A.I. Picks for All Four Champions League Games Today (Feb. 17)

• The Champions League knockout stage starts on Tuesday, Feb 17
• The quartet of first-leg games on Tuesday includes Benfica vs Real Madrid
• I have generated the top A.I. picks for all Champions League games today

The UEFA Champions League knockout phase gets underway with four first-leg games in the round of 24 on Tuesday, Feb. 17. The slate starts with Galatasaray vs Juventus at 12:45 pm ET, and continues with three more games at 3:00 pm ET: Monaco vs PSG, Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta, and Benfica vs Real Madrid.

I asked our internal A.I. to provide its top pick for each of the four games. The table below sets out its four Champions League best bets today. Under the table, find its data-driven rationale for each bet.

Champions League A.I. Picks Today (Feb 17)

The A.I. Champions League picks for Tuesday include three moneyline favorites and one under bet. Bettors can parlay all four at +1318 odds at DraftKings. That same parlay pays out at just +1255 at BetMGM, +1272 at theScore Bet, +1275 at FanDuel, and +1305 at Caesars.

“Best odds” as of 8:19 pm ET, Feb 16. Check out SBD’s list of the best betting sites with Visa.

A.I. Pick for Galatasaray vs Juventus: JUV Moneyline (+115 at theScore)

A.I. rationale: “Navigating Rams Park is a formidable challenge, but Juventus enters this playoff round with the attacking metrics necessary to silence the Istanbul crowd. Dusan Vlahovic has served as the primary engine for the Italian attack, logging three goals and one assist in just four Champions League appearances this campaign. He is bolstered by Weston McKennie, who provides a legitimate goal-scoring threat from midfield with three goals of his own.

While Galatasaray relies heavily on home momentum, Juventus possesses the clinical finishing required to exploit transition opportunities. Backing the visitors at plus-money presents significant value, as their proven efficiency in the final third aligns well against a Turkish side prone to defensive lapses when chasing the game.”

A.I. Pick for Dortmund vs Atalanta: DORT Moneyline (+110 at BetMGM)

A.I. rationale: “Signal Iduna Park remains one of Europe’s premier fortresses, and Dortmund is positioned to leverage this home-field advantage against Atalanta. The German attack is multi-dimensional, spearheaded by Serhou Guirassy—who has tallied three goals and two assists in eight matches—and orchestrated by the creative duo of Julian Brandt and Felix Nmecha.

Statistically, Atalanta has been the more active side, generating 108 total shots this campaign compared to Dortmund’s 83. However, the hosts have demonstrated superior shot conversion and efficiency. While the Italian visitors pose a threat through Charles De Ketelaere and Gianluca Scamacca, Dortmund’s disciplined tactical approach and the “Yellow Wall” factor provide the edge needed to secure a first-leg advantage.”

A.I. Pick for Monaco vs PSG: Under 3.5 Goals (-150 at bet365)

A.I. rationale: “Despite rosters featuring high-profile offensive talent—including PSG’s Vitinha (5 goals) and Monaco’s Folarin Balogun (3 goals)—situational trends point toward a tighter contest than the public anticipates. While these squads engaged in high-scoring affairs in 2024, the tactical reality has shifted toward defensive conservatism in recent months.

The last two head-to-head meetings resulted in defensive grinds: a 1-0 Monaco victory in November 2025 and a 1-0 PSG win in Ligue 1 in January. Crucially, PSG dominates possession in this matchup, often controlling the tempo during their recent meetings. This control tends to limit possessions and turn matches into half-field sets rather than end-to-end track meets. The drastic line movement favoring the Under aligns with the expectation of a cagey, tactical battle between familiar domestic foes.”

A.I. Pick for Benfica vs Real Madrid: RM Moneyline (-110 at Caesars)

A.I. rationale: “This fixture represents a classic “revenge spot” for the Spanish giants. Benfica stunned Real Madrid with a 4-2 victory in Lisbon just weeks ago, outshooting Los Blancos throughout the contest. However, Real Madrid’s pedigree in knockout football is historically where they separate themselves from the field.

Despite the recent loss and personnel questions, the market continues to respect Madrid as a road favorite. The squad depth, anchored by global superstars like Vinicius Junior and (potentially) Mbappe, remains superior. Under manager Alvaro Arbeloa, expect Madrid to prioritize defensive structure and possession to neutralize the chaotic elements that led to the January defeat. At -110, the price reflects a probability that Madrid’s class will prevail in a high-stakes environment.”

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