Buffalo Bills vs Atlanta Falcons Player Props & Touchdown Scorer Picks for Monday Night Football

• Josh Allen is priced at plus-money to score a touchdown on MNF
• Is Bijan Robinson poised for a big day on the ground against a suspect Buffalo run defense?
• See my favorite Bills vs Falcons player props to bet and touchdown scorer picks

The Buffalo Bills (4-1, ATS, O/U) head south to take on the Atlanta Falcons (2-2, ATS, O/U) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in the first game of a Monday Night Football twin-bill on October 13th. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:15 pm ET with ESPN carrying the MNF broadcast, per usual.

Below, I have set out (1) the main Bills/Falcons player props over/unders along with my two favorite O/U bets, and (2) the Bills/Falcons touchdown props (anytime TD and first TD odds) and my favorite BUF/ATL touchdown-scorer pick.

Jump to: O/U Player Props || Touchdown Scorer Props

Buffalo Bills vs Atlanta Falcons Player Props

Josh Allen’s passing yardage prop is set well below his season average of 241.4, a clear nod to the strength of Atlanta’s top-ranked pass defense. Given the Bills’ likely reliance on their top-ranked run game, the under on his completions could be in play. Michael Penix Jr. faces an equally daunting task against Buffalo’s #2 pass defense, making the under on his 1.5 passing touchdowns at -180 a heavily juiced but logical play.

NFL player props from FanDuel at 11:16 am ET, Oct.13.

BUF vs ATL Player Prop Pick #1: B. Robinson Over 70.5 Rush Yards

Robinson’s rushing-yards prop is as high as 75.5 at Underdog, yet as low as 70.5 at Fanatics. The Atlanta RB1 is primed to soar over this total against a Buffalo defense that’s allowing over 145 yards per game on the ground and sits just 25th in the NFL in rush defense at PFF (58.8).

Robinson has had at least 13 carries and 72 rushing yards each of the last three weeks, including a 143-yard performance against a Minnesota team that ranks fourth in the league in rush defense.

Falcons vs Bills Prop Pick #2: Drake London Over 5.5 Receptions

All signs point toward a high-volume day for Atlanta’s WR1. The odds on the over opened at -128 and have been bet up as high as -182 at FanDuel. But not all books have been so quick to react; savvy bettors can still get -160 odds on London to catch six-plus passes at BetMGM.

London has become a target monster in Atlanta, garnering a team-high 37 so far this season (9.25 per game) and catching 65%. If he maintains those clips, he’ll grab another six passes tonight (6.012 avg).

Buffalo Bills vs Atlanta Touchdown Odds

Anytime TD scorer props and first TD scorer props from FanDuel on Oct. 13.

Atlanta workhorse Bijan Robinson has the shortest anytime TD odds (-190) and first-touchdown odds (+420), followed closely by Buffalo RB1 James Cook (-155 anytime TD, +490 first TD). Robinson and Cook are the only two players shorter than even-money to score a touchdown. Buffalo QB Josh Allen is +100 to score an anytime touchdown.

Bills vs Falcons Touchdown Pick: Josh Allen Anytime TD Scorer

Allen is my favorite bet to find the end zone at even-money. The game script and his skill set suggest this is a prime opportunity. Atlanta boasts a top-ten pass defense, which will make open receivers scarce in the compressed red zone. When passing lanes close, Allen’s instinct is to use his mobility.

This prop is even-money or shorter at most books, but ESPN Bet is offering Allen at +105 to score his fourth touchdown of the season.