UFC Vegas 113 Odds, Predictions and Best Value

• UFC Vegas 113 takes place Saturday, February 7th at the newly renovated Meta Apex in Las Vegas
• Mario Bautista vs Vinicius Oliveira headlines the 13-fight card
• Check out the early UFC Vegas 113 odds, predictions and best value below

The UFC is back at the Apex for the first time in 2026, and the facility got a major facelift. The venue now holds around 1,000 fans after expanding the seating, which should give these Fight Night cards a much better atmosphere than the quiet, library-like feel we’ve gotten used to.

UFC Vegas 113 features a bantamweight main event between Mario Bautista and Vinicius Oliveira. The 13-fight card airs on Paramount+ starting at 2 pm ET with the main card kicking off at 5 pm ET.

Here are the early UFC Vegas 113 odds, my predictions for the main card, and where I see value.

UFC Vegas 113 Odds

Main Card

Prelims

Odds as of February 2nd via DraftKings. Grab a DraftKings promo code for UFC Vegas 113 or check out our guide on how to bet on the UFC.

UFC Vegas 113 Odds Analysis

The main event opened with Bautista around -140 and has drifted to -180 at DraftKings. That movement tells you sharp money likes the veteran coming off his loss to Umar Nurmagomedov. Oliveira opened +120 and now sits at +150, so there’s slightly more value on the underdog if you believe in his knockout power.

The biggest line movement on this card is Jailton Almeida. He opened at a ridiculous -550 and has crashed all the way down to -148. That’s a massive shift for a ranked heavyweight.

Rizvan Kuniev went from +420 to +124, meaning the market now sees this as close to a coin flip. Kuniev nearly beat Curtis Blaydes in his UFC debut via split decision, so the adjustment checks out.

The co-main also saw big movement but in the opposite direction. Kyoji Horiguchi opened around -220 and is now -375. His dominant performance over Tagir Ulanbekov in his UFC return clearly impressed bettors. Amir Albazi went from +185 to +295 as the underdog.

Bautista vs Oliveira Prediction

Tale of the Tape

Bautista had his eight-fight winning streak snapped by Umar Nurmagomedov in October, but that loss doesn’t tell the full story. He dropped Umar with a knee in round two and threatened submissions throughout despite giving up 11 takedowns. That’s the kind of resilience that should translate well against Oliveira, who hasn’t faced anyone close to that level of competition.

Oliveira is 4-0 in the UFC with 16 career knockouts, but three of those four wins came by decision. He’s been more measured at this level than his regional knockout streak would have you believe. His pace tends to slow in later rounds, which plays into Bautista’s strengths as a five-round fighter who grinds opponents down with volume and clinch work.

Bautista’s experience and conditioning should give him the edge here. It’ll probably be competitive early, but he’ll mix in wrestling to tire Oliveira out and take over late. This is a step up for Oliveira, and I expect the veteran to show why he’s ranked higher.

• Bautista vs Oliveira Pick: Mario Bautista by Decision

UFC Vegas 113 Predictions

Kyoji Horiguchi vs Amir Albazi

Horiguchi looked phenomenal in his UFC return against Ulanbekov. His footwork and striking were sharp, and he finished a Dagestani wrestler with a submission. That’s impressive for a 35-year-old who spent years fighting in Rizin and Bellator.

Albazi has been out over a year after withdrawing from a fight with Tatsuro Taira, and his last performance was a one-sided loss to Brandon Moreno. He’s low volume on the feet at just 2.72 significant strikes per minute and doesn’t wrestle enough to make up for it. I think Horiguchi is simply the better fighter at this stage of their careers.

• Pick: Kyoji Horiguchi

Jailton Almeida vs Rizvan Kuniev

This line crashed for a reason. Kuniev looked solid against Curtis Blaydes in a fight that could have gone either way. He’s got power and athleticism for a big man, plus the Dagestani wrestling background. Almeida is a submission machine who’s finished 20 of 21 opponents, but his two UFC losses came against top guys in Blaydes and Alexander Volkov.

I still lean Almeida because of his experience and elite grappling, but at -148 this is way closer than the original -550 implied. If you want action on this fight, the under 1.5 rounds at even money is worth a look since both guys tend to finish fights early.

• Pick: Jailton Almeida

Michal Oleksiejczuk vs Marc-Andre Barriault

Two strikers who want to stand and trade. Oleksiejczuk has better power and footwork, and he’s coming off back-to-back first-round finishes. Barriault is durable but hittable, and his lack of defensive movement should give the Polish striker plenty of openings. I expect a finish inside two rounds.

• Pick: Michal Oleksiejczuk by KO/TKO

UFC Vegas 113 Early Value

The best value on this card might be in the prelims. Bruna Brasil at +124 against Ketlen Souza looks like a coin flip that’s paying plus money. Both fighters have similar UFC records (Brasil 3-3, Souza 2-3) and have faced comparable competition.

Two of Souza’s losses were split decisions, one of which could have gone either way. This fight is probably going to decision, and getting plus money on what’s basically a 50/50 fight is solid value.

Eduarda Moura at +300 against Cong Wang also stands out. Both are 3-1 in the UFC with similar resumes. Wang’s only loss was a submission, Moura’s only loss was a split decision. Wang has never been taken down in the UFC, but Moura is probably the best grappler she’s faced. That line looks too wide.

Best Value Picks

• Bruna Brasil (+124)
• Eduarda Moura (+300)
• Under 1.5 Rounds – Almeida vs Kuniev (+100)

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