Best MLB Home Run Odds & HR Props Today: August 20 Picks

• Target a nine-game MLB slate with high-upside MLB home run props, led by power spots in Houston, Cincinnati, and Baltimore.
• Use MLB park factors alongside matchup context to identify the best long-ball environments.
• Compare prices in the latest MLB odds and isolate value among top MLB player props.

Today’s nine-game MLB slate offers several strong home run angles, from Yordan Alvarez at Daikin Park to Elly De La Cruz at Great American Ball Park and Gunnar Henderson in a marquee Yankees-Orioles matchup. Below, we break down the best HR prop prices, key park context, and the hitters with the clearest upside.

HR Props: Top Home Run Picks Across Today’s MLB Slate

Odds are sourced from BetMGM, Caesars, bet365, and the ScoreBet, representing the best available market prices.

Yordan Alvarez (+242) — Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels

The Houston Astros host the Los Angeles Angels at Daikin Park, where Alvarez will dig into the box against probable starter Grayson Rodriguez. Alvarez embodies a relentless work ethic, consistently translating his raw power into high-leverage production. While his limited career [MLB batter vs pitcher stats] against Rodriguez have not yielded a home run yet, the venue context is incredibly promising.

Daikin Park has seen an average of 2.77 home runs per game over 64 contests this season, making it an appealing setting for power hitters to thrive.

Junior Caminero (+268) — Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Caminero and the Tampa Bay Rays take on the Toronto Blue Jays and scheduled starter Shane Bieber at Tropicana Field. The young prospect carries an underdog mentality, eager to prove his minor-league pedigree against formidable big-league pitching. This inter-divisional clash offers immense tactical upside for DFS managers seeking volume.

Bettors looking to back Caminero should note that Tropicana Field has been quite favorable for the long ball this year. The stadium is yielding a generous 2.45 home runs per game across 65 contests.

Matt Olson (+338) — Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox

The Atlanta Braves travel to Chicago to face the White Sox and probable starting pitcher Anthony Kay at Rate Field. Olson’s pitch-to-contact discipline and elite exit velocities make him a constant threat to leave the yard, regardless of the pitching environment.

Rate Field is averaging 2.26 home runs per game this season, presenting a reasonable and high-upside backdrop for Olson to find the bleachers.

Elly De La Cruz (+365) — Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals

De La Cruz leads the charge for the Cincinnati Reds as they host the St. Louis Cardinals and their starter, Michael McGreevy, at Great American Ball Park. De La Cruz plays with a fierce, narrative-driven passion, bringing a dynamic blend of speed and power that terrorizes opposing staffs.

This venue is historically known as a premier launching pad and has maintained that reputation by averaging 2.60 home runs per game across 67 games this year.

Corey Seager (+401) — Texas Rangers vs. Washington Nationals

Seager and the Texas Rangers welcome the Washington Nationals to Globe Life Field, where they will square off against probable pitcher Andrew Alvarez. Seager’s stoic, hard-working demeanor at the plate translates beautifully into reliable volume metrics, making him a staple for seasoned fantasy sports managers.

Globe Life Field has produced an average of 2.34 home runs per game this season, providing a highly capable setting for a home run prop.

Gunnar Henderson (+516) — Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees

In a marquee AL East clash, Gunnar Henderson and the Baltimore Orioles host the New York Yankees and ace Gerrit Cole. The matchup takes place at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, pitting a rising underdog hero against one of the most ballyhooed arms in recent baseball history.

Despite Cole’s formidable reputation, Camden Yards has seen 2.39 home runs per game over 64 games this season, offering enough environmental assistance to justify the tactical edge.