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XFL Week 1 Odds, Schedule, Predictions

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in XFL

Updated Feb 21, 2023 · 11:15 AM PST

St. Louis Battlehawks fans cheers on their team
Feb 23, 2020; St. Louis, Missouri, USA; St. Louis Battlehawks fans are seen with a sign featuring their new team logo and NFL owner Stan Kroenke during the second half of an XFL game between the St. Louis Battlehawks and the NY Guardians at The Dome at America's Center. Mandatory Credit: Billy Hurst-USA TODAY Sports
  • The third iteration of the XFL kicks off a new season this weekend with all eight teams in action
  • St. Louis has the shortest odds to win the championship, followed by DC and Seattle
  • Check out the latest XFL Week 1 odds below, plus analysis and best bets

When it comes to the XFL, Dwayne ‘The Rock’ Johnson is hoping the third time is the charm. Version one and two of the XFL have failed miserably, but XFL 3.0 looks promising given the names behind it. Read on for an analysis of the opening weekend XFL Week 1 odds.

The season kicks off on Saturday, six days after Super Bowl 57, meaning football fans aren’t going to be without their favorite sport for very long. The Week 1 slate features a double-header on both Saturday and Sunday, with all eight teams suiting up for action.

XFL Week 1 Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Vegas Vipers +3.5 (-110) +145 O 36.5 (-110)
Arlington Renegades -3.5 (-110) -170 U 36.5 (-110)
Team Spread Moneyline Total
Orlando Guardians +3.5 (-110) +145 O 35.5 (+110)
Houston Roughnecks -3.5 (-110) -170 U 35.5 (-130)
Team Spread Moneyline Total
St. Louis BattleHawks -2.5 (-110) -135 O 36.5 (-115)
San Antonio Brahmas +2.5 (-110) +115 U 36.5 (-105)
Team Spread Moneyline Total
Seattle Sea Dragons -1.5 (-110) -120 O 36 (+105)
DC Defenders +1.5 (-110) +110 U 36 (-125)

Odds as of February 17th at DraftKings Sportsbook. Get the DraftKings Sportsbook bonus code to bet on the XFL.

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St. Louis is the early favorite to win the title, but are only laying 2.5 points to San Antonio, the team with the second-longest odds to claim the championship.

All four Week 1 games are lined within four points, while each total is between 35.5 and 36.5 points. That should tell you everything you need to know about the XFL, and that no one really knows who’s going to be good and who’s going to struggle.

How to Watch the XFL

What we do know is how to consume the product. ESPN is the official broadcast partner of the league and will have every game available on their ESPN+ streaming platform.

ABC will broadcast the early game of the doubleheader on both Saturday and Sunday, starting at 3 pm ET. The prime time games (8:30 pm ET) on Saturday and Sunday will also be live on ESPN, while FX will televise the Saturday night contest as well.

Former NFL’ers AJ McCarron, Josh Gordon, Vic Beasley, Brett Hundley, and Martavis Bryant are some of the most well-known names in the league, although none of those players have been relevant on the professional stage for quite some time.

Vegas Vipers vs Arlington Renegades Picks

The XFL rules differ significantly from traditional football. There are no extra points, instead teams have the option of a conversion attempt from the 2-yard line (1 point), 5-yard line (2 points), or 10-yard line (3 point). The clock also continues to run even on incompletions and out-of-bounds plays, outside the final two minutes of each half.

XFL Championship Odds

Player Odds
St. Louis BattleHawks +450
DC Defenders +500
Seattle Sea Dragons +500
Arlington Renegades +500
Vegas Vipers +650
Houston Roughnecks +650
San Antonio Brahmas +650
Orlando Guardians +950

The running clock reduces the number of plays that are run, lowering the offensive ceiling. That should prompt plenty of low-scoring games, as will the lack of QB talent and minimal practice time for each team.

Arlington’s starting QB job is still up in the air and chances are both Drew Plitt and Kyle Sloter will see snaps. You know what they say, if you have two quarterbacks you really have none.

Pick: Under 36.5 

Orlando Guardians vs Houston Roughnecks Picks

Houston is commanded by veteran, defensive-minded head coach Wade Phillips. They should be strong on that side of the ball, while Orlando is trusting Paxton Lynch under center.

The former first round NFL pick looked terrible when he last saw him in the USFL, and his skill position corps features a minimal amount of well known talent.

Pick: Houston Roughnecks -3.5

St. Louis BattleHawks vs San Antonio Brahmas Picks

McCarron quarterbacks the championship favorite BattleHawks, and he has the luxury of having one of the best receiving corps. Wideout Marcell Ateman was the second pick in the XFL draft, while Darrius Shepherd and Hakeem Butler both have NFL experience.

San Antonio will lean on Kalen Ballage, who has seven NFL rushing TDs on his resume. The offensive cupboard is relatively bare after him, making it unlikely the Brahams can keep up with St. Louis.

Pick: St. Louis BattleHawks -2.5

Seattle Sea Dragons vs DC Defenders Picks

Seattle is home to former NFL star Josh Gordon. They’ll also have former Dallas Cowboy, Ben DiNucci under center and June Jones calling plays.

Jones’ run-and-gun offensive scheme led Houston to a perfect 5-0 record when we last saw the XFL in 2020 before the league shut down. I’m betting on that scheme making a successful transition to the Sea Dragons’ offense in XFL 3.0.

Pick: Seattle Sea Dragons -1.5

 

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