Spain vs France Odds – Opening Price for World Cup Semifinals
By Sascha Paruk in Soccer News
Published:
Tournament-favorite France will meet heavyweight Spain in the World Cup quarterfinals on July 14 in Arlington, Texas, with the winner advancing to the tournament title game on July 19.
The France vs Spain odds have opened with Les Bleus as a modest favorite.
Spain vs France Odds
Frane is a 61-cent favorite in the Kalshi market on World Cup finalists, which is the equivalent of -156 American odds. Spain comes back as a 40-cent underdog, equal to a +150 price tag.
At bet365, the 3-way moneyline favors France at a modest +130. A Spain win in regulation time is priced at +210. And a 90-minute draw is +225.
KALSHI TRADINGTRADE $25 & GET A BONUS UP TO $2,000 WITH CODE RAD2000!
NOVIG PREDICTION MARKETDEPOSIT $10 & GET $50 IN TRADE CREDITS WITH CODE RAD50
POLYMARKETDEPOSIT $10 & GET A $25 BONUS WITH CODE RAD25
OG PREDICTION MARKETTRADE $25, GET $25 WELCOME OFFER WITH CODE DIME!
DRAFTKINGS PREDICTIONSSPEND $5 & GET $150 IN BONUSES
UNDERDOG PREDICT50% DEPOSIT MATCH UP TO $1,000 & KEEP YOUR MILLION WITH CODE SBD!
ONYX ODDSSPEND $10 & GET $111 IN BONUS PICKS WITH CODE DIME!
FANDUEL PREDICTSGET A $100 BONUS WHEN YOU TRADE $1 FOR 5 DAYS!
PROPHETX PREDICTION EXCHANGETRADE $50, GET $75 BONUS WITH CODE SBDIME!
FANDUEL PREDICTS T&Cs: Offered by FanDuel Prediction Markets LLC, a registered futures commission merchant. 18+ and present in select states. First real money trade only. First-time deposit required. Min. $1 trade required for 5 consecutive days for max bonus. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable Predicts Bonus that expires 24 hours after receipt. Restrictions apply. Trading derivatives involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Manage your activity with our Consumer Protection tools. See terms, including eligible states, at http://fanduel.com/predicts/new-customer-offer
France Outclass Morocco
Despite a missed penalty from Kylian Mbappe in the first half, France pulled away for a 2-0 quarterfinal win over Morocco on Thursday. They generated an absurd 3.68 xG compared to just 0.14 for the Atlas Lions, thoroughly outclassing the African side for the full 90 minutes.
The France goal was also hardly threatened in their 1-0 win over Paraguay in the quarterfinals, which came on the heels of a 3-0 win over Sweden in the round of 32.
Spain Separate Late from Belgium, Portugal
Spain took down bitter Iberian rival Portugal (1-0) thanks to a stoppage-time goal from Mikel Merino, and nearly did the same to Belgium. After the teams played to a 1-1 stalemate in the first 45 minutes, Merino scored the winner in the 88th minute, just three minutes after he came onto the field.
Belgium’s goal against Spain was the first La Roja had surrendered all tournament. Their knockout stage run also included a consummate 3-0 win over Austria in the round of 32.
Spain continues to lag well behind tournament-favorite France in the odds to win the World Cup.
France is trading at 38.8¢ (equal to +158 odds) with Spain at 20.7¢ (equal to +383 odds).
Spain has won the last two against France, head-to-head, winning a 5-4 shootout in the 2025 Nations League (which saw France nearly overcome a 4-1 deficit) and a 2-1 nailbiter in the 2024 Euro.
Enjoying our betting coverage? Want more picks, predictions, and analysis from our proven experts? Make SBD a preferred source in your Google searches!
Managing Editor
Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.
