Who Will be Eliminated from Dancing With The Stars? Prediction Markets After Episodes 1 & 2

• Dancing With The Stars Season 35 is upon us with Wednesday, Sept. 16, the second of a two-night extravaganza on ABC and streaming live on Disney+
• DWTS, hosted by Alfonso Ribeiro and Julianne Hough, is a cultural phenomenon with contestants eliminated or proceeding based on the assessments of onsite judges and votes cast by viewers
• Episode 1 is already in the books, with Connor Leavitt of The Secret Lives of Mormon Wives and his professional dancer partner Adele Zaikman having been eliminated; prediction markets are offering options as to which celebrity will go home after Episode 2

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Dancing with the Stars Season 35 is finally underway, with the first night in the books and Connor Leavitt of The Secret Lives of Mormon Wives being the first celebrity sent home. The first two episodes are airing on ABC and streaming live on Disney+. The second night, Wednesday, Sept. 16 at 8 PM ET, will result in a female contestant’s elimination. It is hosted by Alfonso Ribeiro and Julianne Hough. The judges are Carrie Ann Inaba, Derek Hough, and Bruno Tonioli.

Part of the show’s allure is that it allows fan participation to decide who stays and goes. There are multiple factors that need to be considered when gauging who might be next to get the heave-ho from the program. While it is a competition, it is not a simple matter of gauging who deserves to move forward. With the female celebrities taking the stage for episode 2, it is important to think about the potential skills of the dancers who are immediately on the bubble. Just as important is their marketability and whether the fans want to see them. It is not solely based on ability.

Prediction markets offer users options to weigh in on DWTS35 and seek profit by accurately predicting which contestants will be eliminated.

Who Will Be Eliminated from Dancing With The Stars?

Volume has surpassed a quarter of a million dollars and will rise throughout the day.

The women are on the clock for Episode 2, and Giada De Laurentiis is near 50% on the market to be sent home.

Tatyana Ali is at 30%. One-quarter of those involved in this market think Sarah Jane Nader will be eliminated.

The numbers then drop to the mid-single digits for Ciara Miller, Amber Glenn, and Maura Higgins. With strong justification, few believe that experienced dancers Jenna Dewan or Julia Stiles will be gone so quickly.

For those who want to take part, the Kalshi referral code offers new users a $25 bonus once $25 in trades are completed.

According to the rules, the market will resolve to Yes if the selected celebrity contestant and their partner are officially eliminated from Dancing With The Stars Season 35 before Sept. 17, 2026. The outcome will be verified by ABC.

Giada De Laurentiis

De Laurentiis, the TV chef, author, and occasional actress, is not known for being able to dance. In truth, no one can know whether she has skills or not. But her position at as the likeliest celebrity to be sent packing appears linked more to her age (56) and that she’s less of a conventional performer than her fellow contestants.

There is always the possibility that the producers want her to stay on the show and subtly tip the scales for her to stay if her performance is comparable to the other vulnerable celebrity dancers. But it’s hard to envision her making the cut unless she shocks the world with unexpected dancing ability, particularly in such a high-pressure scenario.

Tatyana Ali

Ali, 47, is an actress and singer whose most prominent role was as Ashley Banks on the original version of The Fresh Prince of Bel Air. She was the onscreen brother of DWTS host Alfonso Ribeiro. As a lifelong performer, it’s safe to assume she can dance passably.

She is not a prototypical child star who achieved notoriety in her adolescence and disappeared. She’s spent her life performing, so she has a good chance of being a solid enough dancer to make it past the first two episodes.

Sarah Jane Nader

Nader, 24, is an unknown to many people who are unfamiliar with her social media activity and her reality show Love Thy Nader. She’s a model and celebrity, but her ability to do anything more than that is a question mark. One factor that could be relevant is that she is dancing with another woman for the show. Will that have relevance for people who want to be “inclusive”

Older viewers of the show are unlikely to have the faintest idea who Nader is. That could mean her performance will be the determinative factor in whether she advances.

The show itself obviously does its research when picking its cast, so presumably she has some level of name recognition. Will that translate to staying on the show?

Based on her youth, obvious physical attributes, and the same-sex dancing partnership, she’s safe barring a catastrophic performance.