UPDATED Spain vs Argentina Odds for World Cup Final – Latest Moneyline & Total Prices
By Sascha Paruk in Soccer News
Published:
- Spain and Argentina will meet in the 2026 World Cup final on July 19
- The opening betting lines project razor-thin margins in the championship game
- See the Argentina vs Spain odds, including moneyline, total, and odds to lift the trophy
The World Cup final is set and it couldn’t get any better on paper. Top-ranked, defending-champion Argentina will take on second-ranked, reigning Euro-winner Spain on Sunday, July 19, in East Rutherford, NJ.
Despite Argentina’s status as defending champ and the #1 team in the world per the FIFA rankings, Spain has opened as the betting favorite by virtue of their unparalleled run through the tournament.
Spain vs Argentina Odds
EDITOR’S NOTE: as of 7:02 pm ET, Spain is trading at 57.7¢ to win the World Cup (-136 odds), and Argentina is trading at 42.4¢ (+136). The three-way moneyline at Kalshi has spain at 43¢ (+133) to win in regulation, Argentina at 27¢ (+270), and a full-time draw at 33¢ ( +203). Kalshi’s total-goals market prices under 2.5 at 60¢ (-150) and over 2.5 at 41¢ (+144).
The opening Spain vs Argentina odds list La Roja as 58-cent favorites, which is equal to -137 odds in traditional sports-betting terms. Argentina comes back as a 43-cent (+133) underdog.
At bet365, Spain is priced as a much-heavier -175 favorite with Argentina at +125. Caesars has Spain at -170 and Argentina at +135, while theScore Bet prices Spain at -160 and Argentina at +130.
On the three-way moneyline, BetMGM has opened Spain at +125 to win in 90 minutes with a full-time draw at +200 and an Argentina regulation-time upset at +250.
The O/U sits at 2.5 goals with the under pretty heavily favored at -150. Over 2.5 sits at +135.
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Spain’s Path to World Cup Final
Spain have gotten stronger and stronger as the tournament has gone on. After a stunning 0-0 draw with Cabo Verde on matchday 1, La Roja have outscored their last six opponents by a score of 12-1. Belgium is the only team to score on Spain to date in the World Cup.
Their defensive performance in the semifinals against France (2-0) was clinical. A French attack that had looked unstoppable was limited to three shots on target and 0.31 xGF over the full 90 minutes.
An Oyarzabal penalty in the first half gave Spain the lead and a Porro insurance marker in the 58th minute sealed France’s fate.
Spain’s depth has been at the fore. Striker Mikel Oyarzabal leads the team with five goals, while Pedro Porro and Mikel Merino each have two, and three other players have one, including Lamine Yamal.
Before the tournament, most pundits would have hinged Spain’s success on the contributions of Yamal, the 19-year-old Barcelona prodigy. Yet he has just one goal and no assists, and had a sub-par 5.9 player rating against France.
The fact that Spain still dominated Les Bleus on a day when their most-talented player was mediocre is scary.
Spain started the tournament as the second-favorite in the odds to win the World Cup (+483 on average), trailing only France (+430).
Argentina’s Route to World Cup Final
Argentina’s path to the final has been far less clean than Spain’s. Not only were La Albiceleste taken to extra time by massive underdog Cabo Verde in the round of 32, they looked dead in the water in the round of 16 against Egypt, trailing 2-0 with 12 minutes-plus-stoppage-time on the clock.
After that 3-2 miracle comeback, Argentina needed extra time again in the quarters against Switzerland, benefiting from a second-half red card to Swiss striker Breel Embolo. Julian Alvarez broke the 1-1 tie late in the extra period on arguably the best goal of the tournament.
Argentina survived yet another massive scare in the semifinals against England. After a no-event first-half snoozefest, Anthony Gordon put the Three Lions in front in the 55th minute.
But Enzo Fernandez would tie the game on a screamer from well outside the box in the 85th before Lautaro Martinez scored the winner in the second minute of stoppage time. Lionel Messi assisted on both.
Argentina started the tournament as the fifth-favorite in the odds to win the World Cup at +967 on average, trailing France, Spain, England, and Portugal.
Bookmark SBD’s World Cup game odds to see how the moneyline, total, and lift-the-trophy prices change over the course of the next four days.
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Managing Editor
Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.
