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F1 Picks & Odds: 2025 Emilia Romagna Grand Prix Predictions & Start Time

Chris Wassel

By Chris Wassel in Racing

Published:


Oscar Piastri won in Miami. Now after taking the pole in Imola, can he win in Italy over Max Verstappen and Lando Norris on Sunday in the 2025 Emilia Romagna Grand Prix?
May 4, 2025; Miami Gardens, FL, USA; McLaren driver Oscar Piastri (81) celebrates at the podium after winning the F1 Miami Grand Prix at Miami International Autodrome. Mandatory Credit: Sam Navarro-Imagn Images
  • Formula 1 Emilia Romagna Grand Prix takes place this Sunday from the Imola Circuit in Italy
  • Oscar Piastri won the pole and is a heavy favorite to win the race, too
  • Below, see my Formula 1 Emilia Romagna Grand Prix expert predictions, picks, and betting odds

Formula 1 heads to Italy for the event of the 2025 season this Sunday, May 18th, with the Emilia Romagna Grand Prix. The green flag drops just after 9:00 am ET, with live coverage via ESPN.

Imola (Autodromo Enzo e Dino Ferrari) is a 3.05-mile track. This course has 19 turns. Simply put, aggression benefits the smart driver who pounces early on turns and final corners. Max Verstappen thought he had the pole, but Oscar Piastri had other things to say.

Let us dive into these Formula 1 picks and odds for the Miami race, along with the start time.

2025 Emilia Romagna Grand Prix Odds

DriverWinTop 2Top 4
Oscar Piastri (McLaren)-225-600-1200
Max Verstappen (Red Bull)+285-110-900
Lando Norris (McLaren)+550-105-900
George Russell (Mercedes)+1800+300-225
Charles Leclerc (Ferrari) +13000+1800+175
Lewis Hamilton (Ferrari)+13000+2500+225
Carlos Sainz (Williams)+10000+2800+450
Andrea Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes)+13000+2800+850
Alexander Albon (Williams)+13000+2800+450
Fernando Alonso (Aston Martin)+13000+2800+550

Now at -225 odds, the implied probability for Oscar Piastri comes in at 69.23%, with Max Verstappen hanging in at 25.97%. Finally, Lando Norris is at 15.38%. Does the 19 turn course give Verstappen a chance to make a pass or will Piastri coast to glory in this 63-lap affair?

Odds updated May 18 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Register with the DraftKings promo code to wager on the Emilia Romagna Grand Prix. See the current updated F1 Drivers’ Championship odds.

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Emilia Romagna Grand Prix Picks

People should expect mostly sunny weather around the time of the race. Temperatures close to 70 degrees should greet the racers in the early afternoon over in Italy. Course knowledge tilts slightly to Max Verstappen and Red Bull. However, Oscar Piastri has shown late practice speed and was able to steal that pole. Late sectors helped Piastri turn a P2 into a P1. If he finds more of that late speed during the race, Verstappen and even Lando Norris might not be able to keep up.

This track helped McLaren in practice, but particularly in qualifying. However, there was one team that did themselves no favors in the Q2, and that was Ferrari. Yes, both Ferrari drivers missed out on the Top 10 as Charles Leclerc will start 11th with Lewis Hamilton beginning the Imola race from the 12th position.

The Ferrari camp struggled again which makes even a Top 4 difficult for either driver. Charles Leclerc could be the driver who makes a charge,as he has done in Italy in the past. Bettors have to understand that Max Verstappen has won this race three times. If anyone can pull this off, it is him. However, the Red Bull driver has struggled this season from the 2 hole at times. Getting to Turn 1 used to be a consistent strength for several drivers, but not so anymore for most teams not from McLaren.

Sunday could see a podium double for McLaren if Verstappen should falter in any way. It would not take much, given how close Norris and Verstappen were in the practice and qualifying sessions.

The likelihood of mistakes and crashes feels lower than normal. If Piastri gets to turn one in first, this race could be over before it even starts. A dry track here really rewards positioning more than anything else.

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  • Emilia Romagna Grand Prix Prediction to Win: Oscar Piastri (-225 at DraftKings)

2025 Emilia Romagna Grand Prix Double Top-6 Finish

Team WIN
McLaren-225
Mercedes+3500
Ferrari+10000
Williams+20000
Aston Martin+30000

Miami allowed the possibility of a 1-2, but will Verstappen be able to hold off Norris. That is the big question here. I believe a bet here may be more beneficial during the live betting portion of the race.

Emilia Romagna GP: Winning Margin

Fastest LapOdds
Under 6 secondsEven
Over 12 seconds+200
6-12 seconds+250

With 63 laps and plenty of strategy, I believe the race should stay close enough under 6 seconds (Even). If someone wants to go a little bit longer in the odds, I suggest checking out the Piastri fastest lap and win double at +150. It is the only way to get plus money for the young driver.

Chris Wassel
Chris Wassel

Sports Writer

A journalist veteran for over two decades, Chris has taught the gamut of fantasy hockey sports online from injuries to news to prospects, and more. He has bet on several sports and written sports betting articles about the NBA, MLB, NCAA football, the NFL, and NHL for USA Today.

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