. It’s actually surprising she’s only at -500 to win.

Best Bet: Under 18.5 Games (+118)

Gauff vs Garcia Odds

Player Spread Moneyline Total
[4] Coco Gauff (USA) -2.5 (-112) -167 O 21.5 (-127)
[6] Caroline Garcia (FRA) +2.5 (-114) +135 U 21.5 (+100)

The second singles match of the day, featuring popular American Coco Gauff and a resurgent Caroline Garcia, should be much more competitive, with Gauff listed as the -167 favorite in the WTA Finals odds.

More than a decade older, Garcia has come from virtual irrelevance to become a top player again in 2022.

And she has plenty of year-end finals experience to draw upon.

Garcia made the semifinals in singles at her lone previous appearance, in 2017 in Singapore. She battled through a couple of comeback wins during the pool portion, too, before losing in three sets to Venus Williams.

She also made the year-end finals twice in doubles, with different partners.

Gauff vs Garcia Head-to-Head

Coco Gauff
VS
Caroline Garcia
18 (March 13, 2004) Age 29 (Oct. 16, 1993)
Delray Beach, Fla. Birthplace Saint-German-en-Laye, France
5-9 Height 5-10
2 Career WTA Singles Titles 10
No. 4 (Oct. 24, 2022) Career-Best Ranking No. 4 (Sept. 10, 2018)
No. 4 Current Ranking No. 6
$5,415,091 Career Prize Money $13,494,141
38-19 2022 Won/Loss Record 41-19
2 Head-to-Head Wins 1

Gauff the Youngest, and a Rookie

She’s only 18, but the pressure on young Gauff to become the next great one is everpresent.

She might have been better off just qualifying in doubles this first time.

Instead, she’s in both, at the end of a long season.

Gauff vs Garcia Match History

Year Tournament Surface Score Winner
2022 US Open (QF) Outdoor Hard 6-3, 6-4 Garcia
2022 Doha (R32) Outdoor Hard 6-2, 7-6 (3) Gauff
2021 Indian Wells (R64) Outdoor Hard 6-3, 6-7 (2) 6-1 Gauff

The quarterfinal between the two at the US Open had been highly anticipated. But in the end, Garcia was playing so well, it was routine.

The Frenchwoman was ranked No. 76 when Gauff defeated her in Doha. At Indian Wells last fall,  she was at No. 59.

Right now, she’s No. 6.

Gauff vs Garcia Prediction

Gauff is the favorite, but she probably shouldn’t be.

Are people expecting the “home-court advantage” to play a role? That’ll be hard to manage, with the crowds very sparse so far in Texas.

Best Bet: Garcia in Three Sets (+410)

 

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