Predictions, Updated Odds & Betting Splits for Blazers vs Spurs (Game 5)

• The San Antonio Spurs are massive favorites to eliminate the Trail Blazers in Game 5 of their series Tuesday
• The Spurs took both Games 3 & 4 on the road in Portland to take command of the series
• Read below for the latest Trail Blazers vs Spurs odds, injury report and betting splits for Game 5

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After venturing into hostile Rip City territory and coming away with wins in both Game 3 and 4, the San Antonio Spurs look to finish off the the Portland Trail Blazers in Game 5 of their Round 1 series Tuesday.

The books aren’t giving Portland much chance, placing them as massive home underdogs in the NBA odds.

Tip-off is scheduled Tuesday night at 9:30pm ET from the Frost Bank Center San Antonio, with ESPPN providing the broadcast coverage.

Read below as I share my Trail Blazers vs Spurs prediction, the latest injury news and betting splits for Game 5.

Trail Blazers vs Spurs Prediction

• Pick: Under 215.5 points (-110 at bet365)

Following Portland’s gritty 106-103 upset victory in Game 2, the Spurs have since reasserted their dominance, winning Games 3 and 4 to take a commanding 3-1 series lead.

While it’s just a 4-game sample to start the playoffs, San Antonio boasts the league’s 3rd-best offensive rating (112.7) and the 4th-best defensive rating (101.9).

Conversely, the Blazers have struggled to find consistent footing on either end of the floor, sitting at a dismal 14th in defensive rating.

Across the first four games of this series, San Antonio has outscored Portland by more than 40 points, with a noticeable advantage on the perimeter, knocking down 42.3% of their deep balls compared to the Blazers’ 32.4% clip.

Trail Blazers vs Spurs Head-to-Head Playoff Stats

From a totals perspective, a defensive half court grind is the most likely game script, as that’s the way it’s been for most of this series.

The Under is cashing at a highly profitable 75% rate in San Antonio’s last four games as a favorite.

The Under has also hit in six of the last seven meetings between these teams, and the only game that didn’t in this stretch was Game 3. It was the game that Victor Wembanyama had to sit out due to a concussion.

While it was a surprise that the Spurs put up a series-best 120 points without their superstar, it’s not surprising that, without the freshly minted unanimous NBA Defensive Player of the Year, Portland put up its best offensive output in the series too.

But that’s not really saying much: the Blazers scored just 108 points in the loss, and they are averaging just 101.3 points in the series, which ranks 12th in the postseason.

The sledding will be tough again in San Antonio, and I think this will be a wrap, but the Spurs are giving a lot of points, especially to a team desperate to stay alive. For that reason, I’ll stick to the total, and watch these guys slug it out again.

Trail Blazers vs Spurs Odds

The graphic above shows the best available odds, which are subject to change

The Spurs are heavy favorites to win outright at a short -599 odds at DraftKings, while Portland going into San Antonio and upending the home team pays out of a cool +500 at bet365.

Blazers are 12.5-point road dogs against the spread at FanDuel, with -110 odds, while DraftKings is giving the Spurs one less point, pegging them as 11.5-point favorites.

As for the total, Over bettors should head to BetMGM, where the line is 214.5 points. Under bettors should got to bet365, where the line is set at full point higher at 215.5 points. That is the lowest odds yet for a game in this series.

Trail Blazers vs Spurs Public Betting Splits

Taking a look at the NBA Public Betting Trends, and there’s little doubt the pick is San Antonio. On the moneyline, a whopping 89% of the best are for the Spurs to win, and those make up 79% of the bets.

Against the spread, it’s much the same: the Spurs are getting a cool 80% of the money on them to cover an 11.5-point spread, which accounts for 73% of all the bets.

Even with an extra point on the spread, just 20% of the betting public money is on the Blazers as 12.5-point underdogs.

The most fascinating dynamic on the board lies in the Over/Under market, where the public is aggressively attacking the Over. A staggering 92% of the tickets and 89% of the betting handle are riding on a high-scoring affair — though we’ve already outlined why we’ve targeted the Under.