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College Football Player Props – Best Bets for Week 4 (Saturday, Sep. 20)

Chris Amberley

By Chris Amberley in College Football

Published:


Jackson Arnold drops back to pass versus South Alabama.
Auburn Tigers quarterback Jackson Arnold (11) looks to pass as Auburn Tigers take on South Alabama Jaguars at Jordan-Hare Stadium in Auburn, Ala. on Saturday, Sept. 13, 2025.
  • Week 4 of the College Football season continues Saturday
  • Oklahoma has held opposing QB’s to a 45% completion rate and 4.3 yards per pass this season
  • See below for my favorite College Football player props and best bets for Week 4

Some of the biggest programs in college football are taking Week 4 off, but I’m soldiering on with a few player prop bets for you to target.

Below you’ll find my best bets in the Week 4 college football player props market, as well as the odds for the biggest names that will be taking the field on Saturday.

College Football Week 4 Player Props

QuarterbackPassing YardsPassing TDs
Arch Manning (TEX)258.5 (Ov -114 / Un -114)2.5 (Ov -106 / Un -125)
Bryce Underwood (MICH)179.5 (Ov -114 / Un -114)0.5 (Ov -250 / Un +182)
Dylan Raiola (NEB)223.5 (Ov -114 / Un -114)1.5 (Ov +178 / Un -245)
Devon Dampier (UTAH)218.5 (Ov -114 / Un -114)1.5 (Ov -114 / Un -114)
Behren Morton (TTU)254.5 (Ov -114 / Un -114)1.5 (Ov -180 / Un +134)
Carson Beck (MIA)273.5 (Ov -114 / Un -114)1.5 (Ov -158 / Un +118)
DJ Langway (FLA)223.5 (Ov -114 / Un -114)1.5 (Ov +152 / Un -205)
Jackson Arnold (AUB)175.5 (Ov -114 / Un -114)0.5 (Ov -225 / Un +164)
John Mateer (OU)255.5 (Ov -114 / Un -114)1.5 (Ov +134 / Un -180)
Running BackRushing YardsAnytime TD
Emmett Johnson (NEB)72.5 (Ov -114 / Un -114)-220
Justice Haynes (MICH)85.5 (Ov -114 / Un -114)-145
NaQuari Rogers (UTAH)52.5 (Ov -114 / Un -114)-110
J’Koby Williams (TTU)54.5 (Ov -114 / Un -114)-120
Mark Fletcher (MIA)72.5 (Ov -114 / Un -114)-180
Jadan Baugh (FLA)59.5 (Ov -114 / Un -114)-125
Jeremiah Cobb (OU)45.5 (Ov -114 / Un -114)+145
ReceiverReceiving YardsAnytime TD
Dane Key (NEB)42.5 (Ov -114 / Un -114)+220
Donaven McCulley (MICH)39.5 (Ov -114 / Un -114)+220
Ryan Davis (UTAH)58.5 (Ov -114 / Un -114)+150
Reggie Virgil (TTU)45.5 (Ov -114 / Un -114)+175
Vernell Brown III (FLA)53.5 (Ov -114 / Un -114)+220
Malachi Toney (MIA)66.5 (Ov -114 / Un -114)+110
Jordyn Tyson (ASU)95.5 (Ov -114 / Un -114)-150
Deion Burks (OU)64.5 (Ov -114 / Un -114)+155

My betting card starts with under 175.5 passing yards for Auburn QB Jackson Arnold. The junior faces a nightmare matchup against National Championship odds contender Oklahoma, and his best path to success is not through the air, but rather on the ground.

I’m also betting on the insane volume of Arizona State star receiver Jordyn Tyson, as his 95.5 yard receiving prop is simply too low given the state of the Baylor defense he’ll go up against.

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Week 4 College Football Player Prop: Jackson Arnold Passing Yards

The Tigers will want to run the ball at all costs as 7-point underdogs against the Sooners to keep John Mateer and the Oklahoma offense off the field. Auburn is already one of the most run heavy offenses in the league, ranking 23rd in rushing rate, and they’ll try to lean on the legs of Arnold and his stable of running backs.

Arnold enters the game averaging just 24 pass attempts per contest, and has completed 13 passes or less in two of three games so far. He averages only 7.3 yards per attempt, and will be facing a defense that is very familiar with him.

Oklahoma Sooners Pass Defense Stats

StatTotal (Rank)
Pass Yds Allowed / Game110.0 (5th)
Yards Allowed / Pass4.3 (3rd)
Opp Completion %45.1% (2nd)

The Junior spent his freshman and sophomore years at OU, attempting 246 passes for the Sooners last season. Oklahoma enters play as one of the top defenses in the nation, and have been suffocating against the pass.

OU is yielding a minuscule 45% completion rate and just 4.3 yards per throw. Enemy QB’s are averaging 110 passing yards per game against them, and are being sacked on 9% of their drop backs.

  • Best Bet #1: Jackson Arnold Under 175.5 Passing Yards (-114 at BetMGM)

Week 4 College Football Player Prop: Jordyn Tyson Receiving Yards

On to Tyson, who’s putting up numbers worthy of Heisman Trophy odds consideration. He’s averaging over 100 receiving yards and a touchdown per game, and has a total stranglehold over the Sun Devils target share.

Tyson is drawing over 42% of Arizona State’s targets thus far, and there’s reason to believe he’s actually underperforming expectations. Sun Devils QB Sam Leavitt has been wildly inaccurate, completing only 58% of his passes. If Leavitt can climb back to his career baseline completion percentage, Tyson’s 66.6% catch rate will skyrocket, boosting his ceiling.

Despite the errand throws, Tyson has cleared 100+ yards in two of three games so far, and I’m betting he’ll do it again versus a Baylor team in one of the highest total games on Saturday’s slate. The Bears enter play banged up in the secondary and are yielding the 10th-highest yards per attempt to opposing quarterbacks this season.

  • Best Bet #2: Jordyn Tyson Over 95.5 Receiving Yards (-114 at BetMGM)
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Chris Amberley
Chris Amberley

Sports Writer

As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.

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