Virginia vs Georgia Tech Predictions, Player Prop Picks & Best Odds for ACC Tournament
By Sascha Paruk in College Basketball
Published:
- The Virginia Cavaliers and Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets meet in the second round of the ACC Tournament on March 12
- Virginia dominated the only regular-season meeting (at home) but the Yellow Jackets are slight favorites on Wednesday
- Below, see my Virginia vs Georgia Tech picks and predictions, plus the best available odds for the spread, moneyline, and total
After a pair of disappointing regular seasons, the #9 Virginia Cavaliers (15-16, 8-12 ACC, 13-18 ATS) and #8 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (16-15, 10-10 ACC, 14-17 ATS) square off in the second round of the ACC Tournament in Charlotte, NC, on Wednesday afternoon (12:00 pm ET). Virginia cruised to a 75-61 home victory when these teams met in Charlottesville on Feb. 8, yet sportsbooks list Georgia Tech as a slight 1.5-point neutral-court favorite in Wednesday’s college basketball odds.
Virginia vs Georgia Tech Prediction & Picks
- Virginia moneyline (+100) at Caesars
- Duncan Powell under 12.5 points (-115) at bet365
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It’s easy to dismiss Virginia’s win over Georgia Tech back in February as a home game that won’t translate to future success in a new location. But it’s the manner of UVA’s win that has me thinking that success is sustainable and will travel. Virginia wound up winning by 14 despite Georgia Tech hitting at 44.4% from beyond the arc (8-of-18). Virginia completely dominated the glass, finishing +14 on the boards, including +7 in offensive rebounds. Blake Buchanan, the Wahoos’ 6’11 center, grabbed 11 rebounds and dished out four assists from the post.
The Yellow Jackets are not a team that tends to shoot the ball well. They connected at just a 33.9% clip from beyond the arc during the regular season (177th in DI). Virginia, on the other hand, averaged 37.6% from three (26th in DI). Meanwhile, the strength of the Georgia Tech defense is on the interior; they limited opponents to a 46.6% field-goal percentage on two-point attempts (28th-best in DI) but allowed 35% on three (256th).
On top of that, Georgia Tech won exactly two games outside of Atlanta all season: a 73-67 victory at Pitt, and a 89-86 triple-OT upset of Clemson. The Yellow Jackets were 2-9 away and lost their only neutral-court game to Northwestern (71-60). Virginia wasn’t much better away from home, but did manage a 70-60 neutral-court win over Villanova, plus a 4-7 SU record in true road games.
In short, the personnel and stylistic matchup favors Virginia on paper, and they also have a slightly better resume away from home. That’s plenty for me to back the Cavaliers as even-money underdogs.
UVA vs GT Player Props
Virginia vs Georgia Tech player props as of March 12 at bet365. Find the top sites for online slots.
The point totals for Wednesday’s game at the Spectrum Center are all clustered from 10.5 to 14.5, led by UVA sharpshooter Isaac McKneely (14.0 PPG, 2.7 RPG, 2.9 APG), who’s hitting at 41.0% from beyond the arc this season. Senior guard Lance Terry (15.0 PPG, 3.0 RPG, 1.7 APG) and sophomore forward Baye Ndongo (13.6 PPG, 9.1 RPG, 1.5 APG) have the highest point totals on the Georgia Tech side at 13.5. Ndongo also has the highest rebound total on the board by a wide margin at 10.5 O/U.
Best Available Virginia vs Georgia Tech Odds
The UVA/GT odds don’t show a lot of range as of Wednesday morning. The best Virginia moneyline is currently even-money at Caesars, DraftKings, and bet365. FanDuel stands alone as having the best Georgia Tech moneyline at -115.
The spread varies from 1.0 to 1.5. FanDuel and ESPN Bet both have Virginia +1.5 at -115 odds, while bet365 and Caesars have Georgia Tech -1.0 at -110.
There is no variety in the game total; every single book has the O/U listed as 130.5. The vast majority also have -110 odds each way, but DraftKings is currently offering a better -108 price on the under.
Wednesday’s college basketball public betting splits show a strange divide. The public has put 72% of moneyline handle on Georgia Tech to win straight-up, but 74% of ATS handle on the Cavaliers to cover as slight 1.5-point underdogs. The public also has a strong lean to the over, with 68% of game-total handle on over 1305 as of 9:04 am ET.
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Managing Editor
Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.
