Broncos vs Saints Predictions, Picks & Best Odds for TNF (Week 7)

By Sascha Paruk in NFL Football
Published:

- The Denver Broncos visit the shorthanded New Orleans Saints on TNF on Oct. 17
- Missing starting QB Derek Carr, the Saints are slight home underdogs
- See the Broncos vs Saints predictions, picks, and best available odds for Thursday Night Football
Two hard-to-peg teams meet on Thursday Night Football in Week 7 as rookie QB Bo Nix leads his Denver Broncos (3-3, 2-1 away, 4-2 ATS) against fellow rookie pivot Spencer Rattler and the New Orleans Saints (2-4, 1-2 home, 3-3 ATS). Kickoff is slated for 8:15 pm ET at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans. The Saints are looking to break a four-game losing streak after an impressive 2-0 start while the Broncos aim to get back above .500 after last week’s 23-16 loss to the Chargers.
Denver Broncos vs New Orleans Saints Predictions
- Saints moneyline (+128) at FanDuel
- Over 36.5 (-120) at FanDuel

Fifth-round rookie Spencer Rattler was thrust into the starting role against Tampa Bay last week after Derek Carr went down against the Chiefs in Week 5. Overall, Rattler looked like a promising rookie, throwing for 243 yards on 55% passing with one TD and two picks. He helped the Saints dig out of an early 17-0 hole to take a 27-24 lead before the entire team imploded in the second half of a 51-27 loss.
The New Orleans defense only allowed 317 yards on the day but was routinely put in difficult positions by turnovers and penalties. Even after allowing a 50 burger, the Saints D still ranks 14th in Defensive DVOA this season.
Defense has also been the strength of the Broncos, who sit seventh in D-DVOA and fourth in scoring (16.0 PPG). It’s hard to have any confidence that Bo Nix is going to be able to move the ball, though. The #12-overall pick had under 50 yards passing in the first three quarters of last week’s 23-16 loss to the Chargers, who were missing Joey Bosa. He put up some garbage-time numbers to render his final line more respectable (19-33, 216 yards, two TD, one INT) but his inability to move the ball downfield has been rampant through his first six games in the league, as evidenced by his 73.7 passer rating.
Nix has as many picks as touchdown passes (five), and was limited to just 60 passing yards in his last road game at the Jets (which somehow ended in a 10-9 Denver victory).
Alvin Kamara is officially listed as questionable with a hand injury, but he was a limited participant in Tuesday’s practice and is trending towards playing. The 29-year-old has reasserted himself as one of the best skill-position players in the league, posting 428 rushing yards and another 238 receiving yards through six games. Kamara should be the ultimate security blanket for the rookie Rattler and I will gladly take the New Orleans moneyline at home at significant plus-money.
Best Broncos vs Saints Odds for TNF
Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Denver Broncos | -2.5 (-115) at bet365 | -142 at DraftKings | O 36.5 (-120) at FanDuel |
New Orleans Saints | +3.0 (-118) at DraftKings | +128 at FanDuel | U 37.5 (-115) at ESPN Bet |
There is a bigger discrepancy in the Broncos vs Saints odds than there are for most prime-time games. The Saints moneyline ranges from +120 to +128 in the Week 7 NFL odds with the longest price currently available at FanDuel. The Broncos moneyline is anywhere from -142 to -152. Denver bettors can find the best price at DraftKings.
Against the spread, the line is Denver -2.5 at most books but as high as Denver -3.0 (-118) at DraftKings, which represents the best option for bettors who want to back the Saint to cover the spread as home underdogs. Broncos backers can get Denver -2.5 (-115) at bet365 and BetMGM.
There is a full one-point range in the game total. FanDuel is on the low end at 36.5 (O -120/U -102) while ESPN Bet is on the high end at 37.5 (O -105/U -115).
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Managing Editor
Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.