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  • This year’s newly-promoted teams include Sheffield United, Norwich City and Aston Villa. Track their odds of staying up in England’s top league
  • Follow the odds for each EPL team to be relegated to the Championship
  • How many points have relegated teams finished with in recent seasons?

We’ve been tracking the English Premier League relegation odds for all 20 EPL teams since they became available. The graphs below are generated by averaging the odds from multiple sources and will be updated throughout the 2019-20 season.

EPL Relegation Candidates

  • [Nov 11] Rooted at the foot of the table with seven points, Norwich’s odds to be relegated have lengthened to -400
  • [Oct 8] +200 last month, Norwich City are now odds-on to face the drop at odds of -120
  • [Sept 16] Last place Watford has seen their relegation odds shorten from +600 to +220
  • [Aug 2] Odds have slightly shortened on both Brighton and Newcastle, making them now the third and fourth-most likely to be relegated in the eyes of the bookmakers
  • [July 3] Sheffield United have been installed as the early leading favorite to be relegated to the Championship at odds of -150.

2020 English Premier League Relegation Odds

Team 2020 EPL Relegation Odds at Bovada
Norwich City -400
Watford -110
Southampton +150
Aston Villa +175
Newcastle United +300
Burnley +450
West Ham +500
Brighton +550
Crystal Palace +650
Sheffield United +700
Bournemouth +1000
Everton +2500
Wolverhampton +3300
Manchester United +12500
Arsenal +25000
Tottenham Hotspur +25000
Leicester City +50000
Chelsea +100000
Liverpool +450000
Manchester City +450000

Odds taken Nov. 11

The three newly-promoted sides, Sheffield, Norwich City and Aston Villa, are all among the top teams favored to be sent back down. Villa have the same odds (+175) as Burnley.

Recently Relegated Teams and Points

Year Teams Points
2018-19 Cardiff, Fulham, Huddersfield 34, 26, 16
2017-18 Swansea, Stoke, West Brom 33, 33, 31
2016-17 Hull, Middlesbrough, Sunderland 34, 28, 24
2015-16 Newcastle, Norwich, Aston Villa 37, 34, 17
2014-15 Hull, Burnley, QPR 35, 33, 30
2013-14 Norwich, Fulham, Cardiff 33, 32, 30
2012-13 Wigan, Reading, QPR 36, 28, 25
2011-12 Bolton, Blackburn, Wolverhampton 36, 31, 25
2010-11 Birmingham, Blackpool, West Ham 39, 39, 33
2009-10 Burnley, Hull, Portsmouth 30, 30, 19

Norwich City and Sheffield United finished first and second in the Championship division last season with 94 and 89 points respectively. They earned automatic promotion.

Aston Villa finished fifth in the division with 76 points and earned promotion through a playoff.

Burnley has opened as the Premier League team most likely to be relegated. They finished 15th in the EPL last season with 40 points. A similar haul of points this season would likely prove enough to stay up, given the 18th place team has averaged 34.7 points over the past ten years.