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NBA Picks for Tuesday, Jan 27

Chris Wright

By Chris Wright in NBA Basketball

Published:


Ryan Rollins leads short-handed Milwaukee.
Jan 9, 2026; Los Angeles, California, USA; Milwaukee Bucks guard Ryan Rollins (13) gets the rebound against Los Angeles Lakers center Jaxson Hayes (11) during the second half at Crypto.com Arena. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-Imagn Images
  • Tuesday features a 7-game NBA slate
  • I have generated ATS and O/U picks for all 7 games from our internal A.I. model
  • See today’s top NBA picks against the spread and over/unders

The NBA has seven games tonight that deliver a compelling mix of marquee matchups and potential trap games.

Sharp money appears to be targeting several underdogs tonight, with betting splits revealing significant professional action on Milwaukee, Denver, and Utah. Combined with key injury concerns affecting star players like Giannis Antetokounmpo and Nikola Jokić, tonight’s games present numerous angles for discerning bettors seeking value in an increasingly competitive marketplace.

Sportradar’s internal A.I. has generated its top ATS and O/U NBA picks for each of today’s seven games. The table below sets out the picks for each game in chronological order.

NBA Picks Today (Tuesday, Jan. 27)

MatchupATS PickO/U Pick
Trail Blazers vs WizardsBlazers -7.5Under 232.5
Kings vs KnicksKnicks -13.5Over 230.5
Pelicans vs ThunderPelicans +14.5Over 233.5
Bucks vs 76ersBucks +10.5Over 219.5
Pistons vs NuggetsNuggets +6.5Over 216.5
Nets vs SunsNets +8.5Over 211.5
Clippers vs JazzJazz +8.5Over 232.5

Odds as of January 27, 2026, 9:02 AM EST from consensus. Visiting team listed first

Top Value Plays for Jan. 27

Tonight’s betting landscape offers several compelling opportunities where statistical trends align with favorable market conditions. Our analysis identifies three standout plays combining situational advantages with supporting data.

Portland Trail Blazers -7.0 at Washington Wizards

Pick: Trail Blazers -7.0 (-115) at Bet365

Analysis: The Trail Blazers bring an exceptional situational edge as road favorites on the second night of a back-to-back. Portland has dominated this specific scenario, posting an remarkable 16-2 (.889) ATS record in the second half of back-to-backs over their last 18 games. Their road performance in this situation proves even more impressive at 11-0 (1.000) ATS over the last 11 contests.

Washington’s struggles at home compound Portland’s advantage. The Wizards have failed to see Overs connect in their last four home games against losing-record opponents, suggesting defensive focus that could keep this game within Portland’s range to cover the moderate spread.

Sacramento Kings at New York Knicks Over 230.5

Pick: Over 230.5 Total Points (-115) at DraftKings

Analysis: The Kings carry a dominant scoring trend that perfectly aligns with tonight’s total. Sacramento has seen the Over cash in each of their last six road games following losses. Given their 0-4 mark in recent games against winning opponents, they clearly fit this losing pattern.

Market support reinforces this angle, with 70.0% of bets and 70.2% of handle backing the Over. The line’s upward movement from 229.5 to 230.5 demonstrates continued bullish sentiment on scoring, despite the already elevated total.

Milwaukee Bucks +10.5 at Philadelphia 76ers

Pick: Bucks +10.5 (-110) at BetMGM

Analysis: Bucks star Giannis Antetokounmpo (calf) has been ruled out. However, Philadelphia stars Joel Embiid (knee) and Paul George (knee) are listed as day-to-day. Philadelphia’s home ATS struggles provide the foundation for this play. The 76ers have managed just a 6-13 (.316) ATS record over their last 19 home games, consistently failing to cover as large favorites. This pattern suggests difficulty meeting elevated expectations, even in victories.

The betting market’s sharp money indicators strengthen Milwaukee’s case. Professional action has clearly targeted the Bucks, as evidenced by their moneyline receiving 52.1% of total handle despite attracting only 17.1% of tickets. This classic sharp money signature suggests informed bettors expect a much closer contest than the 10.5-point spread implies.

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Chris Wright

A 30-time APSE award-winning editor with previous stints at the Miami Herald, The Indianapolis Star and News & Observer, Chris Wright is an Evergreen and AI editor for Saturday Down South, Saturday Tradition, Crossing Broad, Sports Betting Dime and ESNY.

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