UFC 327 DFS Picks – Ownership Projections, Lineup & Strategy
By Danny Burke in Mixed Martial Arts News
Published:
- UFC 327 takes place Saturday night at the Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida
- The main event is headlined by Jiří Procházka and Carlos Ulberg in a light heavyweight title bout
- Below, see our UFC 327 DFS picks with ownership projections, lineup, and strategy
A big Saturday night is in store down in South Beach, as UFC 327 takes center stage at the Kaseya Center in Miami.
The light heavyweight title bout between Jiří Procházka and Carlos Ulberg headlines the card, but there’s plenty of intrigue throughout the rest of the slate. That’s where we’ll focus, breaking down our UFC 327 DFS picks with ownership projections, lineup builds, and strategy.
UFC 327 DFS Picks and Lineup
DraftKings salaries as of fight week. Lock in your UFC 327 DFS picks at the best DFS sites and apps before the opening bell.
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UFC 327 Top Play
Carlos Ulberg ($8,000 at DraftKings)
In the main event, I’m leaning toward having more exposure to Carlos Ulberg. He’s the more efficient striker, landing more significant strikes per minute while also defending them at a higher rate.
From a grappling standpoint, these two are fairly comparable, but Ulberg holds the edge with an 85% takedown defense rate compared to Procházka’s 68%. That could be key in keeping this fight where he’s most comfortable.
Ownership should come in fairly similar on both sides, likely somewhere around the sub-40% range, but Ulberg offers slightly better value at this price point.
UFC 327 Value Pick
Josh Hokit ($7,800 at DraftKings)
The undefeated Josh Hokit (8-0) should continue to make noise this weekend in his heavyweight bout against veteran Curtis Blaydes.
Both fighters see over 60% of their wins come by knockout, but Hokit adds another layer with a 38% submission rate. None of his fights have gone to a decision, while Blaydes has seen 32% of his bouts reach the judges.
Hokit is also the more active striker, landing 6.07 significant strikes per minute compared to Blaydes’ 3.56, while holding the edge in striking defense at 66% to 58%.
With power on the feet and real grappling upside, Hokit is one of the more appealing options on the slate. At $7,800, he stands out as one of the better bang for your bucks on the card.
UFC 327 Salary Saver
Patricio Pitbull ($7,000 at DraftKings)
Certainly not the most attractive option, but at $7,000, the 38-year-old is worth mixing into lineups to open up salary for higher-end fighters.
The Brazilian owns a 37-8 record with an average fight time north of 16 minutes. His opponent, Aaron Pico, is 13-5 in his career, with 69% of his wins coming by KO/TKO and an average fight time of just over three minutes.
Pico is likely to be a popular play across DFS contests, which limits the leverage on his side. While an explosive performance from Pitbull isn’t the expectation, his experience and durability could allow him to survive long enough to accumulate points and return value at this $7,000 price tag.
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UFC 327 Fighter Fade
Tatiana Suarez ($8,500 at DraftKings)
I’m struggling to find value in Tatiana Suarez at this salary. She’s likely to come in north of 20% ownership, but in my builds, she’ll only make a few appearances.
Suarez is the rightful favorite in this women’s strawweight bout against Loopy Godinez, though there’s a path for this fight to be more competitive than expected.
Suarez carries a 50% submission rate, compared to just 14% for Godinez. However, Godinez tends to extend fights, with an average fight time of over 13.5 minutes and 79% of her bouts going to a decision.
If Godinez can land effective strikes early and avoid Suarez’s grappling, there’s a real chance Suarez underwhelms relative to her price and ownership, making her a fade candidate in DFS contests this weekend.
UFC 327 DFS Strategy
This feels like a slate where you don’t need to overthink it or force in all the top-end salary.
There really isn’t a huge gap in projections, especially in that mid-range, and ownership looks pretty spread out. That’s where I’m going to live for most of my builds. Guys in that $7,200 to $8,200 range give you similar upside without needing everything to go perfect from the top tier.
I’ll still get exposure to one of the higher-priced fighters, but I’m not forcing two or three of them into the same lineup. It just doesn’t feel necessary on a slate like this.
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Danny Burke brings nearly a decade of experience in sports media and betting, beginning at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, where he called Huskers games, developed the betting section of the local ESPN affiliate’s website, and co-hosted on its radio station. He later hosted national programs wit