Bodø/Glimt vs Inter Milan Odds, Picks & Goalscorer Predictions (Feb 18)

The UEFA Champions League knockout playoffs continue on Wednesday when Italian heavyweights Inter Milan trek to the Arctic Circle to face Bodø/Glimt in Norway. After finishing 10th in the newly formatted league phase with 15 points, the Nerazzurri enter this fixture as commanding road favorites, aiming to leverage the elite finishing of Lautaro Martinez and Marcus Thuram to book a ticket to the Round of 16.

Conversely, the Norwegian hosts scraped into the postseason in 23rd place and find themselves as massive home underdogs. Bodø/Glimt will rely on midfielder Patrick Berg and the unique, freezing conditions to disrupt Inter’s rhythm. While Inter boasts superior pedigree, the artificial turf in Norway has claimed big scalps before – including Manchester City in late January – and the hosts will look to make this a difficult trip for the visitors. This high-stakes matchup is scheduled for 3:00 pm ET at Aspmyra Stadion on Wednesday, with Paramount+ providing coverage in the United States and Fubo TV in Canada.

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Bodø/Glimt vs Inter Milan Predictions & Best Bets

While the romance of the cup suggests a potential upset in the Arctic Circle, the cold, hard data points toward Italian efficiency overcoming Norwegian spirit. Inter Milan arrives in Bodo not just as favorites, but as a team in imperious road form, while the hosts’ defensive metrics suggest they may struggle to contain the Nerazzurri’s potent attack.

Moneyline Pick: Inter Milan to Win (-135 at BetMGM)

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The most compelling argument for an away victory lies in Inter Milan’s ruthlessness on their travels. Simone Inzaghi’s men have been road warriors of the highest order, currently riding an eight-match win streak away from home. While the artificial turf at Aspmyra Stadion presents a unique variable, Inter’s ability to manage road games is elite.

Conversely, Bodø/Glimt’s defensive fragility is a major concern against this caliber of opposition. The Norwegians have conceded 15 goals in eight matches during this Champions League campaign. When you pair a leaky defense against Lautaro Martinez – who has netted four goals in seven appearances – the mismatch becomes evident.

The situational trends heavily favor the visitors once they establish control; data shows that when Inter Milan takes a 1-0 lead away from home, they convert that advantage into a victory 81% of the time.

Total-Goals Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals (-194 at FanDuel)

Bodø/Glimt playing at home is historically synonymous with high-scoring affairs. Even if Inter dominates, the Norwegians have the offensive weapons, led by Jens Hauge (4 goals, 3 assists), to contribute to the total. Inter is no slouch on the road either, averaging 1.78 goals per match away from the San Siro. With Bodø/Glimt’s games hitting the over 2.5 threshold at an 87.5% clip (7 of 8 matches) this tournament, betting on at least three goals is the logical play.

Anytime Goalscorer Pick: Lautaro Martinez (+120 at Caesars)

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With the Nerazzurri projected to dominate possession and create the bulk of the high-danger chances on the artificial surface at Aspmyra Stadion, the player prop market offers significant value on Inter’s attacking personnel. The discrepancy in squad depth is vast, and despite the unique playing conditions, Inter’s elite finishers are priced attractively against a defense that has leaked 17 goals in this campaign.

Here is a breakdown of the best value available in the goalscorer markets.

Lautaro Martinez enters this fixture as the clear focal point of the Inter Milan attack. With four goals in seven Champions League appearances this season, the Argentine striker has been clinical in European competition. Bodø/Glimt’s defense has struggled against top-tier opposition, and Martinez’s ability to find space in the box makes him a nightmare matchup for the Norwegian backline.

The odds disparity across books is notable here. While some markets have him priced near even money, Caesars is offering substantial value at +120.

Bodø/Glimt vs Inter Milan Odds

The betting market has firmly positioned Inter Milan as the favorite, with their moneyline odds currently sitting at -135 or shorter. In contrast, the hosts are significant underdogs, currently as long as +360.

To put these numbers into perspective, a $20 wager on Inter Milan to win would return $34.80, yielding a $14.80 profit. Conversely, that same $20 bet placed on a Bodø/Glimt victory would result in a substantial $92.00 payout if the Norwegians can defend their home turf.

Line Movement

There has been telling movement in the lines since the markets opened, indicating heavy confidence in the visitors: bet365 originally opened Inter Milan as a softer favorite at +110, but that price has shortened significantly, suggesting a flood of money backing the Nerazzurri despite the travel challenges. Bodø/Glimt’s price drifted from an opening of +240 out to +350.

The total goals market has remained relatively stable but leans heavily toward a high-scoring affair; the line opened with the Over 2.5 at -175 and has tightened slightly to -189, implying that bookmakers expect Inter’s attack to find success on the artificial surface.

Public Betting Splits & Market Analysis

The betting public has taken a decisive stance on this Champions League fixture, showing little fear of the Arctic conditions or the artificial turf at Aspmyra Stadion. The inflow of capital is overwhelmingly one-sided, backing the Italian heavyweights to get the job done in regulation time and expecting a deluge of goals.

Here is the current breakdown of the money distribution for the major markets:

• Inter Milan Moneyline: 94.76%
• Bodø/Glimt Moneyline: 3.70%
• Draw: 1.54%
• Over: 96.68%
• Under: 3.32%

The massive support for the over (96.68%) mirrors my projection of a high-scoring affair driven by Inter’s potent attack and Bodø/Glimt’s leaky backline.

Injury Reports: Team News & Updates

As kickoff approaches at the Aspmyra Stadion, both managers will be pleased with the relative health of their respective squads. In a stage of the season where fatigue and muscle injuries often plague European campaigns, both Bodø/Glimt and Inter Milano have managed to keep their core rotations largely intact.

However, the visitors are dealing with a notable absence on the defensive flank that could impact their transition play on the artificial surface.

Inter Milan: Missing Dumfries

The significant omission from the Nerazzurri traveling squad is Dutch wing-back Denzel Dumfries. He has been sidelined since November 20, 2025, and remains listed as Missing for this playoff first leg.

Dumfries’ absence strips Inter of one of their most physical outlets on the right side. His ability to drive into the box and win aerial duels at the back post is a key component of Inter’s attack against deep-lying defenses. Without him, Inter loses a degree of verticality, forcing them to rely more heavily on technical build-up play rather than sheer athleticism on the wing.

Bodø/Glimt: Fully Fit

In a massive boost for the hosts, Bodø/Glimt enters this historic fixture with a clean bill of health. There are no reported injuries affecting the Norwegian side, giving them a full complement of players to choose from.

For a team that relies on high-intensity pressing and swift attacking movements—spearheaded by the likes of Jens Hauge—having a fully fit squad is vital. The ability to utilize five substitutions without a drop-off in quality could be the equalizer the hosts need to maintain their energy levels against the Italian giants over 90 minutes.

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