Raptors vs Cavaliers Predictions & Best Bets (Game 5)

• Failing to come away with a win on the road, the Cavaliers are 8.5-point favorites in Game 5 vs the Raptors
• Toronto held the Cavs to just 96.5 points per game in their Game 3 and 4 wins
• Read below for the latest Raptors vs Cavaliers odds, best bets and my expert prediction

With both the Cleveland Cavaliers and Toronto Raptors holding serve on their home courts through the first four games of their Round 1 series, the venue shifts back to Cleveland for a crucial Game 5 matchup Wednesday night.

The books like the Cavaliers to find their form back on their home court, picking them as pretty solid home favorites in the NBA odds — a place where they won each of the first two games by double digits.

Tip-off is scheduled tonight at 7:30pm ET from Rocket Arena in Cleveland, with ESPN broadcasting nationally.

Read below as I share my Raptors vs Cavaliers prediction, best bets and updated odds for Game 5.

Raptors vs Cavaliers Prediction

• Pick: Cavaliers -8.5 (-115 at DraftKings)

The Cavaliers return home after getting beat up in Toronto, and watching a 2-0 series lead slide on by.

After getting blown out 126-104 in Game 3, Cleveland seemed to have Game 4 in good control, holding a lead of as many as eight points midway through the fourth, but couldn’t land the plane.

Scottie Barnes was the driving force behind the Toronto wins, and he’s arguably been the best player on the floor in the series, averaging 25.8 points, 7.3 assists, and 4.8 rebounds per game.

Cleveland’s backcourt duo of James Harden and Donovan Mitchell need major bounce backs. Mitchell scored just 35 points total in Games 3 and 4, shooting a brutal 13-for-40 from the field (32.5%).

Harden averaged 18.5 points on 40.7% shooting, and turned it over a whopping 15 times.

But playoff narratives can change in a hurry, and it’s hard to look past the Cavs’ success against the spread following a loss, as they’ve gone 10-4-0 ATS in their last 14, a 71.4% success clip. They’re also 5-2-0 ATS as a favorite over their last seven outings.

Despite Toronto’s wins, they have struggled shooting the ball, including a dreadful 4-for-30 performance from the 3-point line in Game 4.

While they actually shot it better in Cleveland, they’ve were done in by turnovers, averaging 20 a game through the first two at Rocket Arena. And though Barnes has been shining, Brandon Ingram is still not his usual self. He scored 23 in Game 4, but shot a rough 26.1% from the floor.

I like the Cavs to swing the momentum back their way Wednesday.

Total Pick: Under 215.5 points (-105 at DraftKings): The underlying metrics point toward a slow, halfcourt rock fight. The Over has hit hit in just two of the Raptors’ last nine games on the road as an underdog. Similarly, the Over cashed in only four of the Raptors last 12 games against opponents with a winning record. Taking the Under offers tremendous value here.

Best Prop Pick: Mitchell Over 26.5 points (-111 at DraftKings): The Cavs’ perimeter-heavy game script funnels directly to Mitchell, giving him the ultimate green light. DraftKings currently lists Mitchell’s Over at 26.5 points — a highly attractive, wagerable number. Mitchell averaged 27.9 points per game during the regular season on 48.3% shooting and is averaging 24.3 points through four playoff games in this series, just slightly below the prop line. But he has scored better at home, dropping 30+ in both games this series.

Raptors vs Cavaliers Odds

Prediction Markets

ML, ATS, O/U

Learn more about Prediction Markets

Kalshi

Cleveland

78%

CLE -7.5

56%

Over 215.5

52%

Under 215.5

50%

TOR +7.5

46%

Toronto

24%

Predict

Odds as of April 29 from Kalshi. Get a Kalshi referral code to bet on NBA Playoff games.

The Raptors are distant underdogs on the moneyline, getting juicy +310 odds from bet365, while it’s a very short -360 for Cleveland to win outright over at FanDuel.

Cleveland is giving 8.5 points at bet365, and a cover pays out at -110 odds. Toronto is getting the 8.5-points from DraftKings, with a payout of -105 odds.

Over bettors should head to FanDuel, where you can grab to total at 215.5 points, while a trip to BetMGM would be beneficial to Under bettors, where you can get a full point more at 216.5 points.