Cowboys vs Giants Same-Game-Parlay Picks for Week 1 of the 2026 NFL Season

• Cowboys vs Giants is one of the biggest rivalries in the NFL and will collide in Week 1 on Sunday
• I’m analyzing the stats to find the best Cowboys vs Giants picks and player props for Week 1
• Find a same-game parlay for Cowboys vs Giants in Week 1 of the 2026 NFL regular season

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I am eyeing a prime-time divisional clash as the Dallas Cowboys travel to face the host New York Giants on Sunday, September 13, 2026, at 8:20 PM EDT at MetLife Stadium.

With Dallas favored by 3 points and the game total set at 48, this Week 1 matchup presents an ideal framework for a same-game parlay.

Cowboys vs Giants SGP Picks for Week 1

After analyzing the data ahead of this Week 1 matchup, these are the three picks I find the most attractive for this game.

All odds from BetMGM as of Sep 12 and are subject to change. Claim the BetMGM promo code before wagering on DAL vs NYG.

Dak Prescott Over 256.5 Passing Yards

Dallas enters 2026 after leading the entire NFL in offensive snaps per game (65.9) in 2025. Dak Prescott orchestrated one of the league’s most pass-heavy attacks, finishing 3rd in the NFL with 4,552 passing yards (267.8 YPG).

Looking at his last five games against the New York Giants, Prescott only cleared this 256.5-yard passing threshold twice. He recorded 361 passing yards against New York last September, and posted a 404-yard performance against them in November 2023, while falling short with 70, 143, and 221 yards in the other three matchups.

But contextualizing the misses makes this Over in yards even more appealing. In Week 18 of the 2025 season, Prescott threw only 11 passes before being rested with playoff seeding secured. Meanwhile, in Week 1 of the 2023 season, Dallas jumped out to a 40–0 rout fueled by defensive/special-teams touchdowns in a heavy downpour, cutting passing dropbacks entirely.

When games remain close or competitive, Prescott shreds this Giants secondary, exploding for 361 yards (September 2025) and 404 yards (November 2023). During the 2025 campaign, Prescott threw for 4,552 passing yards, ranking third among all NFL quarterbacks.

The Giants’ secondary allowed 229.9 passing yards per game in 2025 (17th), struggled to generate consistent edge rush against Dallas’ pass protection, and now faces a Dallas offense that ranked top-5 in explosive pass-play rate. With a tight 3-point spread, it’s unlikely that Dallas will be running out the clock late – Prescott will be throwing all four quarters.

If you want to wager on this as a single bet, check the NFL passing yards props for the best odds.

Malik Nabers Anytime TD Scorer

Nabers remains the undisputed focal point of the Giants’ passing game. During his injury-shortened 2025 campaign, Nabers recorded two receiving touchdowns and earned three red-zone targets for the Giants in just four games.

Both of those scores occurred in a head-to-head performance against these Dallas Cowboys last September, where he commanded nine receptions for 167 yards and two touchdowns. In three career matchups against Dallas, he has commanded double-digit targets in every full contest.

Dallas exhibited a glaring liability against opposing WR1s in 2025, surrendering a league-worst 26 receiving touchdowns to wide receivers (ranked 32nd in NFL). Their single-high safety tendencies leave perimeter corners isolated against high-end route runners like Nabers.

Nabers is not just a chain-mover; he is New York’s primary red-zone target and primary explosive play creator. Against Dallas’ aggressive, high-risk secondary, Nabers only needs one broken tackle or contested end-zone target to cash this ticket. Structurally, my pairing of a Nabers touchdown with the Prescott passing yardage over creates a correlated game script. A high-volume Dallas aerial attack forces New York to answer through the air to remain competitive.

If you want to wager on this as a single bet, check the anytime touchdown scorer lines for the best odds.

Over 48 Total Points

Dallas was a premier “Over” machine in 2025, boasting the #7 scoring offense (27.7 PPG) alongside the #32 scoring defense (30.1 PPG allowed). Their games averaged an eye-popping 57.8 combined points, the highest mark in the NFL.

New York yielded 25.8 PPG (26th in the league) last season and has consistently struggled to contain Dallas’ quick-strike perimeter weapons. Divisional familiarity has turned this rivalry into high-scoring fireworks rather than low-scoring defensive slugfests. The meeting in September 2025 finished with a combined 77 points, while the game in January 2026 had a combined 51 points.

Cowboys vs Giants SGP Picks Recap

This 3-leg parlay is interconnected around a single, highly probable game flow:

1. Dallas pushes tempo through the air, putting Prescott well on track for 260+ yards against New York’s middle-of-the-pack secondary.
2. Game flow forces New York into trailing/catch-up pass scripts, creating high pass-volume opportunities where Nabers is funneled targets against a Dallas defense that surrendered the most wideout touchdowns in football.
3. Both offenses capitalize on weak coverage units and fast pace, driving the combined score well past the 48.0 threshold in a prime-time divisional shootout.