Skip to content

Home Run Props to Bet Today – Target This +2652 HR Parlay on Wednesday, May 21st

John Hyslop

By John Hyslop in MLB Baseball

Published:


May 19, 2025; Denver, Colorado, USA; Colorado Rockies shortstop Ezequiel Tovar (14) rounds the bases on a solo home run in the first inning against the Philadelphia Phillies at Coors Field. Mandatory Credit: Isaiah J. Downing-Imagn Images
  • There are almost 1000 games being played in the MLB on Wednesday, May 21
  • With that much action, it should be very easy to find at least two guys who are definitely going yard
  • See below for my +2652 home run parlay today (May 21st)

If I could give any piece of advice to anyone, it would be to have a two-leg home run parlay going at all times. It’s not hard to do, especially since we’ve got MLB action literally every day of the week. The thing with home run parlays is that they offer hope, which we just can’t have enough of. Ask anybody, they’ll tell you.

One of my favorite ways to get in on all this hope is by prolonging the hope. How do we do that? Take tonight’s slate, for example. There are a million games going on throughout the day so what we want to do is take two guys from the later games to hit home runs. That way, we have hope hanging out in our back pockets for the entire slate. What’s even better is, the two guys who are on that late, hope ticket are the two best guys to homer on today’s board. We’re living the dream out here.

Please remember to play both legs straight for a 1/4 unit as well as a 1/4 unit two-leg parlay.

MLB Home Run Parlay Today (May 21)

PickOdds
Ezequiel Tovar HR+540
Ketel Marte HR+330
Two-Leg Parlay+2652

Altogether, the two legs of today’s home run parlay generate +2652 odds at FanDuel, meaning a $100 bet would profit $2652 if both legs hit.

CAESARS SPORTSBOOK


Bet $1 & Double Your Winnings On Your First 10 Bets!

LOCK IN PROMO
CODE: SBD2DYW
CODE: SBD2DYW
SIGNUP PROMO
DOUBLE YOUR
WINNINGS

ON YOUR FIRST 10 BETS!

CLAIM OFFER
MLB odds as of May 21 at FanDuel. Check out SBD’s take on the best betting app for MLB.

Wednesday HR Parlay Leg #1 – Ezequiel Tovar to Hit a Home Run

By the time the Colorado Rockies and Philadelphia Phillies game starts, we’ll be almost done with the day. We’ll probably forget we even have this thing going since there will be so many other bets to attend to throughout the day. That’s what makes it perfect: it’ll be like finding a scratch-off in your pocket that you forgot to scratch. There’s nothing better.

The best part is, I’d be shocked if the first guy on this thing, Ezequiel Tovar, only hits one home run tonight.

PitchTovar Hard-Hit Rate vs RHP (2025)Walker Hard-Hit Rate vs RHB (2025)
Cutter50%67%
Slider47%75%

Obviously we care that Tovar is tearing the cover off the ball lately. That matters, but what I like the most about this move is the fact that Taijuan Walker is pitching for the Phillies. The haters are going to say he really hasn’t given up dongs this season, but that’s only half right. While he hasn’t been hit over the fence much, he’s been hit hard. We’re talking about a guy who gave up 24 home runs in 83 innings last season. I think he still has it, and I’m thinking Tovar takes him yard in his first at-bat tonight. Feels right.

  • The Bet: Ezequiel Tovar to Hit a Home Run (+550) – BetMGM
Sports betting odds boosts ad

Home Run Parlay Leg #2 – Ketel Marte to Hit a Home Run

Once Tovar goes yard, we’ll be on high alert. For that reason, we need to go with a true Circle of Trust guy. Someone we know for a fact is hitting a ball over a fence. We can’t afford to mess around with the second leg. It would be a shame to waste Tovar’s bomb.

Lucky for us, we’ve got Ketel Marte, priced to move against a pitch mix he absolutely destroys.

PitchMarte Hard-Hit Rate vs RHP (L30 Days)May Hard-Hit Rate vs LHB (2025)
Sinker50%62%
Sweeper100%36%

The haters are going to say we need to be on Corbin Carroll and Eugenio Suarez. I’ll give it to the haters, those are two guys that hit bombs, but we can’t overlook Marte in this spot. Everything he sees from Dustin May is something that he hits well. I’m hoping he gets a four-seamer, but if it’s a sinker or sweeper, so be it. It’s all deadly. The best part about this is, we won’t even have to stay up too late. Marte is cashing this in the first inning. Feels right.

  • The Bet: Ketel Marte to Hit a Home Run (+375) – BetMGM
John Hyslop

John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it.

NFL NBA MLB NCAAF NCAAB

Recommended Reading