Broncos vs Bills Player Props for Wild Card Game

By Michael Harrison in NFL Football
Published:

- The Broncos square off with the Bills in an AFC Wild Card matchup Sunday, January 12th, from Highmark Stadium
- Buffalo was 13-4 and are the #2 seed while Denver was 10-7 and were the final playoff team in the AFC
- Take a look below for our top Broncos vs Bills player prop bets
Josh Allen and the Bills begin their quest to finally get over the hump to win a Super Bowl as the second best team in the AFC this season (13-4). They face an upstart Broncos squad that hasn’t played a postseason contest since winning the Super Bowl in 2016. As Denver meets Buffalo on Sunday, January 12th at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, New York, it’s the home squad that’s a 8.5-point favorite in the Wild Card NFL odds. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 pm ET.
Broncos vs Bills Player Props
Quarterbacks | Completions | Passing Yards | Passing TDs |
---|---|---|---|
Bo Nix (DEN) | 23.5 (Ov-105/Un-115) | 226.5 (Ov-110/Un-115) | 1.5 (Ov+130/Un-165) |
Josh Allen (BUF) | 21.5 (Ov-110/Un-110) | 232.5 (Ov-115/Un-110) | 1.5 (Ov-105/Un-120) |
Running Backs | Attempts | Rushing Yards | Longest Rush |
Jaleel McLaughlin (DEN) | 8.5 (Ov+110/Un-135) | 32.5 (Ov-110/Un-110) | 11.5 (Ov-125/Un-105) |
Audric Estime (DEN) | 5.5 (Ov-130/Un+105) | 20.5 (Ov-110/Un-110) | 8.5 (Ov-120/Un-110) |
Javonte Williams (DEN) | OTB | 12.5 (Ov-105/Un-115) | 6.5 (Ov-120/Un-110) |
James Cook (BUF) | 13.5 (Ov-125/Un+100) | 58.5 (Ov-110/Un-115) | 14.5 (Ov-120/Un-110) |
Ray Davis (BUF) | 5.5 (Ov-105/Un-115) | 19.5 (Ov-110/Un-115) | 8.5 (Ov-105/Un-125) |
Wide Receivers & Tight Ends | Receptions | Receiving Yards | Longest Reception |
Courtland Sutton (DEN) | 5.5 (Ov+105/Un-130) | 64.5 (Ov-115/Un-110) | 21.5 (Ov-120/Un-110) |
Marvin Mims (DEN) | 3.5 (Ov-160/Un+125) | 43.5 (Ov-110/Un-115) | 19.5 (Ov-120/Un-110) |
Devaughn Vele (DEN) | 2.5 (Ov-105/Un-120) | 26.5 (Ov-110/Un-110) | 13.5 (Ov-120/Un-110) |
Troy Franklin (DEN) | 1.5 (Ov-145/Un+115) | 13.5 (Ov-115/Un-110) | 9.5 (Ov-110/Un-120) |
Khalil Shakir (BUF) | 5.5 (Ov+115/Un-145) | 55.5 (Ov-110/Un-115) | 20.5 (Ov-115/Un-115) |
Dalton Kincaid (BUF) | 3.5 (Ov-120/Un-105) | 35.5 (Ov-115/Un-110) | 16.5 (Ov-120/Un-110) |
Keon Coleman (BUF) | 2.5 (Ov+145/Un-180) | 29.5 (Ov-110/Un-110) | 17.5 (Ov-115/Un-115) |
Amari Cooper (BUF) | 2.5 (Ov+155/Un-195) | 24.5 (Ov-110/Un-110) | 14.5 (Ov-115/Un-115) |
Dawson Knox (BUF) | 1.5 (Ov+130/Un-165) | 11.5 (Ov-115/Un-110) | 8.5 (Ov-120/Un-110) |
Josh Allen’s passing yardage line is set at 232.5, while Bo Nix is 226.5. For the running backs, Bills’ James Cook is set at 58.5 yards and the Broncos’ Jaleel McLaughlin is at 32.5. Courtland Sutton has the highest receiving-yardage total in the NFL player props for Wild Card Weekend at 64.5 for Denver and Khalil Shakir 55.5 for Buffalo.

