Novak Djokovic vs Rafael Nadal Odds & Prediction – French Open Quarterfinals
By Stephanie Myles in Tennis
Updated: October 27, 2022 at 4:35 am EDTPublished:
- Novak Djokovic and Rafael Nadal meet for the 59th time in the French Open quarterfinals Tuesday
- It’s the night-session match, set for May 31 scheduled for 3pm ET
- Djokovic, the fresher of the two, is favoured over Nadal on the Mallorcan’s favorite court – we break it down
Novak Djokovic and Rafael Nadal meet again, in their tennis dotage and through some bad draw luck, only in the quarterfinals of the French Open this year.
Djokovic vs Nadal Odds
| Player | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| [1] Novak Djokovic (SRB) | -4.5 (-110) | -250 | O 36.5 (-130) |
| [5] Rafael Nadal (ESP) | +4.5 (-120) | +190 | U 36.5 (+100) |
Odds as of May 30 at Caesars Sportsbook
After he didn’t defend his title in Rome, Nadal dropped to No. 5 in the rankings.
That meant a 25% chance of meeting each of the top four seeds in the quarterfinals. This was arguably the worst-case scenario.
Bet $1 & Double Your Winnings On Your First 10 Bets!
Djokovic was the favorite coming into the tournament. But if you expected Nadal to be right behind him, you were wrong; Carlos Alcaraz took the second spot.
The winner plays the winner of Alexander Zverev vs Carlos Alcaraz in the semifinals.
Djokovic Building Towards No. 21
If Djokovic has missed far too much tennis this season because of his unvaccinated status, he knows very well how to build towards a major.
His start to the clay season, with few matches as he shook off the rust, wasn’t optimal.
#FrenchOpen2022 #RafaelNadal #Djokovic
"I don't like night sessions on clay. I am very clear with that," Nadal, who enjoys a near mythical status at Roland Garros, where he has a statue erected in his honour, told reporters last week.https://t.co/8zEMuCYgh0
— Express Sports (@IExpressSports) May 30, 2022
But he got better and better with each tournament. And so far, he looks like the defending French Open champion.
Djokovic has won all 12 of his sets; in only one (the third and final set against Alex Molcan in the second round, which went to a tiebreak) did he drop more than three games. He has been dominant.
Djokovic vs Nadal Head-to-Head
| 35 (May 22, 1987) | Age | 35 (June 3, 1986) |
| Belgrade, Serbia | Birthplace | Manacor, Mallorca |
| 6-2 | Height | 6-1 |
| 87 | Career ATP Singles Titles | 91 |
| No. 1 (July 4, 2011) | Career High Ranking | No. 1 (Aug. 18, 2008) |
| No. 1 | Current Ranking | No. 5 |
| $156,136,601 | Career Prize Money | $128,337,592 |
| 16-4 | 2022 Won/Loss record | 27-3 |
| 30 | Career Head to Head | 28 |
All-Time Rivalry a Recent Slam Mismatch
Djokovic holds a 30-28 all-time head-to-head record against his great rival. But at the majors, in recent years, it has been one-way traffic for Djokovic.
Overall, it’s 9-8 for Nadal. But Djokovic has won five of their last six meetings in majors.
https://youtu.be/vS5NfocQGpc
That nine of those 17 Slam meetings came in Paris, in Nadal’s house, and the record is still that close is a tribute to Djokovic’s proficiency on every surface.
Djokovic vs Nadal Grand Slam Match History
| Year | Tournament | Surface | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | French Open (SF) | Outdoor Clay | 3-6, 6-3, 7-6 (4), 6-2 | Djokovic |
| 2020 | French Open (F) | Outdoor Clay | 6-0, 6-2, 7-5 | Nadal |
| 2019 | Australian Open (F) | Outdoor Hard | 6-3, 6-2, 6-3 | Djokovic |
| 2018 | Wimbledon (SF) | Grass | 6-4, 3-6, 7-6 (9), 3-6, 10-8 | Djokovic |
| 2015 | French Open (QF) | Outdoor Clay | 7-5, 6-3, 6-1 | Djokovic |
| 2014 | French Open (F) | Outdoor Clay | 3-6, 7-5, 6-2, 6-4 | Nadal |
| 2013 | US Open (F) | Outdoor Hard | 6-2, 3-6, 6-4, 6-1 | Nadal |
| 2013 | French Open (SF) | Outdoor Clay | 6-4, 3-6, 6-1, 6-7 (3), 9-7 | Nadal |
| 2012 | French Open (F) | Outdoor Clay | 6-4, 6-3, 2-6, 7-5 | Nadal |
| 2012 | Australian Open (F) | Outdoor Hard | 5-7, 6-4, 6-2, 6-7 (5), 7-5 | Djokovic |
| 2011 | US Open (F) | Outdoor Hard | 6-2, 6-4, 6-7 (3), 6-1 | Djokovic |
| 2011 | Wimbledon (F) | Grass | 6-4, 6-1, 1-6, 6-3 | Djokovic |
| 2010 | US Open (F) | Outdoor Hard | 6-4, 5-7, 6-4, 6-2 | Nadal |
| 2008 | French Open (SF) | Outdoor Clay | 6-4, 6-2, 7-6 (3) | Nadal |
| 2007 | Wimbledon (SF) | Grass | 3-6, 6-1, 4-1, retd | Nadal |
| 2007 | French Open (QF) | Outdoor Clay | 7-5, 6-4, 6-2 | Nadal |
| 2006 | French Open (QF) | Outdoor Clay | 6-4, 6-4, retd | Nadal |
Match vs Auger-Aliassime Took Toll
It was a pretty hectic 24 hours for Nadal, as he was able to get to the Stade de France across the city and see, in person for the first time, his beloved Real Madrid play in the Champions League final. And win.
