Best NFL Parlay for Saturday’s Divisional Round Games

• I’ve put together a +3193 parlay for Saturday’s NFL Divisional Round slate
• The Bills rank 31st in EPA/rush allowed
• See my best NFL parlay picks for Saturday’s Divisional Round games, below

The Divisional Round kicks off on Saturday with both the AFC and NFC’s top seeds making their postseason debuts. I’m expecting low scoring outcomes in both the Bills-Broncos and 49ers-Seahawks matchups, and the under in each contest make up two legs of my Divisional Round parlay.

I’ll attach both game unders to my favorite player prop from each outing, looking to capitalize on the biggest weakness of the Buffalo and Seattle defense.

Below you’ll find my best NFL parlay for Saturday’s Divisional Round games, plus the analysis behind each selection.

Best NFL Parlay for Saturday’s Divisional Round Games

My favorite longshot NFL parlay for Saturday’s Divisional Round games comes with +3193 odds if you play it at bet365, which had (by far) the best odds at the time of writing. I also like betting each one of these legs individually, and you can check out our NFL player props page to find the best over/unders for that market.

BET365
SPORTSBOOK

Offer

T&Cs

Bet $5 & Get $200 in Bonus Bets Win or Lose or a First Bet Safety Net Up to $1,000!

Minimum $10 deposit required. Minimum odds -500 of greater. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. T&Cs, time limits and exclusions apply. GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL OR TEXT 1-800-GAMBLER (AZ/CO/IL/IN/KS/KY/LA/MD/MO/NC/NJ/OH/PA/TN/VA) or 1-800-BETS OFF (IA). 21+ only (18+ KY).

LOCK IN PROMO

CODE: DIME365

CODE: DIME365

SIGNUP PROMO

BET $5
GET $200

WIN OR LOSE!

CLAIM OFFER

NFL Parlay Pick #1: Bills vs Broncos Under 46.5 Points

My parlay starts with under 46.5 points in the Bills vs Broncos matchup. Denver enters play leading the league in defensive success rate, while Buffalo averages nearly a full touchdown less on the road compared to at home. The Bills are also extremely banged up, with multiple receivers out and star QB Josh Allen dealing with a variety of injuries.

On the other side of the ball, the Broncos offense took a step back down the stretch, and Bo Nix has not fared well against playoff calibre teams. In seven games this year versus postseason clubs, Denver scored 22 points or less six times.

On paper, the Broncos have a major advantage against a porous Buffalo run defense, but a rush heavy approach will bleed the clock, helping to keep this game low scoring. Another element working in favor of the under is the snail’s pace at which both teams operate. The Broncos and Bills both rank bottom-five over the last five games in seconds per play, and fewer plays equal less opportunities to score.

NFL Parlay Pick #2: RJ Harvey 80+ Rushing Yards

• RJ Harvey 80+ Rushing Yards (+278)

The Buffalo run defense isn’t just bad, it’s arguably the worst in football. The Bills rank 31st in EPA / rush allowed, while no team has surrendered more rushing TD than Buffalo. Last week in the Wild Card round, Jacksonville averaged nearly 7 yards per clip on 23 carries versus the Bills, and are likely kicking themselves that they didn’t run the ball more often.

Buffalo Bills Run Defense

Enter Broncos rookie RJ Harvey, who I’m betting to reach 80+ rushing yards on Saturday. Harvey is far from the league’s most efficient runner, but with JK Dobbins on IR, he’s basically a one-man show in the Denver backfield. The former UCF product has seen at least 14 attempts in four of his past five games, and Sean Payton would be wise to get him close to 20 carries given how favorable the matchup is.

NFL Parlay Pick #3: 49ers vs Seahawks Under 45.5

• 49ers vs Seahawks Under 45.5 (-118)

The 49ers and Seahawks have played twice already this season, with the combined scores of both games only totalling 46 points. Seattle, the Super Bowl odds favorite, held Brock Purdy to 4.7 yards per attempt in the regular season finale, and limited Christian McCaffrey to just 23 rushing yards.

The Niners limp into Seattle without star tight end George Kittle, and a banged up offensive line. That spells disaster against this fierce Seahawks defense that leads the NFC in EPA/play, success rate and EPA/rush.

On the other side of the ball, the outlook for Seattle’s offense is looking bleak. Sam Darnold is dealing with an oblique injury, but even when healthy the Seahawks have struggled to score lately. Since Week 13, Seattle ranks 21st in EPA/play, 23rd in EPA/drop back, and 21st in rush EPA. Give me under 45.5 all day.

NFL Parlay Pick #4: Jake Tonges 5+ Receptions

• Jake Tonges 5+ Receptions (+123)

Whenever you’re putting together any kind of NFL bet slip, make sure to use the best football betting apps to find the most favorable price. With Kittle out, Jake Tonges will be elevated to tight end one, and that’s the one position you can attack the Seahawks with.

Seattle ranks bottom-six in targets, catches and yards allowed to tight ends. Tonges has plenty of experience filling in for the often injured Kittle, and has caught 20 of 29 targets in the last three games that Kittle has sat. You could bet him over 3.5 catches if you’re willing to pay the juice, but I prefer 5+ catches at plus money odds.