Patriots vs Broncos Touchdown Scorer Picks, Best Bets & Odds for Sunday’s Cold Weather Showdown

• See the Patriots vs Broncos anytime-touchdown odds and first-touchdown odds
• The two RB1s have the shortest odds to find paydirt
• My two Patriots vs Broncos touchdown scorer picks are both +195 or longer

The New England Patriots and Denver Broncos clash in what promises to be a frigid AFC Championship Game at Empower Field at Mile High, with kickoff set for 3:00 PM ET (1:00 pm MT) on January 25th. Denver will be piloted by backup QB Jarrett Stidham, which led sportsbooks to open the Pats/Broncos total at just 40.5. But bettors appear to be optimistic that the career backup can generate some offense as the O/U has climbed as high as 43.5.

With temperatures plummeting to 14°F and light snow expected, the ground game becomes paramount, making running back touchdown props particularly attractive in this cold-weather battle.

Patriots vs Broncos Touchdown Scorer Odds

As is often the case, the two lead backs have the best anytime-touchdown odds. Denver’s RJ Harvey is +127 to score a touchdown in the AFC Championship Game, while New England’s Rhamondre Stevenson is +135 find the end zone. Patriot tight end Hunter Henry is the only other player shorter than +200.

Odds as of 8:55 am ET, January 25th, at BetMGM. Download the top football betting apps to wager on the AFC Championship Game.

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Patriots/Broncos Touchdown Leaders (Reg. Season)

Harvey led all New England and Denver players with 12 regular-season touchdowns, but failed to find the end zone last week in Denver’s 33-30 OT win over Buffalo. TreVeyon Henderson led the Patriots with 12 but lost his lead-back duties to Stevenson in the second-half of the season.

Patriots vs Broncos Touchdown Scorer Picks

Pick 1: Jaleel McLaughlin Anytime Touchdown (+285 at DraftKings)

The most compelling anytime touchdown play on the board comes from Denver’s RB2, Jaleel McLaughlin, whose recent usage increase creates solid value at +285 odds. McLaughlin’s odds have dramatically shortened, reflecting sharp recognition of his touchdown potential in this specific game script.

McLaughlin only had one TD in the regular season, but he has emerged as an option on designed plays inside the 10-yard line. He has at least one red-zone carry in each of the last three games, and has generally wrested a significant number of carries from Harvey over that span.

Jaleel McLaughlin Red-Zone Carries (Last Eight Games)

The frigid 14°F temperature and light snow conditions favor a player like McLaughlin, whose compact frame and low center of gravity provide superior traction on slippery surfaces. Teams historically lean on short-yardage backs in adverse weather, and McLaughlin’s +285 undervalues his touchdown probability in these conditions.

Pick 2: Hunter Henry Anytime Touchdown (+195 at BetMGM)

New England tight end Hunter Henry represents outstanding value at +195. Henry’s touchdown odds reflect market uncertainty about the Patriots’ offensive capabilities, creating a significant pricing inefficiency. He has dominated New England’s red-zone targets all season long.

Denver’s defense is vulnerable to tight ends. Despite having the third-best scoring defense in the regular season, the Broncos were only T15th in terms of touchdowns allowed to tight ends with six. This vulnerability, combined with Henry’s red-zone prowess, creates a solid basis for touchdown production.