Broncos vs Bills Prop #1: Bo Nix Passing Touchdowns
After a slow start to his rookie campaign, where he threw for two touchdowns in a game just twice in his first seven contests, Bo Nix has really caught fire. In four straight affairs and eight of his last ten outings, Nix has tossed for at least a pair of TD’s.
Bo Nix and Justin Herbert are the only two rookies in NFL history to have 3+ passing touchdowns in at least five different games. pic.twitter.com/pz6j9F4e04
— Zac Stevens (@ZacStevensDNVR) January 11, 2025
In that ten-game time frame, Nix has totaled 24 touchdown strikes, good for fourth most in the NFL. The -8.5 odds line in the Bills favor clearly suggests they’ll be leading for a better part of the game, so Nix might have to throw it more to catch up. That could potentially lead to more TD passes. Buffalo has surrendered 28 scores through the air, eighth most in the league. Eric Rosales’ Broncos vs Bills same-game parlay features Nix having a big afternoon.
- Broncos vs Bills Prop Pick: Bo Nix over 1.5 touchdown passes (+130); risk 1 unit at DraftKings
Broncos vs Bills Prop #2: Dawson Knox Receiving Yards
Even though Dawson Knox isn’t the #1 tight end in Buffalo, that doesn’t mean he’s not a trusted target for his quarterback Josh Allen. His line in this game is set at 11.5 receiving yards, and that’s something he’s gone well over in five of his last seven outings.
Dawson Knox has scored the first TD in his last 4 Wild Card games!!!
He’s anywhere from 20-30/1 to score the first TD tomorrow 👀 💰 pic.twitter.com/3yDd1lGlSL
— Pay The Bills | A Trainwreck Sports Production (@PayTheBillsPod) January 11, 2025
The times Knox has gone over, his total yards are as follows – 56, 42, 40, 40, 22. His line is -115 to get twelve or more receiving yards. Perhaps an even better wager is over 1.5 receptions, something he’s also done in five of seven affairs. The price on that is +130. Since he’s had exactly two receptions in four of those five instances, it’s a bit dicey to select, so I’m going with him going over his receiving total.
- Broncos vs Bills Prop Pick: Dawson Knox over 11.5 receiving yards (-115); risk 1 unit at DraftKings
Broncos vs Bills Touchdown Scorer Props
Player | Odds to Score 1st TD | Odds to Score Anytime TD |
---|---|---|
James Cook (BUF) | +500 | -135 |
Josh Allen (BUF) | +550 | -125 |
Khalil Shakir (BUF) | +1300 | +235 |
Dalton Kincaid (BUF) | +1300 | +245 |
Courtland Sutton (DEN) | +1400 | +150 |
Keon Coleman (BUF) | +1500 | +285 |
Mack Hollins (BUF) | +1900 | +350 |
Marvin Mims (DEN) | +2000 | +245 |
Amari Cooper (BUF) | +2000 | +380 |
Ray Davis (BUF) | +2000 | +380 |
Jaleel McLaughlin (DEN) | +2200 | +320 |
Bo Nix (DEN) | +2200 | +370 |
The Bills’ James Cook has the shortest odds to find the end zone first at +500 and has the smallest odds to record a TD at any time at -135.
Broncos vs Bills Prop #3: Courtland Sutton Anytime Touchdown Scorer
If we are selecting Bo Nix to throw for two or more TD’s, let’s pair him up with his top receiving option in Courtland Sutton to find the end zone. He leads Denver finding paydirt eight times, doing so in three of his last four tilts and four of his last six.
Broncos WR Courtland Sutton: "I think one of the biggest misconceptions about this opportunity that we have is everyone feels like the Broncos are happy and satisfied with just making the playoffs. … It's not about just making the playoffs." pic.twitter.com/JP8a1hjkdr
— Andrew Mason (@MaseDenver) January 9, 2025
Last year against Buffalo, Sutton had eight receptions for 53 yards and a TD. At +150 odds to record a TD, you’re getting him at better value than the top-two players on the board (James Cook, Josh Allen).
If you’re also looking for a standard bet, make sure to check out Chris Amberley’s Broncos vs Bills predictions.
- Broncos vs Bills Prop Pick: Courtland Sutton anytime touchdown scorer (+150); risk 1 unit at DraftKings Sportsbook
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Sports & Entertainment Writer
Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statistician for the SC with Jay Onrait Show. He has worked at TSN for over 19 years, is the CEO of his "All Bets Par Off" weekly golf betting videos and his HDOG POD, along with several others.