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Wings vs Lynx Odds, Picks, Predictions & Player Props (May 21)

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk in WNBA

Published:


Dallas Wings guard Paige Bueckers looks to pass against the Minnesota Lynx
May 16, 2025; Arlington, Texas, USA; Dallas Wings guard Paige Bueckers (5) passes over Minnesota Lynx guard Natisha Hiedeman (2) during the second half at College Park Center. Mandatory Credit: Kevin Jairaj-Imagn Images
  • Paige Bueckers and the winless Dallas Wings visit the 2-0 Minnesota Lynx on Wednesday night
  • The Lynx are big home favorites over the Wings, who are 0-2 ATS this season
  • See the Dallas Wings vs Minnesota Lynx odds, picks, predictions, and player props on May 21st

The Dallas Wings (0-2, 0-0 away, 0-2 ATS) hit the road for the first time this season, visiting the Minnesota Lynx (2-0,0-0, 2-0 ATS) at the Target Center in Minneapolis, MN, at 7:00 pm CT/8:00 pm ET on Wednesday night in Minnesota’s home opener.

The Lynx already have a pair of double-digit wins under their belt, including a road win at Dallas on opening night, and remain perfect both straight-up and against the spread.

Wings vs Lynx Odds & Betting Lines

Bet TypeDALMIN
Spread+12.0 (-115)-12.0 (-105)
Moneyline+525-750
TotalO 167.0 (-110)U 167.0 (-110)

The Lynx are 12-point home favorites against the spread and hyper-short -750 favorites on the moneyline, giving Minnesota an 88.24% implied win probability. Dallas comes back as a +525 underdog to pick up its first W of the season (165 implied win probability). The game total is sitting at 167 with -110 odds each way. The first meeting between these teams last Friday ended in a 99-84 Minnesota victory, soaring over the 164.5-point game total.

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Both teams hit the under in their second games of the season, though. Dallas lost 79-71 at home to Seattle, the 150 points falling well short of the 167.5-point total. Minnesota cruised past the Sparks in LA (89-75), finishing just 1.5 points under the total of 165.5.

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Minnesota forward Napheesa Collier (20.4 PPG, 9.7 RPG, 3.4 APG in 2024) dominated the first matchup with 34 points on 57.1% shooting from the field (12-of-21) to go along with four rebounds and four assists. Guard Courtney Williams (11.1 PPG, 4.5 RPG, 9.5 APG in 2024) added 25 points on 66.7% shooting with a game-high nine assists.

Arike Ogunbowale (22.2 PPG, 4.6 RPG, 5.1 APG in 2024) had a team-high 16 points for Dallas in the loss but was an ugly 4-of-12 from the floor. First-overall pick Paige Bueckers had just 10 points in her WNBA debut, going 3-of-10 from the field. She was considerably more aggressive (and accurate) in her second game against Seattle, scoring a team-high 19 points on 7-of-14 shooting, plus eight assists and six rebounds.

Bueckers logged a team-high 37 minutes in the loss. No other Dallas player was on the court for more than 29.

Wings vs Lynx Player Props

PlayerPointsReboundsAssistsThrees Made
Napheesa Collier (MIN)24.5 (O -110 | U -120)7.5 (O -115 | U -115)3.5 (O +105 | U -135)1.5 (O +115 | U -145)
Arike Ogunbowale (DAL)16.5 (O -115 | U -115)3.5 (O +120 | U -150)3.5 (O +105 | U -135)1.5 (O -145 | U +115)
Paige Bueckers (DAL)15.5 (O -115 | U -115)4.5 (O -150 | U +120)5.5 (O -110 | U -110)1.5 (O +175 | U -225)
Courtney Williams (MIN)14.5 (O -125 | U -105)4.5 (O -115 | U -115)6.5 (O -130 | U -100)OFF
DiJonai Carrington (DAL)11.5 (O -115 | U -115)4.5 (O -100 | U -130)OFFOFF
Alanna Smith (MIN)11.5 (O -115 | U -115)4.5 (O -115 | U -115)2.5 (O -150 | U +120)1.5 (O -115 | U -115)
Maddy Siegrist (DAL)9.5 (O -115 | U -115)OFFOFFOFF
Bridget Carleton (MIN)9.5 (O +105 | U -135)4.5 (O -140 | U +110)OFF1.5 (O -165 | U +135)
NaLyssa Smith (DAL)8.5 (O -130 | U -100)4.5 (O -115 | U -100)OFFOFF
Myisha Hines-Allen (DAL)7.5 (O -115 | U -115)6.5 (O +105 | U -135)OFFOFF

Collier has a sky-high point total of 24.5 on Wednesday night, eight more than any other player on the board, with the under only slightly favored at -120. Collier followed up her 34-point performance against Dallas on opening night with 23 points on 10-of-18 shooting against Los Angeles.

Ogunbowale has the highest total on the Dallas side at 16.5, one more than Bueckers at 15.5.

DAL Wings vs MIN Lynx Picks & Prediction

  • Collier under 24.5 points (-120) at Caesars
  • Bueckers over 14.5 points (-130) at DraftKings
  • Wings moneyline (+525) at bet365
  • Sascha Paruk’s 2025 WNBA betting record: 2-2 (-0.09 units). All wagers one unit unless expressly stated otherwise.

Dallas showed far more cohesion in their second game of the year against Seattle, especially in the second half, than in the season-opening loss to Minnesota. They clawed back from a 17-point deficit to make it a three-point game early in the fourth quarter before running out of gas. And that game with star guard Arike Ogunbowale scoring just eight points on a horrendous 2-of-14 shooting.

If Dallas’ best player shows up, they likely cover the 3.5-point spread and might win outright.

Dallas went 2-1 straight-up against Minnesota last season with Ogunbowale scoring at least 21 points in all three games. Collier only went over 24.5 points in one of the three.

With Bueckers clearly playing a huge role in the Dallas offense from the get-go, I’m hesitant to bet the over on Ogunbowale’s point total. It’s not clear what her usage rate is going to be in the new-look offense. But I do like the value on Dallas as a massive moneyline underdog given their success against Minnesota last year and the modest improvement we saw from the Wings last time out.

Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

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