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Portugal vs Croatia Odds for Knockout Stage (Round of 32)

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk in Soccer News

Published:


Cristiano Ronaldo laments a missed opportunity
June 27, 2026; Miami Gardens, Florida, U.S.; Portugal's Cristiano Ronaldo reacts. Mandatory Credit: Nathan Ray Seebeck-Imagn Images
  • Portugal will face Croatia in one of the best games in the round of 32
  • Both teams finished runner-up in their quartets in the group stage
  • See the opening odds for Croatia vs Portugal on July 2 in Toronto

World powers collide in the round of 32 when Portugal (1-2-0, +5 GC) face Croatia (2-0-1, +0 GD) in Toronto on July 2. The winner will move on to face the victor of Spain vs Austria or Algeria (whichever finishes runner-up in Group J).

The opening lines for Portugal vs Croatia favor Cristiano Ronaldo and company, but not by much.

Portugal vs Croatia Odds

MarketPortugalDrawCroatia
3-Way ML+130+220+260
Total GoalsO 2.5 (+150)—2.5 (-188)
To Advance-163—+130

Odds as of June 27 at bet365. Claim SBD’s bet365 bonus code before the knockout stage.

The three-way moneyline lists Portugal at +130, the draw at +220, and Croatia at +260 to win in regulation time. The odds to advance show Portugal at -163 (61.98% implied win probability) and Croatia at +130 (43.48% implied win probability).

The total-goals line has opened at 2.5 but with the under heavily juiced (-188). Over bettors can get a +150 price on over 2.5.

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Where Do Portugal, Croatia Sit in Odds to Win World Cup?

In the odds to win the World Cup, Portugal sits well ahead of Croatia. A Seleção are currently the fifth-favorite at prediction site Kalshi, trading at 6¢ (equal to +1567 in American odds). Croatia is trading at a miniscule 0.5¢ (+19900).

Prediction Markets
Odds to Win World Cup
Learn more about Prediction Markets
Kalshi
France
24%
Argentina
18%
Spain
10%
England
10%
Portugal
7%
Brazil
6%
Netherlands
6%
Germany
4%
USA
4%
Mexico
3%

France (24.2¢), reigning-champion Argentina (18.2¢), and Spain (10.7¢) will head into the knockout stage as the top-three betting favorites.

Portugal’s Route to Knockout Stage

The Portuguese were far from convincing in the group stage. They only managed a 1-1 draw against DR Congo in their first match as heavy favorites. They put the boots to overmatched Uzbekistan (5-0) in their second, but were again held to a draw (0-0) against Colombia, who would go on to win the group with that result.

Cristiano Ronaldo, now 41 years of age, scored a brace against Uzbekistan. He’s the only Portugal player with more than one goal after the round robin.

Croatia’s Route to Round of 32

Croatia’s tournament started abysmally when they were badly outplayed for 90 minutes in a 4-2 loss to England. But they showed championship mettle in their next two fixtures, taking down Panama (1-0) and Ghana (2-1) to earn second in Group L.

Petar Sucic, Nikola Vlasic, Ante Budimir, Martin Baturina, and Petar Musa each tallied once in the group stage for Croatia.

Croatia’s own 40-something maestro, Luka Modric, looked his age against England but was instrumental in the two victories.

Want to monitor how the odds shift before kickoff? Bookmark SBD’s World Cup game odds to see up-to-the-minute lines for every match in the tournament.

Enjoying our betting coverage? Want more picks, predictions, and analysis from our proven experts? Make SBD a preferred source in your Google searches!

Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

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