Top NBA Player Props to Bet for Tuesday’s 14-Game Slate – A.I. Best Bet from Each Game

• All but two NBA teams are in action on Tuesday, December 23rd
• I have used our internal A.I. to generate the top player prop to bet from each game
• See the best NBA player props to target today

Tuesday, December 23rd, is the storm before the calm before the storm in the NBA. A massive 14-game slate awaits bettors tonight before an off-day on Christmas Eve, which precedes the usual Christmas Day extravaganza.

I have asked our internal A.I. to generate its top NBA player props to bet tonight. It responded in kind with its top prop bet from each game. The table below lists the A.I. NBA picks for Tuesday, December 23rd. Under the table, find the A.I.’s rationale for each pick.

NBA Player Props to Bet Today (Dec. 23)

The A.I. had a great night last time out (Dec. 18), going 11-8 (+1.96 units). It’s hitting about .500 this season, but is still in the red, money-wise.

A.I. NBA prop picks record: 79-75 (-4.25 units on one-unit wagers)

Brooklyn Nets @ Philadelphia 76ers Prop Pick: Embiid Over 21.5 Points

A.I. rationale: “Despite potential minutes management, this total undervalues Embiid’s scoring efficiency against undersized frontcourts. Brooklyn ranks 24th in defensive rating against opposing centers, and Embiid’s per-36-minute scoring average against similar defensive profiles sits at 31.2 points.”

Washington Wizards @ Charlotte Hornets Prop Pick: Ball Over 2.5 Threes

A.I. rationale: “This uptempo affair between two rebuilding franchises should generate abundant statistical opportunities, particularly in three-point volume. Ball’s three-point attempts per game average sits at 9.2 when facing teams allowing above-average perimeter shooting percentages. Washington’s three-point defense has been particularly vulnerable over their last 10 games, yielding 38.1% accuracy.”

Milwaukee Bucks @ Indiana Pacers Prop Pick: Turner Over 1.5 Blocks

A.I. rationale: “Giannis’s absence completely alters this game’s dynamic, creating a pace-up environment that should benefit statistical accumulation across multiple categories. Turner’s block rate against teams ranking top-12 in paint touches averages 2.6 per game. Milwaukee’s interior offense remains potent even without Giannis, as they generate significant rim attempts through their cutting system.”

Chicago Bulls @ Atlanta Hawks Prop Pick: Young Over 9.5 Assists

A.I. rationale: “Two teams seeking offensive rhythm meet in a contest that should favor playmakers and interior rebounders based on recent defensive trends. Young’s assist rate correlates strongly with opponent pace, and Chicago plays at the seventh-fastest tempo in the league. His pick-and-roll frequency should increase against a Bulls defense that struggles with ball-screen coverage.”

New Orleans Pelicans @ Cleveland Cavaliers Prop Pick: Allen Over 8.5 Rebounds

A.I. rationale: “Evan Mobley’s absence creates a significant void. Allen’s rebounding responsibilities increase substantially when Mobley is unavailable, as he becomes their lone interior anchor. His per-game rebounding average in games without Mobley rises to 11.7 boards.”

Toronto Raptors @ Miami Heat Prop Pick: Adebayo Over 9.5 Rebounds

A.I. rationale: “Two injury-depleted rosters create opportunities for remaining healthy players to exceed their typical usage rates and statistical outputs. Adebayo faces minimal frontcourt competition with Toronto missing Poeltl, their primary interior presence. His rebounding average against teams without their starting center rises to 12.1 boards per game.”

Denver Nuggets @ Dallas Mavericks Prop Pick: Jokic Over 12.5 Rebounds

A.I. rationale: “This Western Conference showdown features clear advantages for Denver’s interior game against Dallas’s injury-compromised frontcourt rotation. Jokic’s rebounding dominance should be overwhelming against a Mavericks team missing Dereck Lively’s interior presence. His rebounding rate increases by 2.1 boards per game when facing opponents without their primary center.”

New York Knicks @ Minnesota Timberwolves Prop Pick: Gobert Over 11.5 Rebounds

A.I. rationale: “This defensive battle should generate numerous missed shots, playing directly into Gobert’s elite rebounding skills. The Knicks’ physical style creates extra possessions through offensive rebounding attempts, meaning Gobert’s primary responsibility becomes securing the defensive glass where his positioning and length provide decisive advantages.”

Oklahoma City Thunder @ San Antonio Spurs Prop Pick: Gilgeous-Alexander Over 31.5 Points

A.I. rationale: “SGA enters this matchup averaging exceptional scoring numbers against young defensive units. The Spurs lack a proven perimeter stopper capable of containing his explosive first step and mid-range mastery. Whether Wembanyama plays or not, Gilgeous-Alexander’s volume and efficiency metrics suggest this total is easily attainable.”

Los Angeles Lakers @ Phoenix Suns Prop Pick: Booker Over 25.5 Points

A.I. rationale: “Booker should exploit the Laker defense. His three-level scoring ability becomes even more valuable when opposing defenses must account for multiple threats, positioning him for an aggressive scoring performance.

Memphis Grizzlies @ Utah Jazz Prop Pick: Jackson Jr Over 1.5 Threes

A.I. rationale: “Jackson Jr has expanded his offensive role significantly, attempting more perimeter shots as Memphis navigates roster adjustments. His improved shooting mechanics and increased green light make this modest total very achievable against a Jazz defense that allows reasonable three-point volumes.”

Orlando Magic @ Portland Trail Blazers Prop Pick: Banchero Over 23.5 Points

A.I. rationale: “Wagner’s injury elevates Banchero to primary offensive option status against a Trail Blazers defense that ranks poorly in forward defense metrics. His versatile scoring package and increased usage rate create an ideal environment for exceeding this conservative total.”

Detroit Pistons @ Sacramento Kings Prop Pick: Duren Over 10.5 Rebounds

A.I. rationale: “This represents a textbook strength-versus-weakness scenario amplified by injury circumstances. Detroit ranks among the league’s elite rebounding units while Sacramento sits dead last, a gap that becomes a chasm with the Kings missing their top two centers – Domantas Sabonis (12.3 RPG) and Drew Eubanks. This leaves minimal frontcourt resistance to contend with Duren’s paint dominance. Duren averages an impressive 11.0 rebounds per game, including a league-leading 4.3 on the offensive end. He’ll be the most imposing interior presence for extended stretches.”

Houston Rockets @ LA Clippers Prop Pick: Sengun Under 6.5 Assists

A.I. rationale: “The Clippers’ veteran defensive experience and versatility should disrupt Sengun’s passing lanes effectively. Without Zubac’s rim protection, LA will likely deploy switching schemes that pressure Sengun into scoring mode rather than facilitating for teammates.”

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