Predictions & Props to Bet in Giants vs Dodgers (May 13)

• The Los Angeles Dodgers face a four-game losing streak as they host the San Francisco Giants
• The Under 7.5 is a great value pick for this NL West duel because of the elite starting pitching
• It’s always the smart thing to keep reading to see the best bets and prop picks for this rivalry matchup

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The Los Angeles Dodgers continue their series against the San Francisco Giants on May 13 at 10:10 PM ET at Dodger Stadium. The Dodgers enter this National League matchup with a 24-18 record, looking to bounce back after the Giants (18-24) took the previous game 6-2.

That victory was fueled by three Giants home runs, spoiling a night where Shohei Ohtani also homered for the Dodgers. I am analyzing the starting pitching, dissecting key offensive trends, and providing my MLB betting predictions for this contest.

Giants vs Dodgers Picks & Predictions

• Moneyline pick: Dodgers ML (-246 at DraftKings)

When parsing the data for this showdown, the underlying metrics point strongly toward the Dodgers defending their home turf. I am backing the Dodgers on the moneyline in this spot. The defining factor is the discrepancy in starting pitching dominance.

Shohei Ohtani takes the mound boasting an elite 0.97 ERA and a 0.81 WHIP over 37.0 innings pitched. While the Giants send Robbie Ray to the hill with a highly effective 2.76 ERA, the Dodgers feature a much more complete roster overall.

• Total Pick: Under 7.5 (+100 at BetMGM)

Given the premium arms toeing the rubber, the Under is my logical play for the game total. Ohtani and Ray both miss bats at a high clip. This sets the stage for a classic pitchers’ duel that should keep scoring at a premium.

• Player Prop Pick: Over 6.5 strikeouts (-140 at Bet365)

My best player prop is Ohtani Over 6.5 strikeouts (-126). He averages 10.22 strikeouts per nine innings. The Giants will struggle to generate contact against his overpowering arsenal.

Odds as of May 13, 2026, at 3:44 PM ET from BetMGM, Bet365, and DraftKings

Ohtani is operating on a different level. His ability to suppress runs is backed by a dominant 2.52 FIP. Over his last 10 appearances, he posted a 2.57 ERA, a 0.57 WHIP, and struck out 10.29 batters per nine innings with zero walks. See how the MLB batter vis pitcher stats could impact this tilt.

Ray brings an impressive resume to the bump. The veteran southpaw continues to be a premium strikeout artist, fanning 9.26 batters per nine innings. However, his 4.52 FIP suggests he has benefited from batted-ball luck compared to Ohtani.

The Dodgers eclipse the Giants in actual run production, averaging 4.13 runs per game at home to the Giants’ 3.55 on the road. This scoring discrepancy comes down to contact quality.

Ranking second in home average exit velocity (90.2 mph), the Dodgers routinely generate extra bases. Conversely, the Giants sit at a below-average 88.0 mph on the road, capping their offensive upside and limiting their road OPS to .675.

On the mound, the Dodgers trot out an elite pitching staff boasting a 3.48 overall ERA. The Giants hover near the middle of the pack with a 4.00 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP.

 

Giants vs Dodgers Odds & Trends

Odds as of May 13, 2026, at 3:53 PM ET from BetMGM, Caesars Sportsbook, and DraftKings

The Dodgers enter this clash as massive -246 moneyline favorites on their home turf. Backing the underdog Giants offers a hefty +199 payout. On the runline, the MLB odds have the Dodgers favored to win by multiple runs at -105 odds.

The total runs market originally opened at 8.0 but has since dropped to 7.5. This downward shift highlights the elite pitching duel expected tonight between Ohtani and Ray.

• The Dodgers have won just 40.0% of their last 10 games as a moneyline favorite.
• The Giants have been a reliable underdog recently, cashing at a 60.0% rate over their last 10 games in that role.
• The Under has hit in exactly 60.0% of both the Dodgers’ and the Giants’ last 10 matchups.

Public Betting Splits

Understanding ticket and handle distribution is an essential part of handicapping. An overwhelming 98.5% of moneyline tickets are backing the heavily favored Dodgers, according to MLB public betting percentages. However, the handle tells a different story, with 51% of the money leaning toward the Giants.

Because the handle favoring the Giants falls short of 60%, this does not qualify as a true sharp vs public situation. I am still backing the home favorite on the moneyline, aligning with the massive ticket percentage but bucking the slight edge in actual money wagered.

The total runs market has attracted extreme consensus. A staggering 99% of tickets and 99% of the money are pounding the Over. Despite this, my official prediction is the Under. The total dropping despite an avalanche of money on the Over is a clear indicator of reverse line movement. The MLB weather could impact the over as well!

Giants vs Dodgers Injury Report

Attrition inevitably takes a toll on major league rosters. Both clubs are navigating severe pitching shortages tonight.

For the Dodgers, losing starting pitchers Tyler Glasnow and Bobby Miller places immense pressure on Ohtani. Without late-inning stoppers like Evan Phillips and Edwin Díaz, the Dodgers cannot afford an early exit from their starter. This reinforces the value of backing Ohtani’s strikeout prop.

The Giants are navigating a devastating blow with Logan Webb on the injured list. Just like the Dodgers, the Giants’ bullpen is heavily taxed. Ultimately, with both bullpens operating at diminished capacities, the success of this game rests squarely on the shoulders of the starting pitchers.