Cowboys vs 49ers Props – Fade Kittle in the Divisional Round
By Chris Amberley in NFL Football
Updated: March 7, 2023 at 3:37 pm ESTPublished:
- Cowboys vs 49ers player props are live ahead of their Divisional Round playoff tilt on Sunday
- Will George Kittle be held under 3.5 catches? Can Deebo Samuel find the endzone?
- Don’t miss the complete list of Cowboys vs 49ers player props below, plus our predictions
For the ninth time in NFL playoff history, the Cowboys will clash with the 49ers. That’s the most postseason meetings between any two franchises, and Sunday will mark the second straight year these two storied rivals have squared off in the playoffs. Read on for an analysis of some Cowboys vs 49ers props.
Last year’s result went the Niners’ way in Dallas, and now San Francisco takes its turn as host in the Divisional Round. The 49ers have won 11 straight games coming in, including six straight started by seventh-round rookie Brock Purdy.
San Fran’s new pivot has taken the league by storm and has done so by getting the ball to his stud playmakers and letting them create. The challenge on Sunday is his most daunting yet, as the Cowboys’ defense is fierce. That should cause George Kittle to assume more of a blocking role, reducing his pass-catching ceiling.
Cowboys vs 49ers Props
| Quarterbacks | Completions | Passing Yards | Passing TD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dak Prescott (DAL) | 21.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100) | 251.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 1.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
| Brock Purdy (SF) | 20.5 (Ov +110 | Un -140) | 241.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 1.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) |
| Running Backs | Attempts | Rush Yards | Rush + Rec Yards |
| Ezekiel Elliott (DAL) | 10.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) | 34.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) | 42.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
| Tony Pollard (DAL) | 11.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) | 46.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) | 69.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
| Christian McCaffrey (SF) | 15.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) | 66.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 106.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
| Elijah Mitchell (SF) | OFF | 27.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) | OFF |
| Wide Receivers + Tight Ends | Receptions | Receiving Yards | Longest Reception |
| CeeDee Lamb (DAL) | 5.5 (Ov -145 | +115) | 75.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 25.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) |
| Michael Gallup (DAL) | 2.5 (Ov -160 | +130) | 35.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 17.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) |
| Noah Brown (DAL) | 1.5 (Ov +120 | Un -150) | 12.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 9.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
| T.Y. Hilton (DAL) | 2.5 (Ov +145 | Un -180) | 26.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) | 16.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) |
| Dalton Schultz (DAL) | OFF | 42.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 16.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) |
| Jake Ferguson (DAL) | OFF | 3.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | OFF |
| Brandon Aiyuk (SF) | 3.5 (Ov -150 | Un +120) | 52.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) | 22.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) |
| Deebo Samuel (SF) | 4.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) | 56.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 22.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
| Jauan Jennings (SF) | 1.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) | 18.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 12.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) |
| George Kittle (SF) | 3.5 (Ov -135 | Un +105) | 45.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 20.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) |
Odds as of January 21 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Get the DraftKings promo to bet on your Cowboys vs 49ers props.
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Kittle currently has an over/under receptions prop of 3.5 in the Cowboys vs 49ers player props. That’s one less than fellow Niner Deebo Samuel – more on him later, and the same number as teammate Brandon Aiyuk.
Cowboys vs 49ers Props: George Kittle Under 3.5 Receptions
Dallas led the NFL in pressure rate this season. They’re fast and athletic at virtually every defensive position and they blitz on over 25% of their defensive snaps.
San Francisco’s number one priority on offense is going to be to keep Purdy clean, and the best way to do that is to leave extra bodies into protect. That’s going to be Kittle’s fate on more snaps than usual, meaning he’s going to run fewer routes.
George Kittle: still the best blocking TE in the league
(that's Trey Flowers he barrel rolls on) pic.twitter.com/0MNedEUOFB
— Mike Renner (@mikerenner_) September 13, 2021
Less routes equals less opportunity and even when he does run a route the matchup isn’t favorable. That’s because he’s going to see plenty of Jayron Kearse, one of the few safeties in the league that can go toe-to-toe with him.
Pick: George Kittle Under 3.5 Receptions (+105), 1 unit
Cowboys vs 49ers Props: Jake Ferguson Over 3.5 Receiving Yards
We’ll keep this next prop short. San Francisco is one of the best teams at defending 11-personnel (3 WR, 1 TE, 1 RB). They are on the worst at defending 12-personnel (2 WR, 2 TE, 1 RB).
We know this, so Dallas does too. That’s going to prompt them to run more two tight end sets, opening up more playing time for Jake Ferguson.
Jake Ferguson Stats – Last 4 Games
| REC | TGT | YDS | TD |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 34 | 0 |
| 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| 1 | 1 | 24 | 0 |
One catch will get us over his receiving yards prop in all likelihood. He’s exceeded 3.5 yards in four straight games, and in six of his last seven contests overall.
Pick: Jake Ferguson Over 3.5 Receiving Yards (-115), 1 unit
Cowboys vs 49ers TD Props
| Player | Odds to Score 1st TD | Odds to Score Anytime TD |
|---|---|---|
| Christian McCaffrey (SF) | +500 | -155 |
| Deebo Samuel (SF) | +850 | +135 |
| George Kittle (SF) | +950 | +145 |
| Ezekiel Elliott (DAL) | +1100 | +150 |
| Tony Pollard (DAL) | +1100 | +140 |
| Brandon Aiyuk (SF) | +1200 | +205 |
| CeeDee Lamb (DAL) | +1200 | +160 |
| Dalton Schultz (DAL) | +1600 | +230 |
| Elijah Mitchell (SF) | +1800 | +330 |
| Jauan Jennings (SF) | +2000 | +370 |
| Michael Gallup (DAL) | +2000 | +285 |
| 49ers Defense | +2500 | +390 |
| Brock Purdy (SF) | +2500 | +450 |
| Cowboys Defense | +3000 | +425 |
| T.Y. Hilton (DAL) | +3000 | +500 |
| Dak Prescott (DAL) | +3000 | +500 |
| Noah Brown (DAL) | +4000 | +700 |
As far as the anytime TD market goes, Christian McCaffrey is the favorite at -155. CMC’s been a TD machine since he joined San Francisco, but those odds are a bit too short even if the 49ers are 4-point favorites.
Cowboys vs 49ers Props: Deebo Samuel Anytime TD
Right below him however, sits Deebo Samuel who has a more appealing price tag. Samuel led the Niners in catches and targets last week, going for six catches, 133 receiving yards and a score. He also chipped in 32 rushing yards on three carries making him a threat to score through the air and on the ground.
#49ers WR Deebo Samuel just dropped the ultimate hype video ahead of the big divisional playoff game with Dallas 🔥⛓️ pic.twitter.com/vCnvxYZ3EW
— OurSF49ers (@OurSf49ers) January 22, 2023
Sunday’s matchup should be a favorable one for Samuel. Over the final four weeks of the season, Dallas allowed the fourth most yards to enemy wide receivers. Samuel scored in last year’s playoffs against the Cowboys and is a strong bet to do so again in the Divisional Round.
Pick: Deebo Samuel Anytime TD (+135), 1 unit
Divisional Round Player Props Record: 0-3, -2.5 units
Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
