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CFP Quarterfinal Picks: Best Bets for New Year’s Day Games

John Hyslop

By John Hyslop in College Football

Published:


Nov 28, 2025; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; Georgia Bulldogs head coach Kirby Smart on the sideline against the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets in the second quarter at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brett Davis-Imagn Images
  • We’ve got a full slate of College Football Playoff Games on Thursday, January 1
  • Between the three games, we should be able to find two bangers that have no chance of losing
  • See below for the two bets that will stuff our pockets full of cash today

New Year’s Day is here, which means we need to get serious. If we’re going to win every bet we make in 2026, then we’re going to have to start with the first two. That’s just how winning every bet we make works. Lucky for us, we’re looking at a day full of College Football Playoff games. That’s just incredible luck when you think about it. The best way to go about betting a day like today would be to get down on the first game, while also laying some glitter on the last game of the night. That way, the action lasts all day. This could easily be the beginning of the greatest year of our lives. Lock in.

College Football Picks (Bowl Games Jan. 1)

TeamSpreadMoneylineTotal
Oregon-2.5 (-114)-134O 51.5 (-112)
Texas Tech+2.5 (-106)+114U 51.5 (-108)
TeamSpreadMoneylineTotal
Ole Miss +6.5 (-110)+190O 55.5 (-115)
Georgia -6.5 (-110)-230U 55.5 (-105)

All odds as of Dec. 31 from FanDuel. Claim the FanDuel promo code to sign up and tail our picks.

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College Football Bowl Games Pick #1 – Texas Tech Is No Joke

The first game of the day is between the Oregon Ducks and the Texas Tech Red Raiders. Obviously, we need to get some action on this thing because that’s the only way we can gamble all day. A wise man once said, “You can’t gamble all day if you don’t start in the morning.” That statement is as true today as it ever was.

The first thing that we need to consider is the fact that Texas Tech will be in their all black uniforms. Sharp.

Obviously, uniforms are important, but defense might be a little more important. One stat I think is the most telling is yards per play. There is no running and hiding from that stat. On the season, Texas Tech was one of only two teams to allow less than four yards per play. The other was Ohio State. Maybe you’ve heard of them.

We’ve all heard our grandparents say, “defense wins championships,” and they’re right. It’s hard to lose if the other team can’t score, and that’s exactly what the Red Raiders have been doing. Not allowing their opponents to score. Over the last four games, the Red Raiders haven’t allowed more than 9 points in a single game. Two of those games were against BYU. I’m thinking Texas Tech rides their defense in this game and covers the 2.5 points. Feels easy.

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College Football Bowl Game Pick #2 – Georgia And Ole Miss Will Score Points

By the time the Georgia Bulldogs and Ole Miss Rebels take the field, our hangovers will be a thing of the past. Hopefully, by then, we’ll be ready to take on another round. Who knows? One thing we do know is that we’ll be looking for some points. Night games are for overs. Everyone knows that.

And just like this season, I think it’s going to be Georgia carrying us to this over.

Here’s the thing: Both of these teams can score. We’ve all seen them play. When they met earlier this season, they put 78 points on the board. Georgia came away victorious in that game (43-35), but it’s not like they killed the Rebels. Ole Miss was right there.

Fast forward to today, and one thing is glaring. Lane Kiffin is no longer the Ole Miss coach. He’s headed for greener pastures at LSU, so it’ll be a bunch of coordinators calling this game for the Rebels. To their credit, they hung 41 points on Tulane last time out. I’m thinking we see a solid effort out of Ole Miss, but they fall to Georgia in a 38-24 type game. If that happens, this thing is flying over 55.5 points. Feels easy.

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    BET $5 & GET $250 IF YOUR BET WINS

  • CAESARS SPORTSBOOK

    USE CODE SBD250BM & GET A BET MATCH ON YOUR FIRST BET UP TO $250!

  • THESCORE BET SPORTSBOOK

    USE CODE DIME TO UNLOCK BET $10, GET $100 BONUS

  • DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOK T&Cs: GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER, (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Call 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD). 21+ and present in most states. (18+ DC/KY/NH/WY). Void in ONT/OR/NH. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino & Resort (KS). Pass-thru of per wager tax may apply in IL. 1 per new customer. Must register new account to receive reward Token. Must select Token BEFORE placing min. $5 bet to receive $200 in Bonus Bets if your bet wins. Min. -500 odds req. Token and Bonus Bets are single-use and non-withdrawable. Token expires 1/11/26. Bonus Bets expire in 7 days (168 hours). Stake removed from payout. Terms: sportsbook.draftkings.com/promos. Ends 1/4/26 at 11:59 PM ET. Sponsored by DK.

  • BET365 SPORTSBOOK T&Cs: Minimum $10 deposit required. Minimum odds -500 of greater. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. T&Cs, time limits and exclusions apply. GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL OR TEXT 1-800-GAMBLER (AZ/CO/IL/IN/KS/KY/LA/MD/NC/NJ/OH/PA/TN/VA) or 1-800-BETS OFF (IA). 21+ only (18+ KY).

  • BETMGM SPORTSBOOK T&Cs: Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (Available in the US), Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. See BetMGM.com for Terms. First Bet Offer for new customers only (if applicable). Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. This promotional offer is not available in DC, MS, NY, NV, ON, or PR.

John Hyslop

John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it.

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