He skipped the celebration, because he had a fourth-round match against 21-year-old Canadian Félix Auger-Aliassime the next day. But just getting there was an exhausting hassle.
Rafa has *never* lost a five-set match on clay:
'05, Rome: Nadal d. Coria
'06, Rome: Nadal d. Federer
'11, Roland-Garros: Nadal d. Isner
'13, Roland Garros: Nada d. Djokovic
'22, Roland Garros: Nadal d. Auger-Aliassime@rolandgarros #RolandGarros pic.twitter.com/Iy9P3lvtWq— Tennis TV (@TennisTV) May 29, 2022
The four hours and 20 minutes and five sets he spent on court Sunday before he finally put away the young Canadian was even more exhausting.
But more than that, he’s a bit underdone after healing up a rib stress fracture in the spring. And he’s a player who has always thrived on volume.
More than that, he’s about to be 36. He’s already talking about never knowing if his next match will be his final one at Roland Garros.
Nadal Will Leave it All on Court
The night match – not Nadal’s favorite – will mean his ball bounces lower than he’d like. And the weather is very cool in Paris this week.
But he managed to manhandle Djokovic in the 2020 final, in mid-October when it was considerably colder.
Nadal is not playing at that level this week. And Djokovic is near his optimal level.
You never want to count Nadal out; too many times, he finds a way. But this is Djokovic – a different league, and the first time two players with 20 or more Grand Slam titles will square off.
You want it to be an epic. It’s not setting up as one.
Best Bet: Djokovic in Four Sets (+310)
BetRivers French Open 20% Live Profit Boost
| Sportsbook | French Open Promo |
|---|---|
| BetRivers Promo Code Arizona | Get a French Open 20% Live Profit Boost |
| BetRivers Promo Code Colorado | Get a French Open 20% Live Profit Boost |
| BetRivers Promo Code Illinois | Get a French Open 20% Live Profit Boost |
| BetRivers Promo Code Indiana | Get a French Open 20% Live Profit Boost |
| BetRivers Promo Code Iowa | |
| BetRivers Promo Code Louisiana | Get a French Open 20% Live Profit Boost |
| BetRivers Promo Code Michigan | Get a French Open 20% Live Profit Boost |
| BetRivers Promo Code New York | |
| BetRivers Promo Code Pennsylvania | Get a French Open 20% Live Profit Boost |
| BetRivers Promo Code Virginia | Get a French Open 20% Live Profit Boost |
Want a 20% live profit boost at the French Open every day? Check out this BetRivers Promo Code to claim this bonus now! BetRivers Ontario is also now live in Canada as well!
BETMGM SPORTSBOOKUSE CODE SBD1500 & GET $1,500 BACK IN BONUS BETS
BET365 SPORTSBOOKBET $5 & GET $150 IN BONUS BETS WITH CODE DIME365
FANATICS SPORTSBOOKBET & GET UP TO $1,000 IN BONUS BETS!
DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOKBET $5 & GET $200 IN BONUS BETS INSTANTLY!
FANDUEL SPORTSBOOKBET $5 & GET $250 IF YOUR BET WINS
CAESARS SPORTSBOOKUSE CODE SBD2DYW & BET $1 TO DOUBLE THE WINNINGS ON YOUR FIRST 10 BETS!
Must be 21+. GAMBLING PROBLEM? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (CO, IL, KS, KY, MD, MI, NC, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, WY); (800) 327-5050 or gamblinghelplinema.org (MA); (877) 8-HOPENY (NY); 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ); (888) 789-7777 (CT); 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA); 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN); mdgamblinghelp.org (MD); morethanagame.nc.gov (NC); 1800gambler.net (WV)
Sports Writer
Stephanie gets the straight dope from the tennis insiders. On court, she has represented her country internationally. A BA in journalism led to years on the MLB beat and a decade covering tennis globally. She's written for Postmedia, the Guardian, the New York Times and also publishes OpenCourt.ca.
