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Kansas City Chiefs vs Jacksonville Jaguars Player Props & Anytime Touchdown Bets

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk in NFL News

Published:


Jacksonville Jaguars running back Travis Etienne Jr scoring a TD against the 49ers
Sep 28, 2025; Santa Clara, California, USA; Jacksonville Jaguars running back Travis Etienne Jr. (1) reacts after scoring a touchdown during the first half against the San Francisco 49ers at Levi's Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Darren Yamashita-Imagn Images
  • Looking to get over .500 for the first time this season, the Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs visit the Jaguars on MNF
  • Travis Etienne Jr has scored a touchdown in three straight games
  • See the Chiefs vs Jaguars player props and the best prop picks for Monday Night Football (Week 5)

After an ugly 0-2 start, the Kansas City Chiefs (2-2, ATS, O/U) can pull into a tie for first in the AFC West with a win tonight on Monday Night Football. Standing in their way is the Jacksonville Jaguars (3-1, ATS, O/U), who need a win to keep pace with the Colts at the top of the AFC South. Both teams are coming off impressive offensive outbursts last Sunday: the Jaguars put up 26 on the road against a very good San Francisco defense, while the Chiefs torched the Ravens for 37 points.

Has that set the stage for more fireworks?

Below, I have set out the main Chiefs vs Jaguars player props, followed by the Chiefs/Jaguars touchdown-scorer props. In each section, find my favorite Chiefs/Jaguars prop picks for tonight’s game in Jacksonville (8:15 pm ET).

Jump to: KC vs JAX Player Props || KC vs JAX Touchdown Props

Chiefs vs Jaguars Player Props

PLAYERPASSING YARDSPASSING TDsCOMPLETIONS
P. Mahomes248.5 (-111|-113)1.5 (-147|+115)23.5 (-110|-116)
T. Lawrence214.5 (-111|-113)1.5 (+123|-157)20.5 (-120|-106)
RUSHERRUSH YARDSRUSH ATTEMPTSLONGEST RUSH
T. Etienne Jr65.5 (-112|-112)14.5 (-120|-106)14.5 (-105|-125)
I. Pacheco29.5 (-115|-109)7.5 (-138|+108)9.5 (-105|-125)
K. Hunt27.5 (-113|-111)8.5 (-120|-106)8.5 (-135|+105)
P. Mahomes22.5 (-112|-112)4.5 (-124|-103)11.5 (-105|-120)
B. Tuten19.5 (-113|-111)OFF8.5 (+105|-135)
T. Lawrence11.6 (-106|-118)OFF6.5 (-115|-115)
RECEIVERREC. YARDSRECEPTIONSLONGEST REC.
X. Worthy57.5 (-111|-113)4.5 (-123|-104)22.5 (-115|-115)
B. Thomas Jr57.5 (-110|-114)4.5 (-116|-110)22.5 (-110|-120)
T. Kelce42.5 (-114|-110)4.5 (+128|-163)17.5 (-115|-115)
M. Brown40.5 (-111|-113)4.5 (+120|-154)18.5 (-115|-115)
B. Strange34.5 (-114|-110)3.5 (-141|+110)15.5 (-110|-120)
J. Smith-Schuster30.5 (-112|-112)2.5 (-173|+135)14.5 (-125|-105)
T. Hunter29.5 (-112|-112)2.5 (-175|+137)OFF
D. Brown29.5 (-110|-114)2.5 (-147|+115)15.5 (-120|-110)

NFL player props as of 11:30 am ET at DraftKings.

Chiefs vs Jaguars Prop Pick #1: Lawrence Over 0.5 INTS

Jacksonville’s offensive profile screams turnover risk, evidenced by their league-worst -9 turnover differential. Lawrence faces a Kansas City defense that generates consistent pressure (2.5 sacks per game) and will likely force aggressive throws if the Chiefs establish an early lead.

The -160 odds are steep, but the implied probability (61.54%) still supports a bet on the over.

Lawrence will be pressed into high-risk situations throughout the contest and he’s highly likely to throw his fifth interception in five games.

KC vs JAX Player-Prop Pick #2: Etienne Jr Over 62.5 Rush Yards

Travis Etienne Jr’s rushing prop, which is as low as 62.5 yards at Caesars, stands out as great value. He faces a Chiefs defense that struggles to stop the run, sitting an abysmal 29th in rush defense at PFF. The Jaguars’ early game plan will almost certainly center on their ground attack.

Etienne has gone over 63.5 in three of four games this season, already hitting the century mark twice in what’s shaping up to be a huge bounce-back season.

I wouldn’t hesitate to bet Etienne’s ladder, for example 70+ rushing yards at +110 at DraftKings.

KC Chiefs vs JAX Jaguars Touchdown Props

PlayerFirst TDAnytime TD
T. Etienne Jr+700+115
X. Worthy+850+150
T. Kelce+1100+180
B. Thomas Jr+1200+190
K. Hunt+1200+240
M. Brown+1300+245
T. Hunter+1700+330
B. Strange+1900+340
B. Tuten+1900+370
I. Pacheco+1900+370
J. Smith-Schuster+1900+390
P. Mahomes+1900+380
T. Thornton+2000+350
T. Lawrence+3000+650

No one is an odds-on favorite to score a touchdown tonight. Etienne Jr has the shortest TD odds at +115. The shortest KC player is Xavier Worthy at +150.

Chiefs vs Jaguars Anytime Touchdown Pick: Etienne Jr

Etienne Jr., as the Jaguars’ lead back, is consistently involved in the Jaguars’ scoring opportunities, especially in the red zone. The Clemson product has 11 red-zone rushing attempts this season; no one else on the Jaguars has more than four.

That high usage, and a surprisingly strong Jacksonville offensive line, has led to Etienne scoring touchdowns in three straight games. Getting him at plus-money to find the end zone again – at home, no less – is an absolute steal.

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Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

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