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Tour de France Odds, Picks, and Best Bets for Stage 13 – Sep. 11th

Dave Friedman

by Dave Friedman in News

Updated Mar 5, 2021 · 11:34 AM PST

Closeup of the TDF Yellow Jersey
Illustration maillot jaune during stage 11 of the 106th edition of the 2019 Tour de France cycling race, a stage of 167 kms with start in Albi and finish in Toulouse on July 17, 2019 in Toulouse, France, 17/07/2019 (Photo by Photonews/Panoramic/Icon Sportswire)
  • Stage 13 of the TDF (Friday, September 10) goes up and down constantly with very little flat racing
  • With a race-high altitude gain of 4,400 metres (14,436 feet), Friday is a major stage for GC contenders
  • Where can the best return on investment be found wagering on Stage 13?

It’s time to really start racing.

The Tour de France is technically more than halfway home, but in large measure, the next six stages will determine the winner. Following a rest day and two sprint stages, Thursday’s unorthodox hilly trek was ripe for a breakaway, and indeed Marc Hirschi successfully stole it on the front end.

It has been several days since there was any movement at the top of the overall leaderboard, but with major climbs in each of the next half-dozen stages, the top riders and teams are soon going to flex their muscles. Here are the odds to win Friday’s arduous Stage 13.

2020 Tour de France Stage 13 Odds

Rider Odds at DraftKings
Primoz Roglic +650
Julian Alaphilippe +800
Tadej Pogacar +1000
David Gaudu +1600
Daniel Felipe Martinez +1600
Emanuel Buchmann +1800
Marc Hirschi +2200
Alexey Lutsenko +2200
Thibaut Pinot +2200
Pierre Rolland +2200
Warren Barguil +2500
Egan Bernal +2800

Odds as of Sep. 10th.

Hirschi dominated Stage 12 with Pierre Rolland 47 seconds behind and a group of six riders five ticks behind that.

Gaps among GC contenders have not materialized recently. Race favorite Primoz Roglic is 21 seconds ahead of defending champion Egan Bernal with Guillaume Martin 28 seconds behind the leader.

Friday, riders will take a 191-kilometre trip from Châtel-Guyon to a summit finish on Puy Mary. The 4,400-metre elevation gain is the highest in any stage this year. It is ripe for breaks with seven categorized climbs and attacks should be expected.

That means top contenders will push themselves and it’s likely one will win the stage.

The Favorite

Primoz Roglic was the pre-race favorite and has done nothing to suggest that he isn’t the class of the field. His victory in Stage 4 showed what he is capable of.

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Since winning that stage, Roglic has not attacked nor has he needed to. Friday is the type of course that will be tempting for others to go at him. If he really is this year’s top rider, it wouldn’t be surprising to see an emphatic response.

Secondary Contenders

Julian Alaphilippe seems to be a contender everyday. He isn’t riding incredibly, but his versatility means, whatever the course looks like, he is viable.

He won Stage 2 and, if he is feeling good, certainly may attack on Friday.

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Alaphilippe is almost surely out of contention for the podium, so it really comes down to what stages he thinks he can win, being opportunistic.

The circumstances for Tadej Pogacar are more like Roglic than Alaphilippe. He had one bad day where he was positioned poorly and lost ground, but the 21-year-old Slovenian won Stage 9 and has impressed throughout.

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Pogacar is in seventh place, 44 seconds behind Roglic. He is going to make a bold move to challenge the leader soon, and the terrain on Friday is conducive to attacks.

Longshot Pick

Bernal is the defending champ and in second place, yet there is almost no hype or discussion about him. A part of the lack of headlines is the fact his team (Ineos, formerly Team Sky), which has dominated the race for most of the last decade, is not nearly as strong as recent editions.

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While Ineos might be down, they certainly are not out. Bernal was, without question, the strongest rider last year. There is little doubt he is going to make a move over the next week to show he is still the class of the field.

At the age of 23, Bernal has a lot of strong cycling remaining in his career, and though the odds do not suggest so, it wouldn’t be surprising if he took some serious initiative on Friday. There is value with Bernal at +2800.

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